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Is COFCO Technology & Industry (SZSE:301058) A Risky Investment?

Is COFCO Technology & Industry (SZSE:301058) A Risky Investment?

中糧科技工業(深圳證券交易所代碼:301058)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/22 20:44

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, COFCO Technology & Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301058) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,中糧科技工業股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:301058)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可能是企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for COFCO Technology & Industry

查看我們對中糧科技與工業的最新分析

What Is COFCO Technology & Industry's Debt?

什麼是中糧科技與工業的債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 COFCO Technology & Industry had CN¥63.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥54.7m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.28b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.22b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,中糧科技工業在一年內有6,370萬元人民幣的債務,比5,470萬加元人民幣有所增加。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有12.8億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有12.2億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301058 Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2024
SZSE: 301058 2024 年 1 月 23 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is COFCO Technology & Industry's Balance Sheet?

中糧科技與工業的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that COFCO Technology & Industry had liabilities of CN¥1.76b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥71.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.28b and CN¥1.11b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥566.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,中糧科技工業在一年內到期的負債爲17.6億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲7,130萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲12.8億元人民幣,還有價值11.1億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出5.663億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that COFCO Technology & Industry has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, COFCO Technology & Industry boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明,中糧科技工業的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,中糧科技工業擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Fortunately, COFCO Technology & Industry grew its EBIT by 6.6% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if COFCO Technology & Industry can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

幸運的是,中糧科技工業去年將其息稅前利潤增長了6.6%,這使得債務負擔看起來更易於控制。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定中糧科技與工業能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While COFCO Technology & Industry has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, COFCO Technology & Industry produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 74% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管中糧科技工業的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,中糧科技工業產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的74%,與我們的預期差不多。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case COFCO Technology & Industry has CN¥1.22b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥159m, being 74% of its EBIT. So is COFCO Technology & Industry's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for COFCO Technology & Industry you should know about.

儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智之舉,但在這種情況下,中糧科技工業的淨現金爲12.2億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。它以1.59億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的74%。那麼,中糧科技與工業的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的中糧科技工業警告標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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