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Is Dongguan Chitwing Technology (SZSE:002855) A Risky Investment?

Is Dongguan Chitwing Technology (SZSE:002855) A Risky Investment?

東莞智榮科技(深交所:002855)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/15 19:09

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Dongguan Chitwing Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002855) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,東莞智榮科技有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002855)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的一部分是 “創造性毀滅” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

View our latest analysis for Dongguan Chitwing Technology

查看我們對東莞智榮科技的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Dongguan Chitwing Technology Carry?

東莞赤翼科技揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Dongguan Chitwing Technology had CN¥368.9m of debt, up from CN¥110.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥181.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥187.4m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,東莞極翼科技的債務爲3.689億元人民幣,高於去年同期的1.1億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它也有1.816億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲1.874億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002855 Debt to Equity History November 16th 2023
SZSE: 002855 2023 年 11 月 16 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is Dongguan Chitwing Technology's Balance Sheet?

東莞赤翼科技的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dongguan Chitwing Technology had liabilities of CN¥973.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥357.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥181.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥536.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥612.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,東莞赤翼科技在12個月內到期的負債爲9.731億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲3.571億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有1.816億元的現金以及價值5.362億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出6.124億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Dongguan Chitwing Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥8.11b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Dongguan Chitwing Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由於上市的東莞赤翼科技股票總價值爲81.1億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲東莞智榮科技需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Dongguan Chitwing Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 31%, to CN¥2.0b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,東莞赤翼科技在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了31%,至20億元人民幣。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Dongguan Chitwing Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥168m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥138m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Dongguan Chitwing Technology .

在過去的十二個月中,東莞赤翼科技不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲1.68億元人民幣。考慮到這一點,除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。但是,去年它消耗了1.38億加元的現金,這無濟於事。因此,只要說我們確實認爲這隻股票有風險就足夠了。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在東莞赤翼科技發現的兩個警告標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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