share_log

Shareholders in Franklin Resources (NYSE:BEN) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Franklin Resources (NYSE:BEN) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

富蘭克林資源(紐約證券交易所代碼:BEN)的股東如果在五年前進行投資,就會陷入虧損
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/31 10:20

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Franklin Resources, Inc. (NYSE:BEN) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 27% over a half decade. Furthermore, it's down 22% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 9.8% in the same period.

為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但主要的遊戲是找到足夠多的贏家來抵消輸家,這樣我們就不會責怪長期富蘭克林資源公司(NYSE:BEN(BEN)的股東懷疑他們的持股決定,該股在五年內下跌了27%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了22%。這對持有者來說並不有趣。但這可能與疲軟的市場有關,同期下跌了9.8%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。

Check out our latest analysis for Franklin Resources

查看我們對Franklin Resources的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然有效市場假說繼續被一些人傳授,但事實證明,市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Franklin Resources actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 5.2% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在股價下跌的不幸的五年中,富蘭克林資源公司的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長5.2%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不是一個很好的指標,在此期間的業務表現(也許是由於一次性的損失或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率和股價增長率之間的鮮明對比,我們傾向於通過其他指標來了解圍繞股票不斷變化的市場情緒。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前還不清楚為什麼股價會下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:BEN Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2023
紐約證券交易所:BEN盈利和收入增長2023年10月31日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Franklin Resources stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮購買或出售富蘭克林資源股票,你應該看看這個免費關於其資產負債表的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Franklin Resources' TSR for the last 5 years was -9.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報僅反映股價的變化,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何貼現的資本籌集或分拆的收益。公平地說,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了一個更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,富蘭克林資源公司過去5年的股東總回報率為-9.5%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Franklin Resources shareholders gained a total return of 0.6% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 1.8% per year, over five years. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Franklin Resources you should be aware of.

富蘭克林資源公司的股東在年內獲得了0.6%的總回報。但這一回報低於市場。但至少這仍然是一個收穫!五年來,TSR每年減少1.8%。很可能是業務正在穩定。雖然市場條件對股價的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更為重要。上一篇:We've Spotted富蘭克林資源的3個警告標誌你應該意識到。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論