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Shareholders in S.F. Holding (SZSE:002352) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in S.F. Holding (SZSE:002352) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

順豐控股(SZSE: 002352)的股東如果在三年前投資,他們將處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/15 21:14

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002352) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 54% in that time. Furthermore, it's down 12% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 6.8% in the same timeframe.

投資股票不可避免地意味着買入一些表現不佳的公司。但是,對於順豐控股有限公司(SZSE:002352)的長期股東來說,過去三年尤其艱難。對他們來說,可悲的是,當時股價下跌了54%。此外,它在大約一個季度內下降了12%。對於持有者來說,這並不好玩。但是,有人可能會爭辯說,價格受到了大盤的影響,同期股價下跌了6.8%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們來看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

View our latest analysis for S.F. Holding

查看我們對順豐控股的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間推移的變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間的推移而變化。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, S.F. Holding actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.2% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股價下跌中,順豐控股的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長3.2%。這真是個難題,表明可能會有一些東西暫時提振股價。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.

在我們看來,三年前市場對增長可能過於樂觀。但是,查看其他業務指標可能會進一步了解股價走勢。

With a rather small yield of just 0.6% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 25% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating S.F. Holding further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

由於收益率相當低,僅爲0.6%,我們懷疑該股的股價是否基於其股息。我們注意到,在三年內,收入實際上以25%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。順豐控股可能值得進一步調查;雖然我們在分析中可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能有機會。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描繪了收入和收入隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002352 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2023
SZSE: 002352 2023 年 10 月 16 日收益和收入增長

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for S.F. Holding in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要適中。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。您可以在這張未來利潤估計的交互式圖表中看到分析師對順豐控股的預測。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 3.2% in the twelve months, S.F. Holding shareholders did even worse, losing 16% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.1%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand S.F. Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for S.F. Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約3.2%,但順豐控股股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了16%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺1.1%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解順豐控股,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了順豐控股的1個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

We will like S.F. Holding better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡順豐控股。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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