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There's Reason For Concern Over Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8081) Massive 26% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8081) Massive 26% Price Jump

有理由擔心恒泰裕集團控股有限公司(HKG: 8081)價格大幅上漲26%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 18:19

Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8081) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.

恆大裕集團控股有限公司(HKG:8081)股東們會興奮地看到,股價在一個月裡表現出色,上漲了26%,並從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。從更廣泛的角度來看,儘管沒有上個月那麼強勁,18%的全年漲幅也是相當合理的。

After such a large jump in price, Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

在股價大幅跳漲後,恆大集團的本益比(本益比)達到12.6倍,與香港市場相比,這可能會讓它看起來像是賣出。在香港,大約一半的公司的本益比低於9倍,甚至本益比低於4倍的情況也很常見。然而,本益比高可能是有原因的,需要進一步調查才能確定它是否合理。

For example, consider that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

舉例來說,恆大集團近期的財務表現欠佳,盈利持續下降。許多人可能預計,該公司在未來一段時間內的表現仍將好於大多數其他公司,這使得本益比沒有崩潰。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到相當緊張。

See our latest analysis for Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings

請參閱我們對恆大悅集團控股的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8081 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2023
聯交所:8081本益比與行業2023年10月4日
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings, take a look at this
儘管沒有分析師對恆大集團控股的估計,但看看這個。
free
免費
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
豐富的數據可視化,看看公司的收益、收入和現金流是如何堆積的。

Is There Enough Growth For Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings?

恆大集團是否有足夠的增長空間?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

有一種固有的假設,即一家公司的本益比應該好於大盤,這樣的本益比才被認為是合理的。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 61%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不是什麼令人興奮的事情,因為它公佈了令人失望的下降61%。至少,由於早期的增長,每股收益總體上沒有從三年前完全倒退。因此,在我們看來,在這段時間裡,該公司在收益增長方面的結果好壞參半。

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

這與其他市場形成對比,後者預計明年將增長25%,大大高於該公司最近的中期年化增長率。

With this information, we find it concerning that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了這些資訊,我們發現恆大集團控股的本益比高於大盤。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近的情況所顯示的要樂觀得多,不願以任何價格拋售他們的股票。如果本益比下降到與最近的增長率更一致的水準,現有股東很可能會讓自己未來感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' P/E

恆泰嶽集團控股本益比的底線

Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

恆泰嶽集團控股有限公司的本益比正在上升,因為它的股價強勁上漲。一般來說,我們傾向於限制本益比的使用,以確定市場對公司整體健康狀況的看法。

We've established that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我們已經確定,恆泰嶽集團目前的本益比遠高於預期,因為其最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的市場預測。目前,我們對高本益比越來越感到不安,因為這種盈利表現不太可能長期支撐這種積極情緒。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。

Having said that, be aware Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.

話雖如此,但請注意恆泰嶽集團控股出現3個警示信號在我們的投資分析中,其中有一個是不容忽視的。

If you're unsure about the strength of Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不確定恆大嶽集團控股的業務實力,為什麼不探索我們的互動列表,為其他一些你可能沒有達到預期的公司提供堅實的商業基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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