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Lippo China Resources Limited's (HKG:156) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Lippo China Resources Limited's (HKG:156) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

力寶華潤有限公司 (HKG: 156) 28% 的股價飆升並不完全是加起來的
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/26 18:19

The Lippo China Resources Limited (HKG:156) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.

這個力寶中國資源有限公司(HKG:156)股價在過去一個月表現非常出色,錄得28%的出色漲幅。並不是所有的股東都會感到高興,因為在過去的12個月裡,該公司的股價仍下跌了23%,令人非常失望。

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Consumer Retailing industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Lippo China Resources as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

由於力寶股價飆升,而香港消費品零售業近半數公司的市銷率(或“P/S”)低於0.6倍,你可能會認為力寶中國資源的本益比為1.3倍,不值得研究。然而,僅僅從本益比/S的表面價值來看是不明智的,因為可能會有一個解釋,為什麼它會這麼高。

View our latest analysis for Lippo China Resources

查看我們對力寶中國資源的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:156 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 26th 2023
聯交所:156市售比率與行業2023年9月26日

What Does Lippo China Resources' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

力寶中國資源P/S對股東意味著什麼?

The revenue growth achieved at Lippo China Resources over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

力寶中國資源去年實現的收入增長對大多數公司來說都是可以接受的。或許,市場預期這種不錯的營收表現將在短期內擊敗行業,這支撐了本益比/S指數。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的生存能力感到有點緊張。

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想要了解公司的收益、收入和現金流的全貌嗎?那麼我們的
free
免費
report on Lippo China Resources will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
力寶中國資源報道,助您一窺其歷史業績。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

收入預測是否與高本益比相匹配?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Lippo China Resources' to be considered reasonable.

有一個固有的假設,即一家公司的表現應該優於行業,才能讓力寶中國資源這樣的本益比被認為是合理的。

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 12% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我們回顧去年的收入增長,該公司公佈了12%的合理增長。但歸根結底,它無法扭轉上一季度的糟糕表現,過去三年的總收入縮水了12%。因此,公平地說,最近的收入增長對公司來說是不可取的。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

與該公司形成鮮明對比的是,該行業其他業務預計明年將增長18%,這確實讓人對該公司最近的中期收入下降有了正確的認識。

In light of this, it's alarming that Lippo China Resources' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有鑒於此,力寶中國資源的P/S坐在其他大多數公司的前面,這是令人擔憂的。顯然,該公司的許多投資者比最近的情況所顯示的要樂觀得多,不願以任何價格拋售他們的股票。只有最大膽的人才會認為這些價格是可持續的,因為最近收入趨勢的延續最終可能會對股價造成沉重壓力。

What We Can Learn From Lippo China Resources' P/S?

我們可以從力寶中國資源的P/S那裡學到什麼?

Lippo China Resources shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

力寶中國資源的股票向北邁出了一大步,但其本益比/S也因此而上升。僅僅用市銷率來決定你是否應該出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成為公司未來前景的實用指南。

We've established that Lippo China Resources currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我們已經確定,力寶中國資源目前的本益比遠遠高於預期,因為其最近的收入在中期內一直在下降。目前,我們對高本益比S並不滿意,因為這種收入表現不太可能長期支持這種積極的情緒。如果近期的中期營收趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨重大風險,潛在投資者面臨支付過高溢價的危險。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Lippo China Resources you should know about.

還有其他風險呢?每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現力寶中國資源1個警告標誌你應該知道。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

重要的是確保你尋找的是一家偉大的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。因此,如果不斷增長的盈利能力符合你對一家偉大公司的看法,不妨看看這一點免費近期收益增長強勁(本益比較低)的有趣公司名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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