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What to expect in the markets this week(Micron, FedEx)

What to expect in the markets this week(Micron, FedEx)

本週市場的預期是什麼?--美光、聯邦快遞(FedEx)
Moomoo ·  2020/06/29 06:14  · Most Read

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Shares fell Monday in Asia as worries of the pandemic resurgence caused some U.S. states to backtrack on pandemic reopening.

亞洲股市週一下跌,因為對疫情死灰復燃的擔憂導致美國一些州放棄了疫情重啟的計劃。

The rapid increase in the numbers of infected people in the America imply that a bumpy market await investors ahead and they are bracing for a continuation of last week’s risk-off sentiment.

美國受感染人數的迅速增加表明,未來的市場將會起伏不定,投資者正準備延續上週的避險情緒。

The recovery is going to be much slower and much more uneven than most people believe. Markets are priced for a much sharper V-shaped recovery which we don’t think is likely. 

-David Hunt, president and CEO of PGIM Inc., said on Bloomberg TV. 

復甦的速度將比大多數人認為的要慢得多,而且不均衡程度也會比大多數人認為的要高得多。市場的價格預期會出現更劇烈的V型復甦,我們認為這是不太可能的。

-PGIM Inc.總裁兼首席執行官大衞·亨特(David Hunt)在彭博電視(Bloomberg TV)上表示。

For this week, major data will be released for investors to reassessthe recovery of economy reopening. We’ll be looking at the U.S. unemployment rate, the Eurozone's manufacturing PMI's, and how the housing market has endured through the crisis.

本週,主要數據將公佈,供投資者重新評估經濟重啟的復甦情況。我們將關注美國失業率、歐元區製造業採購經理人指數(PMI),以及房地產市場是如何度過危機的。

More companies will publish their financial reports for the second quarter of 2020 this week, whose results will be the most direct reflection of the economy.

本週將有更多企業公佈2020年第二季財報,財報將是對經濟最直接的反映。

Here's a look at asset classes returns year to date:

以下是資產類別今年迄今的回報率:

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Weekly market recap

每週市場回顧

U.S. stock indexes retreated 2% to 3%—around the same amounts that they’d advanced in the previous week. 

美國股指下跌2%至3%,與前一週的漲幅大致相同。

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The biggest drop came on Friday amid news about the resurgence of the pandemic amid several southern states in America and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s temporary restrictions on dividend payments and share buybacks by the nation’s biggest banks.

最大的降幅發生在週五,當時有消息稱,美國南部幾個州爆發了埃博拉疫情,美國聯邦儲備委員會(Federal Reserve)暫時限制了美國最大銀行的股息支付和股票回購。

The US health secretary Alex Azar warned on Sunday that the window to halt the spread of the pandemic across America was closing again. 

美國衞生部長亞歷克斯·阿扎爾(Alex Azar)週日警告稱,阻止疫情在美國蔓延的窗口再次關閉。

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Bloomberg

布隆伯格

I don’t think this is a second surge . . . I think this is a continuation of the first wave and it was a failed effort to stop the first wave in the country.

-Alex Azar told Meet the Press

我不認為這是第二波 . ,我認為這是第一波的延續,阻止該國第一波的努力失敗了。

-亞歷克斯·阿扎爾(Alex Azar)告訴記者

This week in focus

本週關注焦點

Here's the most anticipated earnings releases and IPOs for the week ahead:

以下是未來一週最受期待的財報和IPO:

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Monday:

週一:

  • Semiconductor giant $Micron Technology Inc(MU.US)$ is expected to release the financial reports on Monday after the bell, whose guidance for the third quarter will be crucial for the sector.

    The average analyst price target on Bloomberg for Micron is $61.65 implying a 27.1% upside.

  • 半導體巨頭$美光科技公司(MU.US)$預計將在週一收盤後發佈財務報告,其第三季度的指引將對該行業至關重要。

    彭博社對美光的平均分析師目標價為$61.65 意味着上漲27.1%。

Wednesday: 

星期三:

  • $DoubleDown Interactive(DDI.US)$, a leading developer and publisher of digital games on mobile and web-based platforms, will begin trading on Wednesday.

    DDI's market cap is estimated at 896 million. Revenue of DDI for the last 12 months was 273.6 million. Net income for the last 12 months was 36.3 million.

  • $Dun & Bradstreet Corp(DNB.US)$, a leading global provider of business decisioning data and analytics, is expected to go public on Wednesday.

    DNB's market cap is estimated at 8 billion. Revenue of DNB for the last 12 months was 1.8 billion. Net loss for the last 12 months was 480 million. 

  • $DoubleDown Interactive(DDI.US)$,移動和網絡平台上數字遊戲的領先開發商和發行商,將於週三開始交易。

    DDI的市值估計為8.96億美元。DDI在過去12個月的收入為2.736億美元。過去12個月的淨收入為3630萬美元。

  • $Dun&BradStreet Corp(DNB.US)$,一家全球領先的商業決策數據和分析提供商,預計將於週三上市。

    DNB的市值估計為80億美元。DNB在過去12個月的收入為18億美元。過去12個月的淨虧損為4.8億英鎊。

Thursday:

週四:

  • $Accolade(ACCD.US)$ provides personalized, technology-enabled solutions that help people better understand, navigate, and utilize the healthcare system and their workplace benefits. 

    Accolade's market cap is estimated at $933 million. Revenue of Accolade for the last 12 months was 132.5 million. Net loss for the last 12 months was 51.4 million.

  • $Lemonade(LMND.US)$, a heavily-backed startup that sells renters and homeowners insurance to consumers, will go public on Thursday.

    The company is backed by SoftBank, part of the Sequoiaempire, General Catalystand Tusk Venture Partners, among others.

    Lemonade is targeting a $100 million IPO and its market cap is estimated at 1.3 billion. The company’s Q1 results saw its revenue grow from $11.0 million in 2019 to $26.2 million in 2020, a gain of 138.2%. The company posted a net loss of $36.5 million in the first quarter of 2020, a 69% increase over the $21.6 million net loss in the first quarter of 2019.

  • $Acolade(ACCD.US)$提供個性化的技術支持的解決方案,幫助人們更好地瞭解、導航和利用醫療保健系統及其工作場所的好處。

    Acolade的市值估計為9.33億美元。過去12個月的榮譽收入為1.325億美元。過去12個月的淨虧損為5140萬英鎊。

  • $Lemonade(LMND.US)$一家得到大量支持的初創公司,向消費者出售租房者和房主保險,將於週四上市。

    該公司得到了紅杉帝國旗下的軟銀(SoftBank)、通用催化圖斯克風險投資夥伴公司(General Catalyst Stand Tusk Venture Partners)等公司的支持。

    Lemonade的目標是進行1億美元的首次公開募股(IPO),其市值估計為13億美元。該公司第一季度營收從2019年的1,100萬美元增長至2020年的2,620萬美元,增幅為138.2%。該公司2020年第一季度淨虧損3650萬美元,較2019年第一季度的2160萬美元淨虧損增長69%。

For more:

有關更多信息,請訪問:

Here's a list of economic events for the week ahead:

以下是未來一週的經濟事件清單:

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For this week, major data will be released for investors to reassessthe recovery of economy reopening. We’ll be looking at the U.S. unemployment rate and how the housing market has endured through the crisis.

本週,主要數據將公佈,供投資者重新評估經濟重啟的復甦情況。我們將關注美國的失業率,以及房地產市場是如何度過危機的。

With extended unemployment benefits expiring at the end of July, the rate at which U.S. unemployment declines will be critical for many families around America. Economists now believe that unemployment was somewhat higher in April and May than the numbers originally suggested.

由於延長的失業救濟金將於7月底到期,美國失業率下降的速度將對美國各地的許多家庭至關重要。經濟學家現在認為,4月和5月的失業率比最初數據顯示的要高一些。

Last week, the IMF released an update on its World Economic Outlook in which it downgraded 2020 global growth to -4.9%, the largest contraction since 1946. This change reflects a worse than expected impact from the pandemic in the first half of this year, and a slower recovery in the second half than previously projected. 

上週,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)發佈了最新的“世界經濟展望”(World Economic Outlook)報告,將2020年全球經濟增長率下調至-4.9%,這是自1946年以來最大的收縮。這一變化反映了今年上半年大流行的影響比預期的要差,下半年的復甦速度比之前預計的要慢。

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Source: J.P Morgan

消息來源:摩根大通

However, it noted that sizeable fiscal and monetary stimulus around the world has partially offset the damage.

然而,它指出,世界各地規模可觀的財政和貨幣刺激措施部分抵消了損害。

While global economic growth should be slow for the rest of this year, it is expected to surge in 2021 and investors should start asking whether they are positioned for an eventual global economic recovery.

-J.P Morgan

雖然今年剩餘時間全球經濟增長應該會放緩,預計2021年將激增,投資者應該開始問一問,他們是否為最終的全球經濟復甦做好了準備。

-摩根大通(J.P.Morgan)

Especially for readers preferring Chinese: 

尤其是喜歡中文的讀者:

Source: J.P Morgan, investopedia, bloomberg

來源:摩根大通,Investopedia,彭博

Editor: Debby

編輯:黛比

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