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Why Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's (SZSE:002749) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Why Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's (SZSE:002749) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

為什麼四川國光農化(SZSE:002749)的收益比看起來的要好
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/21 20:20

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002749) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

市場似乎對上週公佈的財報不以為然四川國光農化股份有限公司(SZSE:002749)儘管有健康的數字。我們做了一些分析,以找出原因,並認為投資者可能錯過了收益中包含的一些鼓舞人心的因素。

View our latest analysis for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical

查看我們對四川國光農化的最新分析

SZSE:002749 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2022
SZSE:002749收益和收入歷史2022年4月22日

Examining Cashflow Against Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's Earnings

考察現金流量與四川國光農化的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高端金融領域,衡量一家公司將報告利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。為了得到應計比率,我們首先從一個時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該時期的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

For the year to December 2021, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥287m, well over the CN¥206.2m it reported in profit. Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

在截至2021年12月的一年中,四川國光農化的應計比率為-0.14。因此,其法定收益非常顯著地低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的12個月裏,該公司報告的自由現金流為2.87億加元,遠高於其報告的利潤2.062億加元。四川國光農化的自由現金流在過去一年有所改善,總體上是好的。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對四川國光農化的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's Profit Performance

我們對四川國光農化盈利表現的看法

Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 20% over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical you should be aware of.

如上所述,四川國光農化的權責發生率是穩健的,顯示出強勁的自由現金流。正因為如此,我們認為四川國光農化的盈利潛力至少和看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!在過去的12個月裏,每股收益上漲了20%。本文的目的是評估我們可以在多大程度上依賴法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多東西需要考慮。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,考慮它面臨的任何風險是至關重要的。舉個例子:我們發現了四川國光農化的一個警告標誌,你應該知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我們放大了一個數據點,以更好地瞭解四川國光農化的利潤性質。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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