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Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s (SHSE:688019) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s (SHSE:688019) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

安吉微電子科技(上海)(上海證券交易所代碼:688019)的疲軟收益可能比看起來的更糟糕
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/21 19:10

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688019) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

股東們似乎並不太擔心安吉微電子科技(上海)有限公司(上海證券交易所:688019)盈利疲軟。我們的分析表明,他們可能遺漏了一些與利潤數字相關的細節。

See our latest analysis for Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)

查看我們對安吉微電子技術(上海)的最新分析

SHSE:688019 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2022
上海證交所:688019收益和收入歷史2022年4月21日

Examining Cashflow Against Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s Earnings

安吉微電子科技(上海)的現金流與盈利的對比研究

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

衡量一家公司將利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。為了得到應計比率,我們首先從一個時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該時期的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率為正,但值得注意的是,在應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,一般來説,高應計比率對短期利潤來説不是一個好兆頭。

For the year to December 2021, Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) had an accrual ratio of 0.68. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥180m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥125.1m. It's worth noting that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) generated positive FCF of CN¥9.1m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2021年12月止年度,安吉微電子科技(上海)的應計比率為0.68。從統計上講,這對未來的收益是一個真正的負面影響。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為1.8億元,而前述利潤為1.251億元。值得注意的是,安吉微電子科技(上海)一年前產生了910萬元的正FCF,所以至少他們過去做到了。話雖如此,故事中還有更多的東西。應計比率反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上是這樣。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥34m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2021. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考慮到應計比率,安吉微電子科技(上海)的利潤在過去12個月裏受到價值3400萬元人民幣的不尋常項目的提振也就不足為奇了。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的項目做出了很大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目往往不會重複。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。我們可以看到,安吉微電子科技(上海)的積極異常項目與其截至2021年12月的年度利潤相比相當重要。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的項目使其法定利潤比其他情況下要強勁得多。

Our Take On Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s Profit Performance

我們對安吉微電子科技(上海)盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai)'s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

綜上所述,安吉微電子科技(上海)從不尋常的項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其賬面利潤與自由現金流無法匹配。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼安吉微電子科技(上海)的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比實際情況更好。如果你真的想更深入地研究安吉微電子科技(上海),你也應該看看它目前面臨着什麼風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了安吉微電子科技(上海)的兩個警示信號(其中一個令人擔憂!),你應該知道。

Our examination of Anji Microelectronics Technology (Shanghai) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對安吉微電子科技(上海)的調查集中在某些因素上,這些因素可以讓它的收益看起來比實際情況更好。在此基礎上,我們對此持懷疑態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

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