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Huida Sanitary Ware's (SHSE:603385) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Huida Sanitary Ware's (SHSE:603385) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

惠達衞浴(上海證券交易所代碼:603385)疲軟的收益可能只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/21 18:31

A lackluster earnings announcement from Huida Sanitary Ware Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603385) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

一份平淡無奇的財報惠達衞浴有限公司(上海證券交易所:603385)上週的股價並沒有下跌。然而,我們認為投資者應該意識到一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。

View our latest analysis for Huida Sanitary Ware

查看我們對惠達衞浴的最新分析

SHSE:603385 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2022
上海證交所:603385收益和收入歷史2022年4月21日

Zooming In On Huida Sanitary Ware's Earnings

放大惠達衞浴的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量一家公司將利潤轉換為自由現金流(FCF)的程度的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計制比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一家公司的應計比率為負時,它實際上被認為是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率為正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計比率為正並不是問題,這表明非現金利潤達到了一定的水平,但高的應計比率可以説是一件壞事,因為它表明賬面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Huida Sanitary Ware recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥498m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥235.3m. We saw that FCF was CN¥500m a year ago though, so Huida Sanitary Ware has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Huida Sanitary Ware's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2021年12月的12個月內,滙達衞浴的應計比率為0.23。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這很難説是一件好事。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為4.98億元,而前述利潤為2.353億元。雖然一年前我們看到FCF是5億元人民幣,所以惠達衞浴至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。話雖如此,故事中還有更多的東西。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。對股東來説,好消息是,輝達衞浴去年的應計比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕讀數可能只是利潤和FCF短期錯配的一個例子。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強勁的現金轉換。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道,分析師對未來盈利能力的預測是什麼。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於他們估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Huida Sanitary Ware's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥40m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Huida Sanitary Ware doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考慮到應計比率,惠達衞浴的利潤在過去12個月裏受到價值4000萬元人民幣的不尋常項目的提振也就不足為奇了。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的項目做出了很大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們分析了數千家上市公司的數據時,我們發現,在給定的一年中,不尋常的項目往往會帶來提振第二年又重複了一遍。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。如果惠達衞浴沒有看到這種貢獻再次出現,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計它的利潤將在本年度下降。

Our Take On Huida Sanitary Ware's Profit Performance

我們如何看待惠達衞浴的盈利表現

Huida Sanitary Ware had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Huida Sanitary Ware's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Huida Sanitary Ware (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

惠達衞浴的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實得到了不尋常項目的提振。基於上述原因,我們認為,敷衍地看一眼惠達衞浴的法定利潤,可能會讓它看起來比實際情況更好。請記住,在分析一隻股票時,值得注意其中的風險。例如,我們已經為惠達衞浴確定了4個警示標誌(1個是有點令人擔憂的),你應該熟悉。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但還有很多其他方式可以讓你瞭解一家公司的看法。例如,許多人認為高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而另一些人則喜歡“跟着錢走”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。所以你可能想看看這個免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或內部人士正在購買的這份股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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