share_log

Improved Earnings Required Before China Hongguang Holdings Limited (HKG:8646) Stock's 29% Jump Looks Justified

Improved Earnings Required Before China Hongguang Holdings Limited (HKG:8646) Stock's 29% Jump Looks Justified

在中國宏光控股有限公司(HKG:8646)股價上漲29%之前,盈利改善似乎是合理的
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/19 18:30

China Hongguang Holdings Limited (HKG:8646) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 25% is also fairly reasonable.

中國宏光控股有限公司(HKG:8646)股東將興奮地看到股價經歷了一個偉大的月,公佈了29%的漲幅,並從之前的疲軟中恢復過來。從更廣泛的角度來看,儘管沒有上個月那麼強勁,全年25%的漲幅也是相當合理的。

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider China Hongguang Holdings as a highly attractive investment with its 2.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

儘管股價強勁反彈,但鑑於近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或“市盈率”)在10倍以上,你可能仍會認為中國宏光控股是一項極具吸引力的投資,其市盈率為2.5倍。儘管如此,我們還需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市盈率大幅下降是否有合理的基礎。

Recent times have been quite advantageous for China Hongguang Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

最近對中國宏光控股來説相當有利,因為它的收益一直在快速增長。這可能是因為許多人預計強勁的盈利表現將大幅下降,這抑制了市盈率。如果這不是最終的結果,那麼現有股東有理由對未來股價的走勢相當樂觀。

Check out our latest analysis for China Hongguang Holdings

查看我們對中國宏光控股的最新分析

SEHK:8646 Price Based on Past Earnings April 19th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Hongguang Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
聯交所:8646價格基於過去收益2022年4月19日我們沒有分析師的預測,但您可以通過查看我們對中國宏光控股的收益、收入和現金流的免費報告,瞭解最近的趨勢如何為公司的未來奠定基礎。

How Is China Hongguang Holdings' Growth Trending?

中國宏光控股的增長趨勢如何?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China Hongguang Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

只有當該公司的增長明顯落後於市場時,你才會真正放心地看到像中國宏光控股這樣低迷的市盈率。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 275%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 23% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我們回顧一下去年的收益增長,該公司公佈了275%的驚人增長。儘管最近增長強勁,但它仍在努力追趕,因為其三年期每股收益總體上令人沮喪地縮水了23%。因此,公平地説,最近的收益增長對公司來説是不可取的。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

與該公司形成鮮明對比的是,市場其他部分預計明年將增長17%,這確實讓人對該公司最近中期收益的下降有了正確的認識。

In light of this, it's understandable that China Hongguang Holdings' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

有鑑於此,中國宏光控股的市盈率低於大多數其他公司也是可以理解的。然而,我們認為,盈利縮水不太可能帶來長期穩定的市盈率,這可能會讓股東們未來感到失望。即使只是維持這樣的價格也可能很難實現,因為最近的收益趨勢已經在拖累股價。

The Bottom Line On China Hongguang Holdings' P/E

中國宏光控股市盈率的底線

Even after such a strong price move, China Hongguang Holdings' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

即使在如此強勁的價格變動之後,中國宏光控股的市盈率仍明顯落後於市場其他板塊。有人認為,市盈率是衡量某些行業價值的次要指標,但它可以成為一個強大的商業信心指標。

As we suspected, our examination of China Hongguang Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

正如我們懷疑的那樣,我們對中國宏光控股的調查顯示,考慮到市場將會增長,該公司中期收益的縮水是導致其市盈率較低的原因之一。在這個階段,投資者認為盈利改善的潛力還不夠大,不足以證明提高市盈率是合理的。除非近期的中期狀況有所改善,否則將繼續在這些水平附近形成股價障礙。

You need to take note of risks, for example - China Hongguang Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

例如,你需要注意風險--中國宏光控股有兩個警告信號(還有一個不容忽視),我們認為你應該知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

如果你對市盈率感興趣,你可能想看看這個免費其他盈利增長強勁、市盈率低於20倍的公司。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論