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ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's (SZSE:301079) Problems Go Beyond Poor Profit

ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's (SZSE:301079) Problems Go Beyond Poor Profit

邵陽維多液壓股份有限公司(SZSE:301079)的問題不僅僅是利潤不佳
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/15 21:26

ShaoYang Victor Hydraulics Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:301079) stock wasn't much affected by its recent lackluster earnings numbers. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

邵陽維克多液壓設備有限公司(SZSE:301079)近期低迷的盈利數據對股市影響不大。我們做了一些分析,發現了法定利潤數字下的一些相關細節。

Check out our latest analysis for ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd

查看我們對邵陽維多液壓有限公司的最新分析

SZSE:301079 Earnings and Revenue History April 16th 2022
SZSE:301079收益和收入歷史2022年4月16日

A Closer Look At ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's Earnings

仔細看看邵陽維多液壓有限公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者都沒有聽説過現金流應計比率但它實際上是衡量一家公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)支持公司利潤的程度的有用指標。簡單地説,這個比率是從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後用這個數字除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以把來自現金流的應計比率看作是‘非FCF利潤率’。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因為它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率為正,但值得注意的是,在應計比率相當高的地方。引用勒維倫和雷蘇泰克2014年的一篇論文,“應計利潤較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

For the year to December 2021, ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥20m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥50.9m. It's worth noting that ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥34m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2021年12月的一年,邵陽維多液壓有限公司的應計比率為0.29。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其法定利潤,這讓我們懷疑利潤作為指導的效用。在過去的一年裏,它實際上負面自由現金流為2000萬元,而前述利潤為5090萬元。值得注意的是,邵陽維多水務有限公司一年前產生了3400萬元的正FCF,所以至少他們過去做到了。話雖如此,故事中還有更多的東西。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd.

注:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對邵陽維多液壓有限公司的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

異常項目對利潤的影響

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥13m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

該公司去年有一些不尋常的項目使利潤增加了1300萬加元,這一事實可能在某種程度上解釋了為什麼它的應計比率如此之低。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們保持樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析了數千家上市公司的數據時,我們發現,在給定的一年中,不尋常的項目往往會帶來提振第二年又重複了一遍。考慮到這個名字,這並不令人驚訝。假設這些不同尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,我們因此預計明年的利潤會更弱(也就是説,在沒有業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's Profit Performance

我們對邵陽維多液壓有限公司利潤表現的看法

Summing up, ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, ShaoYang Victor HydraulicsLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

綜上所述,邵陽維多液壓有限公司從不尋常的項目中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但賬面利潤與自由現金流無法匹配。考慮到這一切,我們認為邵陽維多水電有限公司的利潤可能給人一種過於慷慨的印象,表明其可持續的盈利水平。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司做更多的分析,瞭解其中的風險是至關重要的。例如,邵陽維多液壓有限公司有兩個警示標誌(還有一個有點令人擔憂),我們認為你應該知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了一些可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但如果你有能力將注意力集中在細枝末節上,總會有更多的東西需要發現。一些人認為,高股本回報率是高質量企業的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要為您做一些研究,但您可能會發現免費擁有高股本回報率的公司的集合,或者是內部人士購買的有用的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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