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Plug Power Isn’t Your Best Bet From Defiance ETFs Green Hydrogen Fund

Plug Power Isn’t Your Best Bet From Defiance ETFs Green Hydrogen Fund

Defiance ETF綠色氫氣基金的Plug Power不是你最好的賭注
InvestorPlace ·  2022/03/01 06:12

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It's been nine months since I last wrote about Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG) stock. Plug Power went on a wild ride in those nine months.

我上一次寫這篇文章已經九個月了插頭電源(納斯達克:插頭)股票。Plug Power在這九個月裏一路狂奔。

Source: Alexander Kirch / Shutterstock.com
消息來源:Alexander Kirch/Shutterstock.com

Now trading where it did last May, it appears that $20 is set up as a support line for the developer of hydrogen fuel cell systems.

現在的交易價格與去年5月持平,似乎為氫燃料電池系統的開發商設立了20美元的支撐線。

On three occasions over the past year, whenever PLUG got near $20, it would shoot higher. On May 10, 2021, it hit $20; less than a month later, it was $35. In August, it got as low as $23.53 before climbing to $45 in mid-November. On the last occasion in late January 2022, it dropped into the teens before recovering to $25, where it stands at this writing. 

在過去的一年裏,有三次,每當Plug接近20美元時,它就會飆升。2021年5月10日,它觸及20美元;不到一個月後,它是35美元。8月份,金價一度跌至23.53美元,11月中旬攀升至45美元。上一次是在2022年1月下旬,它跌到了十幾歲,然後回升到25美元,也就是本文寫作時的水平。

So, from where I sit, if you're comfortable investing in companies with lots of potential and plenty of financial losses, Plug Power seems to be trading at or near a good entry point.

因此,在我看來,如果你樂於投資於潛力巨大、財務虧損嚴重的公司,那麼Plug Power似乎是一個很好的切入點或接近一個很好的切入點。

InvestorPlace contributor Christian Docan recently mentioned the Defiance Next Gen H2 ETF (NYSEARCA:HDRO) while discussing Plug Power's bearish momentum. Docan believes that the share price will fall further in 2022. He prefers waiting for the company to improve its cost structure while delivering on some of its investments.

InvestorPlace撰稿人克里斯蒂安·多坎最近提到Defiance下一代H2 ETF(NYSEArca:HDRO)在討論插頭電源時看跌勢頭。多坎認為,2022年股價將進一步下跌。他更喜歡等待公司改善成本結構,同時兑現一些投資。

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That's a fair argument. 

這是一個合理的論點。

However, it got me thinking about the 25 holdings in HDRO. Although Plug Power is the ETFs top holding with a weighting of 9.09%, it's not necessarily the best investment held by the ETF.

然而,這讓我想起了HDRO持有的25個股份。儘管Plug Power以9.09%的權重是ETF的最高持有量,但它不一定是ETF持有的最佳投資。

So, if not PLUG, then who? I'll consider the possibilities.

那麼,如果不插電,那會是誰呢?我會考慮各種可能性的。

The Obvious Alternative to PLUG Stock

Plug Stock的明顯替代方案

Before I get into a couple of the names that might be better investments than Plug Power, the most obvious alternative is staring investors in the face. 

在我討論幾個可能比Plug Power更好的投資之前,最明顯的選擇是盯着投資者的臉。

Buy HDRO. Then you don't have to pick the best green hydrogen stock. Instead, if green energy is the real deal, five years from now, you'll win whether PLUG Power delivered the bulk of the ETF's returns. 

購買HDRO。這樣你就不必挑選最好的綠色氫氣原料了。相反,如果綠色能源是真正的交易,五年後,無論Plug Power是否提供了ETF的大部分回報,你都將獲勝。

Mind you, HDRO doesn't have a lot of assets – $47.9 million – for an ETF that's been around for almost a year. For example, the Engine No. 1 Transform Climate ETF (BATS:NETZ) launched just a month ago and it's already got $67.5 million in total net assets. 

請注意,HDRO沒有太多資產-4790萬美元-對於一隻存在了近一年的ETF來説。例如,一號引擎轉型氣候ETF(BATS:NETZ)一個月前剛剛推出,現在已經募集到6750萬美元在總淨資產中。

It's a competitive market out there. The faster you can get to $100 million; the more likely an ETF will stick around for the long haul. 

這是一個競爭激烈的市場。你越快達到1億美元,ETF就越有可能長期存在。

Defiance's investment case states the following:

迪法恩斯的投資案例説明以下內容:

Bank of America has compared the current phase of the hydrogen market to smartphones pre-2007 and the internet pre-dot.com. It estimates that hydrogen will generate 24% of our energy needs by 2050, creating as much as $11 trillion in investment opportunities over the next three decades.

美國銀行(Bank Of America)將當前階段的氫氣市場與2007年前的智能手機和互聯網之前的dot.com相提並論。它估計,到2050年,氫氣將產生24%的能源需求,在未來30年創造高達11萬億美元的投資機會。

If you're considering owning PLUG because of this argument, doesn't it make more sense to have the power of 25 holdings behind you to ride the wave?

如果你因為這個爭論而考慮擁有Plug,那麼擁有25家控股公司的力量不是更有意義嗎?

I know you don't want to pay the 0.75% management expense. Well, if hydrogen pays off like Bank of America thinks it will, you won't be complaining in 2050 about your fees paid.

我知道你不想支付0.75%的管理費。嗯,如果氫氣像美國銀行認為的那樣得到了回報,你就不會在2050年抱怨你支付的費用了。

The 2 Possible Choices

兩種可能的選擇

The fifth-largest holding at 5.55% is Air Liquide (OTCMKTS:AIQUY), the French provider of industrial gases, to over 3.8 million customers in 78 countries. 

持股比例為5.55%的第五大持股是液化空氣(OTCMKTS:AIQUY),法國工業氣體供應商,向Over78個國家和地區的380萬客户。

It makes a profit. In 2021, it earned 2.57 billion Euros ($2.89 billion). Over the past 30 years, it's grown revenues, earnings per share, and dividends per share by 5.4%, 6.7%, and 8.3%, respectively, compounded annually.      

它是有利可圖的。2021年,它賺了25.7億歐元(28.9億美元)。在過去的30年裏,它的收入、每股收益和每股股息分別以每年5.4%、6.7%和8.3%的複合增長率增長。

In November 2021, the company announced that it was partnering with Eni (NYSE:E) to invest in building hydrogen refueling stations in Italy.  

2021年11月,該公司宣佈它的合作伙伴埃尼(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:E)在意大利投資建設氫氣加氣站。

"The partnership will leverage Air Liquide's expertise across the entire hydrogen value chain (production, transportation, storage and distribution) and Eni's expertise in commercial and retail activities coupled with the availability of an extended network of service stations," stated the press release.

新聞稿稱:“這一合作關係將利用液化空氣在整個氫氣價值鏈(生產、運輸、儲存和分銷)上的專業知識,以及埃尼在商業和零售活動方面的專業知識,以及廣泛的加油站網絡的可用性。”

"This cooperation aims to promote the development of technologies, skills and infrastructures to enable hydrogen mobility, also evaluating partnerships with other relevant players."

這項合作旨在促進技術、技能和基礎設施的發展,以實現氫氣流動,並評估與其他相關參與者的夥伴關係。“

Air Liquide's shares have delivered good, if not great, returns over the long haul. However, hydrogen could be the game-changer. 

從長期來看,液化空氣的股票帶來了不錯的回報(如果不是很高的話)。然而,氫氣可能會改變遊戲規則。

The second possibility is Ceres Power Holdings (OTCMKTS:CPWHF). It's spent the last 20 years developing SteelCell fuel cell technology embedded into existing products such as natural gas and hydrogen. 

第二種可能性是Ceres Power Holdings(OTCMKTS:CPWHF)。在過去的20年裏,它一直在開發嵌入到天然氣和氫氣等現有產品中的鋼鐵電池燃料電池技術。

However, like Plug Power, it loses money, so you're no further ahead if you only want to bet on profitable companies.

然而,像Plug Power一樣,它也是賠錢的,所以如果你只想押注於盈利的公司,你就不會再領先了。

The Bottom Line

底線

When it comes to innovative, new technologies, I think thematic ETFs make a lot of sense. It reduces the company-specific risk while benefiting from the theory that "a rising tide lifts all boats."

當談到創新、新技術時,我認為主題ETF很有意義。它降低了公司特有的風險,同時受益於“水漲船高”的理論。

That's not to say I don't think PLUG is an exciting company, because it sure is. However, it's always good to look at alternatives. They're available. 

這並不是説我不認為Plug是一家令人興奮的公司,因為它確實是一家令人興奮的公司。然而,尋找替代方案總是很好的。他們是有空的。

On the date of publication, Will Ashworth did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,威爾·阿什沃斯沒有(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南.

Will Ashworth has written about investments full-time since 2008. Publications where he's appeared include InvestorPlace, The Motley Fool Canada, Investopedia, Kiplinger, and several others in both the U.S. and Canada. He particularly enjoys creating model portfolios that stand the test of time. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia. 

威爾·阿什沃思(Will Ashworth)自2008年以來一直全職撰寫有關投資的文章。他現身的出版物包括InvestorPlace,The Motley Fool Canada,Investopedia,Kiplinger,以及美國和加拿大的其他幾家出版物。他尤其喜歡創建經得起時間考驗的模型投資組合。他住在新斯科舍省的哈利法克斯。

The post Plug Power Isn't Your Best Bet From Defiance ETFs Green Hydrogen Fund appeared first on InvestorPlace.

Defiance ETF的POST Plug Power不是你最好的賭注綠色氫氣基金首先出現在InvestorPlace上。

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