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7 Nickel Stocks to Buy if You Missed Out on Talon Metals’ Takeoff

7 Nickel Stocks to Buy if You Missed Out on Talon Metals’ Takeoff

7 鎳股買,如果你錯過了爪金屬 '起飛
InvestorPlace ·  2022/01/18 15:42

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There are many reasons to consider commodities stocks at present. For one, they can generally act as a hedge against inflation when fiat currency acts in unexpected ways. Two, investors remain very aware that commodities are integral parts of supply chains across every industry. In times like these when supply chain issues are highly prevalent, commodities can rise quickly. 

目前有很多理由考慮大宗商品庫存。首先,當法定貨幣以出人意料的方式運作時,它們通常可以起到對衝通脹的作用。第二,投資者仍然非常清楚,大宗商品是每個行業供應鏈不可或缺的一部分。在這種供應鏈問題高度普遍的時期,大宗商品可能會迅速上漲。

And, as in the case of Talon Metals (OTCMKTS:TLOFF), some commodities are important to rapidly-growing industries. It's no secret that electric vehicle (EV) battery production requires heavy metals. Lithium has been often cited as one to watch by investors seeking vital components to invest in within the EV sector. 

而且,與Talon Metals(OTCMKTS:TLOFF)的情況一樣,一些大宗商品對快速增長的行業非常重要。電動汽車(EV)電池的生產需要重金屬,這已不是什麼祕密。鋰經常被投資者引用為一種值得關注的產品,這些投資者尋求在電動汽車行業投資關鍵零部件。

But Talon Metals supplies nickel, another vitally important element in EV battery production. It was on Jan. 10 that the company announced it had signed a deal to supply nickel concentrate to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). The six-year agreement has investors scrambling to understand the nickel market as it relates to EV battery production. 

但Talon Metals供應鎳,這是電動汽車電池生產中另一種至關重要的元素。1月10日,該公司宣佈已簽署向以下公司供應鎳精礦的協議特斯拉(納斯達克:特斯拉)。這份為期6年的協議讓投資者爭先恐後地瞭解鎳市場,因為它與電動汽車電池生產有關。

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That means one thing: Investors want to know which nickel stocks could be next. Let's take a look at the strongest operators who might announce similar deals moving forward:

這意味着一件事:投資者想知道下一個可能是哪些鎳庫存。讓我們來看看未來可能宣佈類似交易的實力最強的運營商:

  • Norilsk Nickel (OTCMKTS:NILSY
  • IGO Ltd. (OTCMKTS:IIDDY)
  • Canada Nickel (OTCMKTS:CNIKF)
  • Vale (NYSE:VALE)
  • Glencore (OTCMKTS:GLNCY)
  • North American Nickel (OTCMKTS:WSCRF)
  • PolyMet Mining (NYSEAMERICAN:PLM)
  • 諾裏爾斯克鎳業(OTCMKTS:NILSY)
  • IGO有限公司(OTCMKTS:IIDDY)
  • 加拿大鎳(OTCMKTS:CNIKF)
  • 谷谷(紐約證券交易所:淡水河谷)
  • 嘉能可(OTCMKTS:GLNCY)
  • 北美鎳(OTCMKTS:WSCRF)
  • 聚甲基硅烷採礦法(NYSEAMERICAN:PLM)

Nickel Stocks: Norilsk Nickel (NILSY) 

鎳庫存:諾裏爾斯克鎳業(Norilsk Nickel)

Source: T. Schneider / Shutterstock
消息來源:T.Schneider/Shutterstock

Norilsk Nickel, or Nornickel, was the world's largest nickel producer in 2020. The company produced 178,200 metric tons of the metal in the year. It has also long been the world's leading producer of the metal. 

諾裏爾斯克鎳業是2020年全球最大的鎳生產商。該公司全年生產了17.82萬噸這種金屬。長期以來,中國一直是全球領先的黃金生產商。

So, if nickel prices and production continue to rise, Nornickel is worth considering due to its strong position alone. The firm has seen nickel revenues increase in the last few years as the metal rises to a more prominent role. In the first half of 2020, Nornickel recorded $1.26 billion in nickel revenue. That increased by 34% in the first half of 2021, reaching nearly $1.7 billion. 

因此,如果鎳價和產量繼續上漲,僅憑諾鎳的強勢地位就值得考慮。過去幾年,隨着鎳的地位上升,該公司的鎳收入有所增加。2020年上半年,諾鎳公司錄得12.6億美元的鎳收入。2021年上半年,這一數字增長了34%,達到近17億美元。

On the one hand, Nornickel is clearly worth consideration due to its scale. However, there are some negatives to be aware of. One is simply tax changes. As of Aug. 1, 2021, a 15% nickel export duty has been imposed on the firm. That implies Nornickel could be less attractive than nickel producers more proximal to EV production — particularly those in the U.S. 

一方面,諾尼克的規模顯然值得考慮。然而,也有一些負面因素需要注意。其中一個很簡單,就是税收改革。截至2021年8月1日,該公司已被徵收15%的鎳出口關税。這意味着諾鎳公司的吸引力可能不如更接近電動汽車生產的鎳生產商--特別是美國的生產商。

That said, NILSY stock maintains an overweight rating with a few dollars of price appreciation baked into target prices. 

話雖如此,NILSY股票仍維持增持評級,目標價中包含了幾美元的價格升值。

IGO Ltd. (IIDDY)

IGO有限公司(IIDDY)

Source: Evgeny_V / Shutterstock
來源:Evgeny_V/Shutterstock

IGO Ltd. is an Australian miner which last counted 208,000 tons of nickel resources under its control. In addition, it also has 163,000 tons of nickel ore reserves. The company isn't a pure play nickel miner: It also has significant operations in copper, cobalt and gold as well. 

IGO有限公司是一家澳大利亞礦商,上一次其控制的鎳資源為20.8萬噸。此外,它還擁有16.3萬噸鎳礦石儲量。該公司並不是一家純粹的鎳礦商:它還擁有重要的銅、鈷和黃金業務。

But let's put that into perspective by comparing IGO's nickel resources with those at Talon Metals. Tesla has committed to purchase 75,000 tons of nickel from Talon Metals over six years. Thus, it's clear that IGO Ltd. could easily supply another EV battery manufacturer given its proven nickel reserves. 

但讓我們通過將IGO的鎳資源與Talon Metals的鎳資源進行比較來正確看待這一點。特斯拉已承諾在六年內從Talon Metals購買7.5萬噸鎳。因此,考慮到已探明的鎳儲量,IGO Ltd.顯然可以很容易地向另一家電動汽車電池製造商供貨。

The company maintains 100% ownership over its Nova Operation in Western Australia. The Nova Operation is expected to produce between 27,000 to 29,000 tons of nickel in fiscal year 2021. 

該公司對其在西澳大利亞的Nova業務保持100%的所有權。Nova業務預計在2021財年生產27,000至29,000噸鎳。

Another interesting aspect of IGO Ltd. is that its stock has only been trading publicly since March of 2021. It began trading at $9.58 and has risen steadily since. It now trades above $16 and has strong analyst backing.

IGO Ltd.另一個有趣的方面是,它的股票從2021年3月才開始公開交易。該股開盤報9.58美元,此後穩步上漲。它現在的交易價格在16美元以上,並得到了分析師的大力支持。

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However, it is also above their target prices currently. That suggests it is either performing extremely strongly and was undervalued, or that it could fall soon. 

不過,目前也高於他們的目標價。這表明,它要麼表現極其強勁,被低估,要麼可能很快就會下跌。

Nickel Stocks: Canada Nickel (CNIKF)

鎳庫存:加拿大鎳業(CNIKF)

Source: AlexLMX / Shutterstock
來源:AlexLMX/Shutterstock

Canada Nickel believes the nickel demand is underestimated by 15%. It forecasts that demand growth is set to double by 2030. 

加拿大鎳業認為鎳需求被低估了15%。它預測,到2030年,需求增長將翻一番。

Canada Nickel attributes this growth to EV battery production. The company basically sees the demand for nickel use in EV batteries increasing by 20% annually between now and 2030. 

加拿大鎳業將這一增長歸因於電動汽車電池的生產。該公司預計,從現在到2030年,電動汽車電池對鎳的需求將以每年20%的速度增長。

Canada Nickel's latest investor presentation makes note of Tesla's role in that demand. It contains a quote from Elon Musk which reads: "… please mine more nickel … Tesla will give you a giant contract for a long period of time if you mine nickel efficiently and in an environmentally sensitive way."

加拿大鎳業的最新投資者介紹指出了特斯拉在這一需求中所扮演的角色。其中引用了埃隆·馬斯克的一句話:“請多開採鎳,如果你以環保的方式高效開採鎳,特斯拉將為你提供一份長期的鉅額合同。”(…Pure Me More Net…)

Musk made that call to action back in the summer of 2020. Here we are in early 2022, and Talon Metals looks to be the first beneficiary to heed his call. But again, Canada Nickel, like other nickel producing companies, has a great opportunity at its feet. 

馬斯克在2020年夏天發出了採取行動的呼籲。我們現在是在2022年初,塔龍金屬公司似乎是第一個響應他的呼籲的受益者。但再一次,加拿大鎳業和其他鎳生產公司一樣,面臨着巨大的機遇。

It's clear Tesla isn't the only EV battery producer which will demand nickel moving forward. Canada Nickel's Crawford Nickel-Cobalt Project is its ticket. It is projected to produce 42,000 tons of nickel annually when it reaches peak production. 

很明顯,特斯拉並不是唯一一家未來需要鎳的電動汽車電池生產商。加拿大鎳業的克勞福德鎳鈷項目就是它的門票。預計當產量達到頂峯時,該公司的鎳年產量將達到4.2萬噸。

Vale (VALE) 

淡水河谷(Vale)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

Vale is a giant mining conglomerate with a more diversified base than other companies on this list. As per the company website, Vale claims to be "the world's largest producer of iron ore, pellets, and nickel."

淡水河谷是一家大型礦業集團,與榜單上的其他公司相比,其基礎更加多元化。根據該公司的網站,淡水河谷自稱是“世界上最大的鐵礦石、球團礦和鎳生產商”。

In 2020, however, Vale was bested by Norilsk Nickel in terms of nickel production. It looks like Nornickel produced 178,200 tons of nickel while Vale produced 167,600 tons. In its most recent quarter, Vale produced 30,200 tons of nickel. That was a 27.2% decrease sequentially from the second quarter.

然而,在2020年,淡水河谷的鎳產量被諾裏爾斯克鎳業擊敗。看起來諾鎳公司的鎳產量為17.82萬噸,而淡水河谷的鎳產量為16.76萬噸。在最近一個季度,淡水河谷生產了3.02萬噸鎳。這比第二季度下降了27.2%。

The good news is that the decrease was primarily due to a labor dispute at the firm's Sudbury operations. That dispute has been resolved, meaning nickel production figures should rise again. 

好消息是,下降的主要原因是該公司薩德伯裏業務的勞資糾紛。這一爭端已經得到解決,這意味着鎳產量數據應該會再次上升。

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And even with the disruption, Vale has given guidance that it should reach between 165-170 kilotons of nickel production in 2021. Yes, it is a diversified nickel producer, meaning it can't capitalize as quickly on nickel prices and demand as pure play firms. But at the same time, it has scale advantages which can't be replicated. 

即使出現了中斷,淡水河谷也給出了指引,稱2021年鎳產量應達到165至170千噸。是的,它是一家多元化的鎳生產商,這意味着它不能像純粹的公司那樣迅速從鎳價和需求中獲利。但與此同時,它擁有不可複製的規模優勢。

Nickel Stocks: Glencore (GLNCY)

鎳庫存:嘉能可(Glencore)

Source: Marlon Trottmann / Shutterstock
消息來源:馬龍·特羅特曼/Shutterstock

Glencore is another massive, diversified company which also produces nickel. In fact, it was the third-largest nickel producer globally in 2020 at 101,600 tons of nickel. The firm's operations span metals and minerals, energy, marketing and recycling. 

嘉能可是另一家也生產鎳的大型多元化公司。事實上,2020年,中國是全球第三大鎳生產國,鎳產量為10.16萬噸。該公司的業務涵蓋金屬和礦產、能源、營銷和回收。

Within its metals and minerals division, the company focuses on roughly a half a dozen metals. In short, it is a highly diversified firm. A pure-play nickel company, it is not. The firm has nickel assets in Asia, Australia, Canada and Europe and derived $591 million in EBITDA from those operations in 2020. 

在其金屬和礦產部門,該公司專注於大約六種金屬。簡而言之,它是一家高度多元化的公司。它不是一家純粹的鎳公司。該公司在亞洲、澳大利亞、加拿大和歐洲擁有鎳資產,2020年從這些業務中獲得了5.91億美元的EBITDA。

I mentioned that the firm produced 101,600 tons of nickel in 2020. At the same time, it sold 149,000 tons of nickel in the same period. The company will likely be looking to up its reserves and production as a result. 

我提到,該公司在2020年生產了10.16萬噸鎳。與此同時,該公司同期銷售了14.9萬噸鎳。因此,該公司可能會尋求增加儲量和產量。

Glencore should be attractive for environmental, social and governance (ESG) investors as well. The firm has a stated goal of reaching net-zero emissions by 2050.

嘉能可對環境、社會和治理(ESG)投資者也應該具有吸引力。該公司有一個明確的目標,即到2050年實現淨零排放。

North American Nickel (WSCRF)

北美鎳(WSCRF)

Source: aura23 / Shutterstock
來源:aura23/Shutterstock

North American Nickel is a small-cap stock focused on the nickel market. In fact, its market capitalization is just above $60 million. By comparison, Vale carries a market capitalization of $73 billion. 

北美鎳業是一隻專注於鎳市場的小盤股。事實上,它的市值僅略高於6000萬美元。相比之下,淡水河谷的市值為730億美元。

WSCRF stock is also very inexpensive, with shares that trade below 50 cents each. It is fair to characterize it as a speculative play on a nickel — and the most speculative stock on this list.

WSCRF的股票也非常便宜,每股交易價格低於50美分。可以公平地將其描述為一枚鎳幣的投機性遊戲--也是這份名單上投機性最強的股票。

The company has mineral exploration properties in Greenland and Ontario. It is also a founding shareholder in premium Nickel Resources, which has direct exposure to nickel in Southern Africa. 

該公司在格陵蘭島和安大略省擁有礦產勘探資產。它也是優質鎳資源公司的創始股東之一,該公司在南部非洲直接投資於鎳。

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In my mind, the best-case scenario for North American Nickel is that its proven nickel reserves on one of its properties become attractive to an acquirer. Its Greenland assets have nickel reserves on their grounds. The firm's Ontario assets are near proven assets as well. But until it begins to produce revenues from them, it remains a speculative buy at best. 

在我看來,對北美鎳業來説,最好的情況是,其在其中一處資產上已探明的鎳儲量對收購方具有吸引力。該公司的格陵蘭資產擁有鎳儲量。該公司在安大略省的資產也接近已探明的資產。但在它開始從中產生收入之前,它充其量仍是一種投機性買入。

Nickel Stocks: PolyMet Mining (PLM)

鎳庫存:Polymet礦業(PLM)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

The Talon Metals project in collaboration with Tesla has operations in Minnesota. PolyMet Mining is another project out of the same state, and its NorthMet mine contains 170 million pounds of nickel. That suggests PLM stock could become more attractive moving forward. 

與特斯拉合作的Talon Metals項目在明尼蘇達州有業務。Polymet礦業是另一個來自同一州的項目,其NorthMet礦含有1.7億磅鎳。這表明,未來PLM股票可能會變得更具吸引力。

One reason to strongly consider PolyMet Mining is that it has the backing of another giant conglomerate on this list. Glencore is a majority owner of PolyMet Mining. That should give the latter easier access to resources than many other projects. 

強烈考慮PolyMet Mining的一個原因是,它得到了名單上另一家大型企業集團的支持。嘉能可是PolyMet Mining的多數股權所有者。這應該會使後者比許多其他項目更容易獲得資源。

If PolyMet Mining suddenly becomes more appealing for any number of reasons, Glencore has an embedded interest in speeding its development along. That implies it could potentially rise quicker than less well-heeled operations on this list. 

如果PolyMet礦業突然因各種原因變得更具吸引力,嘉能可對加快其發展有着根深蒂固的興趣。這意味着,在這份榜單上,它可能會比不那麼富裕的公司上升得更快。

Back in late December, PolyMet Mining received good news in its ongoing permitting battle. The Minnesota Pollution Control Agency gave it support in its pursuit of a key permit to begin operations. PolyMet Mining now has four lawsuits remaining to overcome in 2022. It has overcome 18 already and maintains that it will be vindicated, as its operations are backed by science. 

早在12月下旬,PolyMet Mining在正在進行的許可之戰中收到了好消息。明尼蘇達州污染控制機構在尋求開始運營的關鍵許可方面給予了支持。到2022年,Polymet礦業公司還有四起訴訟需要解決。它已經克服了18個問題,並堅稱它將被證明是正確的,因為它的運營是有科學支持的。

If the company is correct in its assertion, its stock price should rise significantly in 2022.

如果該公司的斷言是正確的,它的股價應該會在2022年大幅上漲。

On Penny Stocks and Low-Volume Stocks: With only the rarest exceptions, InvestorPlace does not publish commentary about companies that have a market cap of less than $100 million or trade less than 100,000 shares each day. That's because these "penny stocks" are frequently the playground for scam artists and market manipulators. If we ever do publish commentary on a low-volume stock that may be affected by our commentary, we demand that InvestorPlace.com's writers disclose this fact and warn readers of the risks.

關於細價股和低成交量股票: 不會發布關於市值低於1億美元或每天交易量低於10萬股的公司的評論,只有極少數例外。這是因為這些“廉價股”經常是詐騙藝術家和市場操縱者的遊樂場。如果我們確實發佈了可能受我們的評論影響的低成交量股票的評論,我們要求 InvestorPlace.com該書的作者披露了這一事實,並警告讀者其中的風險。

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On the date of publication, Alex Sirois did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

截至發稿之日,Alex Sirois並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.

Alex Sirois is a freelance contributor to InvestorPlace whose personal stock investing style is focused on long-term, buy-and-hold, wealth-building stock picks. Having worked in several industries from e-commerce to translation to education and utilizing his MBA from George Washington University, he brings a diverse set of skills through which he filters his writing.

亞歷克斯·西羅斯是InvestorPlace的自由撰稿人,他的個人股票投資風格專注於長期、買入並持有、積累財富的股票選擇。 曾在從電子商務到翻譯再到教育的多個行業工作過,並利用他在喬治華盛頓大學的工商管理碩士學位,他帶來了一套多樣化的技能,他通過這些技能來過濾他的寫作。

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