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Investment Opportunity Breakdown: Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks

Investment Opportunity Breakdown: Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks

投資機會細分:電動汽車充電股
InvestorPlace ·  2021/12/21 15:22

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As electric vehicle (EV) adoption continues at a rapid pace, there is an unprecedented demand for charging infrastructure to support both consumer and commercial vehicles. Electric vehicle chargers provide charging to battery-operated vehicles and more specifically, to the electrical source used to charge the battery. As of 2019, the market for electric vehicle chargers was valued at $3.8 billion. It is expected to grow at a CAGR of 26.8% to $25.5 billion by 2027. All of this potential has thrust EV charging stocks into the spotlight as an alternative way to play the inevitable rise of vehicle electrification around the world.

隨着電動汽車(EV)的持續快速採用,對充電基礎設施的需求前所未有,以支持消費和商用車。電動汽車充電器為電池驅動的車輛提供充電,更具體地説,為用於為電池充電的電源提供充電。截至2019年,電動汽車充電器的市場是價值38億美元。預計到2027年,這一數字將以26.8%的複合年增長率增長至255億美元。所有這些潛力都將電動汽車充電股票推到了聚光燈下,作為一種替代方式,以發揮世界各地汽車電氣化不可避免的崛起。

With that in mind, here's an overview of the investment opportunity in electric vehicle infrastructure stocks. 

考慮到這一點,以下是電動汽車基礎設施類股的投資機會概述。

EV Charging Stocks: Key Market Drivers

電動汽車充電股:關鍵的市場驅動力

The largest driver for electric vehicle charging infrastructure is demand for electric vehicles (see our EV stocks overview). Government initiatives to limit environmental pollution, coupled with consumers' interest in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, have led to increased adoption of electric vehicles. 

電動汽車充電基礎設施的最大驅動因素是對電動汽車的需求(參見我們的電動汽車庫存概述)。政府限制環境污染的舉措,加上消費者對減少温室氣體排放的興趣,導致越來越多的人採用電動汽車。

Fleet electrification is another significant demand driver for EV charging infrastructure. In fact, medium and heavy duty class vehicles are expected to electrify faster than passenger vehicles owing to a much lower per-mile cost, or TCO (Total Cost of Ownership). These favorable economics are the motivation behind the aggressive electrification plans at Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Fedex (NYSE:FDX) and UPS (NYSE:UPS). 

車隊電氣化是電動汽車充電基礎設施的另一個重要需求驅動因素。事實上,由於每英里成本或總擁有成本(TCO)低得多,預計中型和重型汽車的電氣化速度將快於乘用車。這些有利的經濟條件是積極的電氣化計劃背後的動機亞馬遜(納斯達克:amzn),聯邦快遞(紐約證券交易所:FDX)和UPS(紐約證券交易所代碼:UPS)。

In the U.S, a key industry catalyst was the signing of the U.S. Infrastructure Bill. President Joe Biden has allocated $7.5 billion to the development of 500,000 public electric vehicle charging stations. The U.S. Department of Energy estimates that it will need to install 11,407 public EV charging stations each quarter in order to achieve the government's target by 2030. The investment is expected to create more manufacturing jobs in the U.S. over the next few years. It is also expected to accelerate EV clean energy projects and allow the U.S. to capture a larger portion of the global EV market.

在美國,一個關鍵的行業催化劑是美國基礎設施法案的簽署。P居民喬·拜登已撥出75億美元用於開發50萬個公共電動汽車充電站。美國能源部估計數每季度需要安裝11,407個公共電動汽車充電站,才能在2030年前實現政府的目標。這項投資預計將在未來幾年為美國創造更多的製造業就業機會。預計它還將加速電動汽車的發展清潔能源項目,並使美國能夠在全球電動汽車市場佔據更大份額。

Finally, another catalyst fueling the growth of EV charging stocks is government tax incentives. Rebates and incentives are credited to new EV buyers under the second component of the bipartisan infrastructure law known as the "Build Back Better Framework." Following Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) lead, other EV manufacturers like General Motors (NYSE:GM), Ford (NYSE:F) and Nio (NYSE:NIO) are developing and installing public charging stations nationwide.

最後,推動電動汽車充電庫存增長的另一個催化劑是政府的税收優惠。根據兩黨基礎設施法的第二個組成部分,回扣和激勵措施將計入新的電動汽車購買者手中,該法律被稱為《重建更好的框架》.“如下特斯拉的(納斯達克:特斯拉)鉛,其他電動汽車製造商,如通用汽車(紐約證券交易所:通用汽車(GM)、福特(NYSE:F))和蔚來(紐約證券交易所:蔚來)正在全國範圍內開發和安裝公共充電站。

Evaluating the EV Charging Landscape 

評估電動汽車充電前景

Because most battery-electric cars have a limited driving range (between 300 and 400 miles), the availability and efficiency of charging stations is critical for further adoption.

因為大多數電池電動汽車的行駛里程有限(在300至400英里之間),充電站的可用性和效率對進一步採用至關重要。

There are three different levels of charging: Level 1, 2 and 3. Level 1 represents 120-volt charging using ubiquitous household outlets. Level 1, known as trickle charging, provides an EV or plug-in hybrid electric vehicle 3-5 miles of range per hour. These chargers require, on average, about 30 hours to replenish 150 miles of range, depending on the vehicle's efficiency. As cars.com notes, "a less efficient vehicle gets less range from the same amount of electricity as a more efficient one." Because of these, most EV makers include a small Level 1 charger with their plug-in vehicles. A grounded household plug terminates at a connector that plugs into the car on the other end.

有三個不同的收費級別:第一級、第二級和第三級。1級代表使用無處不在的家庭插座進行120伏充電。Level 1被稱為涓流充電,提供電動汽車或插電式混合動力汽車,每小時行駛3-5英里。這些充電器平均需要大約30小時才能為150英里的續航里程充電,這取決於車輛的能效。ASCars.com他指出:“一輛效率較低的汽車與一輛效率較高的汽車相比,從相同的電量獲得的里程更少。”正因為如此,大多數電動汽車製造商在他們的插電式汽車中都配備了一個小型一級充電器。一個接地的家用插頭端接在另一端插入汽車的連接器上。

Level 2 charging is the fastest means of charging at home. Level 2 operates at 240 volts, which is the same voltage many household appliances use. According to cars.com, "[T]he amount of current supported by Level 2 extends from 12 to 80 amps." As a result, Level 2 extends a vehicle's charging range. But, again, the amount depends on the efficiency of the battery. 

2級充電是家裏最快的充電方式。Level 2的工作電壓為240伏,與許多家用電器使用的電壓相同。根據cars.com的説法,“2級支持的電流從12安培擴展到80安培。”因此,Level 2擴大了車輛的充電範圍。但是,同樣,數量取決於電池的效率。

Level 3 Charging

3級收費

Level 3 charging, also called DC fast charging, is the gold standard in EV charging. It is available at specific charging stations.

Level 3充電,又稱直流快速充電,是電動汽車充電的黃金標準。它可以在特定的充電站使用。

Whereas level 1 and 2 chargers must rely on a process called rectification where they convert from alternating current (AC) to DC before they can charge the battery, Level 3 chargers start with higher AC voltage than level 1 and 2 chargers. DC fast chargers rectify it to high-voltage DC outside the car using dedicated equipment separate from the charging point hook up, and then feed that DC voltage directly to the car's battery.

而1級和2級充電器必須依賴一種稱為整流的過程,在這種過程中,它們3級充電器在充電前從交流電轉換為直流電,3級充電器開始時的交流電壓高於1級和2級充電器。直流快速充電器將其整流為高壓直流外面汽車使用專用設備從充電點分離出來,然後將直流電壓直接饋送到汽車的電池中。

The largest EV charging network is operated by the world's largest EV manufacturer, Tesla. Tesla began as a proprietary charging network; however, in November 2021, the company started opening its Supercharger network to other EV manufacturers. Most competing charging operators rely on roaming agreements with each other and carmakers to ensure network continuity. 

最大的電動汽車充電網絡由世界最大的電動汽車製造商特斯拉運營。特斯拉一開始是一個專有的充電網絡;然而,我2021年11月,該公司開始開放其超級充電器網絡給其他電動汽車製造商。大多數相互競爭的充電運營商依賴彼此和汽車製造商之間的漫遊協議來確保網絡的連續性。

Key Players in EV Infrastructure

中的主要參與者電動汽車基礎設施

A large number of EV charging infrastructure companies have recently gone public through business combinations involving SPACs (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies). 

大量電動汽車充電基礎設施公司最近通過涉及SPAC(特殊目的收購公司)的業務合併上市。

The space consists of three main subcategories. The largest category, which includes companies such as Blink Charging (NASDAQ:BLNK), Volta (NYSE:VLTA) and EVGo (NASDAQ:EVGO) build and operate their own charging networks. 

這個空間由三個主要的子類別組成。最大的類別,包括諸如閃爍充電 (納斯達克:BLNK), 電壓(紐約證券交易所代碼:VLTA)和EVGo(納斯達克:EVGo)建立和運營自己的充電網絡。

Others, like Beam Global (NASDAQ:BEEM) and Chargepoint (NYSE:CHPT), provide stations and software to third-party operators. Also in this category is EVBox, which is expected to complete its merger with TPG Pace Beneficial Finance (NYSE:TPGY) by Q1 2022. 

其他人,比如波束全局(納斯達克:Beem)充電點(紐約證券交易所:CHPT), 向第三方運營商提供站點和軟件。同樣屬於這一類別的還有預計將完成與EVBox的合併TPG Pace Benefit Finance (紐約證券交易所:TPGY)到2022年第一季度。

Finally, companies such as Wallbox NV (NYSE:WBX), which is part-owned by Spanish energy company Iberdrola SA (OTCMKTS:IBDRY), primarily makes chargers for homes and businesses.

最後,像這樣的公司內華達州Wallbox(紐約證券交易所:WBX),該公司由西班牙能源公司部分擁有Iberdrola SA(OTCMKTS:IBDRY),主要生產家庭和企業的充電器。

Industry Challenges, Competition and Consolidation 

行業挑戰、競爭與整合

Despite being a relatively nascent market, the EV charging infrastructure market is already very crowded. Major utilities and oil companies are already getting into this space. At the same time, most pure-play EV charging companies have generated very little in the way of predictable revenue. They're also generating gross margins below 30% and are largely unprofitable. Still, EV charging stocks commanded premium valuations throughout 2021.

儘管這是一個相對較新的市場,電動汽車充電基礎設施市場已經非常擁擠。大型公用事業公司和石油公司已經進入了這一領域。與此同時,大多數純電動汽車充電公司在可預測收入方面產生的收入很少。它們的毛利率也低於30%,而且基本上沒有盈利。儘管如此,電動汽車充電股票在整個2021年都擁有溢價估值。

The sector has already undergone heavy consolidation. Large diversified energy and utility companies have already acquired dozens of infrastructure installers and software providers in recent years.

該行業已經經歷了大規模的整合。近年來,多元化的大型能源和公用事業公司已經收購了數十家基礎設施安裝商和軟件提供商。

These include gas companies like Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RSD.A, NYSE:RSD.B) and BP (NYSE:BP) and utility players like Enel (OTCMKTS:ENLAY) and Electricite de France SA — each of which have acquired charging station companies and related solutions providers. As a result, startups in the sector are now under growing pressure to carve out a dominant market position. 

這些公司包括天然氣公司,如荷蘭皇家殼牌(紐約證券交易所:RSD.A,NYSE:RSD.B)BP(紐約證券交易所代碼:BP)和公用事業公司,如意大利國家電力公司(OTCMKTS:ENLAY)和法國電力公司 Sa--每一項已經收購了充電站公司和相關解決方案提供商。因此,該行業的初創企業現在面臨着越來越大的壓力,要求它們開拓主導市場地位。

Most of the largest players in the EV charging infrastructure sector focus on serving large company fleets. Charging network suppliers typically install high-speed chargers along highways, as well as "destination charging" at shopping malls, restaurants and other public sites. This strategy has fueled a land grab for the best locations. Accordingly, one of the main advantages of the large oil companies and utilities and fuel retailers is their vast customer base and roadside real estate. Power companies getting into this space also point to their expertise in managing the grid.

電動汽車充電基礎設施領域的大多數最大參與者都專注於為大型公司車隊提供服務。充電網絡供應商通常在高速公路沿線安裝高速充電器,並在商場、餐館和其他公共場所安裝“目的地充電”。這一戰略助長了對最佳地點的土地爭奪。因此,大型石油公司、公用事業公司和燃料零售商的主要優勢之一是其龐大的客户基礎和路邊房地產。進入這一領域的電力公司也指出了他們在電網管理方面的專業知識。

EV charging is a capital-intensive business. Companies in this space are mostly not expected to break even on an adjusted EBITDA basis in 2023 and 2024 timeframe. Many of the independent entrants have tapped public markets to raise money and bolster balance sheets. Yet, many observers question both the capitalization and the long-term profitability of the EV charging infrastructure business.

電動汽車充電是一項資本密集型業務。C這一領域的公司大多不是預計2023年和2024年在調整後的EBITDA基礎上實現盈虧平衡。許多獨立進入者都利用公開市場籌集資金,增強資產負債表。然而,許多觀察人士對電動汽車充電基礎設施業務的資本和長期盈利能力都提出了質疑。

At the same time, large utility players can recoup grid-related investments from their ratepayers. Oil companies also generate healthy profit margins on their retail stations. These represent considerable economies of scale and a competitive threat to pure-play charging infrastructure suppliers. 

與此同時,大型公用事業公司可以從差餉繳納人那裏收回與電網相關的投資。石油公司的零售站也產生了可觀的利潤率。這些都代表着相當大的規模經濟,並對純粹的充電基礎設施供應商構成競爭威脅。

The Bottom Line on Investing in EV Infrastructure

投資的底線是什麼電動汽車基礎設施

Interest in more affordable electric vehicles (EVs) and alternative energy sources is clearly rising and gaining support from governments globally. Strong secular drivers, coupled with accelerating manufacture of consumer EVs, should allow EV charging suppliers to sustain double digit-percentage growth over the next decade. Given the capital-intensive nature of the business, coupled with an uncertain long-term earnings profile, most observers expect continued consolidation in the coming 12-18 months.  

人們對更實惠的電動汽車(EVS)和替代能源的興趣顯然正在上升,並獲得了全球各國政府的支持。強勁的長期驅動因素,加上消費類電動汽車製造的加速,應該會使電動汽車充電供應商在未來10年保持兩位數的百分比增長。鑑於該業務的資本密集型性質,加上長期盈利狀況不確定,大多數觀察人士預計,未來12至18個月將繼續整合。

On the date of publication, Joanna Makris did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

截至發稿之日,Joanna Makris並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。

Joanna Makris is a Market Analyst at InvestorPlace.com. A strategic thinker and fundamental public equity investor, Joanna leverages over 20 years of experience on Wall Street covering various segments of the Technology, Media, and Telecom sectors at several global investment banks, including Mizuho Securities and Canaccord Genuity.

喬安娜·馬克里斯是安邦保險的市場分析師InvestorPlace.com。作為一名戰略思想家和基礎公開股票投資者,Joanna在華爾街擁有20多年的經驗,涵蓋了幾家全球投資銀行的技術、媒體和電信部門,包括瑞穗證券和Canaccel Genuity。

Click here to follow her Behind the Wall series, where she provides the insider scoop on the hottest technologies and trends from today's business leaders, industry experts and money managers.

點擊此處關注她在牆後的系列在那裏,她提供了來自當今商業領袖、行業專家和基金經理的最熱門技術和趨勢的內部獨家新聞。

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