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When to buy a stock

When to buy a stock

什麼時候買股票?
Moomoo Courses ·  2021/11/23 02:47

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We all know it is important to select a good company worth investing in, but is that all?

我們都知道選擇一家值得投資的好公司很重要,但這就是全部嗎?

If you buy the shares of a good company, does that mean you can rest assured, do nothing about it, and wake up finding yourself a millionaire?

如果你買了一家好公司的股票,是不是意味着你可以放心,什麼都不做,醒來就會發現自己成了百萬富翁?

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Absolutely not.

絕對不行。

A good company does not necessarily come with a fair price. 

一家好的公司不一定會有一個公平的價格。

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For example, $Amazon(AMZN.US)$, an outstanding company showing impressive growth in both business and stock price, may not be a good investment choice at the end of 1999. 

例如,$亞馬遜(AMZN.US)$一家業務和股價都有令人印象深刻增長的優秀公司,在1999年底可能不是一個好的投資選擇。

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If you bought $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ stock in 1999, you would ride on a roller coaster from over $100 to less than $10 after the burst of the dot-com bubble.

如果你買了$亞馬遜(AMZN.US)$1999年的股票,在互聯網泡沫破裂後,你會坐過山車從100美元以上跌到不到10美元。

It would take 10 years to recover the initial investment. 

收回最初的投資需要10年時間。

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Can you wait a decade for a stock to rebound?

你能等上十年,等一隻股票反彈嗎?

'Just hang on, hang on...' That's what you tell yourself. But when you suffer a 90% loss, your answer may be a no-no.

“等一下,等一下……”你就是這麼告訴自己的。但當你遭受90%的損失時,你的回答可能是“不”。

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In fact, Warren Buffett already gave us a tip, and he said, 'Buy a wonderful company at a fair price.'

事實上,沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)已經給了我們一個提示,他説,以公平的價格收購一家優秀的公司。

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So the question becomes how can we tell if a stock is at a fair price?

因此,問題變成了我們如何判斷一隻股票是否處於公平價格?

To help your understanding, let's take a look at the following example. 

為了幫助您理解,讓我們看一下下面的示例。

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Suppose there are two cafés named Bull Café and Bear Café.

假設有兩家名為Bull Café和Bear Café的咖啡館。

The annual profit is $200,000 for Bull and $50,000 for Bear.

公牛和貝爾斯登的年利潤分別為20萬美元和5萬美元。

Both cafés are for sale now. Bull is sold at $1,000,000, while Bear is sold at  $500,000.

這兩家咖啡館現在都在出售。公牛的售價為100萬美元,而貝爾斯登的售價為50萬美元。

Which café would you buy? 

你會買哪家咖啡館?

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To figure this out, let's take a look at one of the most widely used valuation metrics: the price-to-earnings ratio, or P/E ratio.

為了弄清這一點,讓我們看看最廣泛使用的估值指標之一:市盈率,或市盈率。

Basically, a company's P/E ratio tells us how much its investors are willing to pay for every dollar earned by the company. 

基本上,一家公司的市盈率告訴我們,它的投資者願意為公司賺的每一美元支付多少錢。

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Now let's go back to the example of cafés. Bull is sold at $100,000,000 and has an earnings of $200,000.

現在讓我們回到咖啡館的例子,公牛的售價為1億美元,收入為20萬美元。

So its P/E ratio is 5 times.

因此,其市盈率為5倍。

Likewise, we can calculate Bear's P/E ratio, which is 10 times. 

同樣,我們可以計算出貝爾斯登的市盈率是10倍。

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This means if you decide to buy Bull Café, it will take you 5 years to recover your initial investment.

這意味着,如果你決定收購Bull Café,你需要5年時間才能收回最初的投資。

If you buy Bear Café, the number would be 10 years.

如果你買了Bear Café,數字是10年。

By comparing the P/E ratios, we could tell that Bull Café may be a better buy. 

通過比較市盈率,我們可以看出Bull Café可能是一個更好的選擇。

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Normally, the higher the P/E ratio, the more likely that the stock is overvalued, and vice versa. 

通常情況下,市盈率越高,股票被高估的可能性就越大,反之亦然。

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Now you may probably ask, 'What if a company has no earnings? How can I tell if its stock price is overvalued or undervalued?"'

現在你可能會問,‘如果一家公司沒有盈利怎麼辦?我怎麼知道它的股價是被高估了還是被低估了?’“

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In most cases, even if a company's in a loss, its book value, which is equal to the total assets minus total liabilities, is still positive. 

在大多數情況下,即使一家公司處於虧損狀態,其賬面價值(等於總資產減去總負債)仍為正值。

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As P/E ratio no longer works in this case, we need to use price-to-book ratio, also known as P/B ratio, to evaluate the relative value of a stock. 

由於市盈率在這種情況下不再適用,我們需要使用市淨率,也就是市淨率,來評估一隻股票的相對價值。

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We still use the example of cafés to explain P/B ratio.

我們仍然用咖啡館的例子來解釋市盈率。

Suppose the book value is $1,000,000 for Bull and $250,000 for Bear, and their selling prices remain unchanged. 

假設公牛的賬面價值為100萬美元,貝爾斯登的賬面價值為25萬美元,它們的售價保持不變。

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In this case, the P/B ratio for Bull is 1 time, for Bear is 2 times. 

在本例中,公牛的市盈率為1倍,熊市的市盈率為2倍。

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A high P/B ratio is usually interpreted to mean that the stock is overvalued compared to its book value, and vice versa. 

高市盈率通常被解讀為股票相對於賬面價值被高估,反之亦然。

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By comparing the two cafés' P/B ratios, we could tell that Bull delivers greater value for money, as you will be paying less for every dollar of its net assets. 

通過比較兩家咖啡館的市盈率,我們可以看出,公牛提供了更高的性價比,因為你將為其每一美元的淨資產支付更少的費用。

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With moomoo, you can find out a ticker's P/E and P/B ratio by simply tapping the ticker in your watchlist and tapping anywhere above the dividing line to display more info about the ticker. 

有了moomoo,你只需在你的觀察列表中點擊股票代碼,然後點擊分界線上的任何地方,就可以看到股票代碼的市盈率和市盈率,從而顯示更多關於股票代碼的信息。

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If you'd like to find out a stock's historical P/E and P/B ratios, you can go to Detailed Quotes, tap Analyses, select Fundamental, and then tap Details

如果你想了解一隻股票的歷史市盈率和市盈率,你可以去詳細報價,攻絲分析,選擇基本原理,然後點擊細節.

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To conclude, a wise investment decision takes into account two important factors, i.e. a wonderful company and a fair price.

總而言之,一個明智的投資決策考慮到兩個重要因素,即一家優秀的公司和一個公平的價格。

In share dealing, using metrics like P/E and P/B ratios could help us better understand whether a stock is a great buy.

在股票交易中,使用市盈率和市盈率等指標可以幫助我們更好地瞭解一隻股票是否值得買入。

Through this lesson, we hope you are better familiarized with the two metrics. If you'd like to gain more stock trading knowledge, stay tuned with us! In the next chapter, let's explore the secret behind charts! 

通過本課,我們希望您更好地熟悉這兩個指標。如果你想獲得更多的股票交易知識,請繼續收看我們的節目!在下一章中,讓我們來探索圖表背後的祕密!

For more investment knowledge and trends, welcome to Courses in the Community.

欲瞭解更多投資知識和趨勢,歡迎訪問課程在社區裏。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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