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7 Staffing Stocks to Buy as the Great Resignation Becomes the Great Hire

7 Staffing Stocks to Buy as the Great Resignation Becomes the Great Hire

隨着大辭職成為大招聘,7只員工股票將被買入
InvestorPlace ·  2021/11/16 13:52

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As we watch asset classes of almost every stripe reach astonishing heights, it seems as if nothing has gone according to intuition and logic following the initial strike of the novel coronavirus. But one of the most conspicuous examples of almost nonsensical circumstances is the labor market. Simply, many industries are suffering from a labor shortage, which doesn't seem to support the narrative for staffing stocks to buy.

當我們看到幾乎每一種資產類別都達到驚人的高度時,似乎在新型冠狀病毒的最初襲擊之後,一切都沒有按照直覺和邏輯進行。但在近乎荒唐的情況下,最明顯的例子之一是勞動力市場。簡單地説,許多行業正遭受勞動力短缺的困擾,這似乎不支持購買人力資源股票的説法。

Now, some of the rumblings within the labor market is understandable. For instance, we're currently working through the global supply chain crisis, a headwind that has impacted everything from used car prices to how we celebrated Halloween a few weeks back. Additionally, a pivotal factor as to why supply chains haven't normalized is the shortage of truck drivers. It's a tough job that fewer young people want to do, again impeding the case for staffing stocks to buy.

現在,勞動力市場內部的一些抱怨是可以理解的。例如,我們目前正在努力應對全球供應鏈危機,這場逆風影響了一切,從二手車價格到幾周前我們慶祝萬聖節的方式。此外,供應鏈沒有正常化的一個關鍵因素是卡車司機短缺。這是一項很難做的工作,越來越少的年輕人願意做,這再次阻礙了購買人力資源股票的理由。

However, it's not just truck drivers and people refusing to return to less-than-satisfying occupations. Indeed, the global health crisis has forced many of us to reflect on what's truly important in life. As you might imagine, typing stuff on a spreadsheet for eight hours a day ranks low among current priorities. Thus, while prior recessions may have boosted staffing stocks to buy because of critical demand, you're just not seeing that circumstance play out right now.

然而,不僅僅是卡車司機和人們拒絕回到不太令人滿意的職業。事實上,全球健康危機迫使我們中的許多人反思生活中什麼才是真正重要的。正如你可能想象的那樣,每天花八個小時在電子表格上打字在當前的優先事項中排名較低。因此,儘管之前的經濟衰退可能因為關鍵需求而提振了員工股票的購買,但你現在就是看不到這種情況正在上演。

However, that will likely change — and perhaps soon. Certainly, the U.S. stock of money saved during the pandemic — $2.7 trillion's worth per a Bloomberg report — will keep many households afloat that haven't yet returned to the workforce. But a fixed savings rate will decline awfully quickly now that the federal government has taken away the punch bowl. Eventually, staffing stocks to buy will become a thing again.

然而,這種情況可能會改變-也許很快就會改變。當然,美國在大流行期間節省的資金-每年2.7萬億美元布隆伯格報告-將維持許多尚未重返勞動力大軍的家庭。但既然聯邦政府已經取消了潘趣酒碗,固定儲蓄率將以驚人的速度下降。最終,配備人員購買股票將再次成為一件事。

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Also, keep in mind the presently soaring inflation rate. Everything has gone up in price, particularly energy prices, which will have a direct impact on the cost of living for millions of consumers. That means those savings will incrementally start to lose their purchasing power, meaning that the so-called Great Resignation will likely turn into the Great Hire. If so, consider these staffing stocks to buy for your portfolio.

此外,請記住目前不斷飆升的通貨膨脹率。所有的東西都漲價了,特別是能源價格,這將對數百萬消費者的生活成本產生直接影響。這意味着這些儲蓄將逐漸開始失去購買力,這意味着所謂的大辭職很可能會變成大招聘。如果是這樣的話,考慮一下這些可以為你的投資組合購買的人力資源股票。

  • Robert Half International (NYSE:RHI)
  • Randstad (OTCMKTS:RANJY)
  • Kelly Services (NASDAQ:KELYA)
  • Persol Holdings (OTCMKTS:TEMPF)
  • Kforce (NASDAQ:KFRC)
  • Upwork (NASDAQ:UPWK)
  • Adecco Group (OTCMKTS:AHEXY)
  • 羅伯特哈夫國際紐約證券交易所代碼:RHI)
  • 蘭德斯塔德(OTCMKTS:RANJY)
  • 凱利服務(納斯達克:凱利亞)
  • 佩索爾控股公司(OTCMKTS:TEMPF)
  • Kforce(納斯達克:KFRC)
  • 修面(納斯達克:UPWK)
  • 德科集團(OTCMKTS:AHEXY)

Finally, it's worth reminding ourselves that money doesn't grow on trees. Sure, our economy looks wonderful given the circumstances. However, the Wall Street Journal pointed out that corporate debt has collectively ballooned to $11 trillion. Our economy may be much more fragile than advertised, which means panicked worker bees could one day boost staffing stocks to buy.

最後,值得提醒我們的是,錢不是從樹上長出來的。當然,考慮到目前的情況,我們的經濟看起來很棒。然而,《華爾街日報》他指出,公司債務合計已膨脹至11萬億美元。我們的經濟可能比廣告宣傳的要脆弱得多,這意味着驚慌失措的工蜂有朝一日可能會推動人力資源的購買。

Staffing Stocks to Buy: Robert Half International (RHI)

要購買的員工股票:羅伯特哈夫國際公司(Robert Half International)

Source: Casimiro PT / Shutterstock.com
來源:Casimiro PT/Shutterstock.com

Citing data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Harvard Business Review mentioned that four million Americans quit their jobs in 2021. Such high-level stats embolden mainstream headlines that have been replete with stories about the Great Resignation, also called the Big Quit among some circles. With so many folks turning in their two-week notices, you wouldn't expect much from staffing stocks to buy.

《哈佛商業評論》援引美國勞工統計局的數據稱,2021年有400萬美國人辭職。如此高水平的統計數據鼓勵了主流頭條,這些頭條充斥着關於大辭職的故事,在一些圈子裏也被稱為大辭職。由於有這麼多人提交了為期兩週的通知,你不會指望從人力資源類股中買到太多東西。

Well, it depends on which investment opportunities you're talking about. If the subject is Robert Half International, it's clearly not suffering from a shortage of clients.

嗯,這取決於你説的是哪些投資機會。如果主題是羅伯特哈夫國際公司(Robert Half International),它顯然不會受到客户短缺的困擾。

Year-to-date (YTD), RHI finds itself up 89%, one of the top performers among staffing stocks to buy. Moreover, it's been a consistent run, meaning that it didn't receive all its gains in one particular month. For instance, during the trailing half-year period, RHI has swung higher by 31%.

今年到目前為止,RHI發現自己上漲了89%,是值得買入的人力資源類股中表現最好的股票之一。此外,這是一個持續的漲勢,這意味着它並沒有在一個特定的月份獲得所有的收益。例如,在往後半年的時間裏,RHI上漲了31%。

Moreover, in the first three quarters of this year, Robert Half generated $4.7 billion in revenue. This means that it only needs a modest quarter to put it at level with 2019's banner sales year.

此外,在今年前三個季度,Robert Half創造了47億美元的收入。這意味着它只需要一個適度的季度就可以與2019年的旗幟銷售年度持平。

Randstad (RANJY)

蘭德斯塔德(Randstad)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

Typically, I like to keep over-the-counter (OTC) plays lower on these lists unless the subject matter is speculative trades. In most cases, securities traded in the OTC market feature low volume and wide spreads, making them not ideal for retail buy-and-hold investors. However, you'll often find international blue chips list their shares this way for various reasons, including avoiding fees associated with inclusion in major exchanges.

通常,我喜歡將場外交易(OTC)在這些榜單上的排名靠後,除非主題是投機性交易。在大多數情況下,場外市場交易的證券成交量低、利差大,這使得它們對散户買入並持有的投資者來説並不理想。然而,你經常會發現,國際藍籌股以這種方式上市的原因有很多,包括避免與納入主要交易所相關的費用。

And with staffing stocks to buy, I have no choice but to rank Randstad highly. Sure, it's an OTC play for us Americans. But based on 2019 revenue, Randstad is the biggest name in this industry. Headquartered in the Netherlands, RANJY provides ample exposure to multiple job markets once the mass-scale quitting turns into job hunting — or even begging.

由於有人力資源可供購買,我別無選擇,只能把蘭德斯塔德排在很高的位置。當然,這是為我們美國人準備的場外演出。但根據2019年的收入,蘭德斯塔德是這個行業最大的名字。RANJY總部設在荷蘭,一旦大規模辭職轉變為求職甚至乞討,該公司就會在多個就業市場提供充足的敞口。

Yes, the Great Resignation is happening in Europe — heck, a Washington Post article in October mentioned that the self-pink slipping has gone global. It's a game of chicken. And while my sympathies lie with the worker, I'm afraid big business is going to win this contest.

是的,歐洲正在發生大辭職-見鬼,一個華盛頓郵報10月份的一篇文章提到,自我解僱的滑落已經蔓延到全球。這是一場膽小鬼的遊戲。雖然我同情這位工人,但我擔心大企業會贏得這場競爭。

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Therefore, I like my chances with RANJY even though it might not be the most popular choice.

因此,我喜歡與RANJY合作的機會,儘管這可能不是最受歡迎的選擇。

Staffing Stocks to Buy: Kelly Services (KELYA)

要購買的員工股票:凱利服務公司(Kelly Services)(Kelya)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

Many staffing stocks to buy have enjoyed major success this year as talented, well-qualified workers quit their positions in search of greener pastures. Furthermore, agencies that have strong brand reputation and presence such as Robert Half have outperformed the competition. Still, if you're looking for an opportunity that hasn't already blown up, you may want to consider Kelly Services.

隨着才華橫溢、資歷良好的員工辭去職位,尋找更好的去處,許多要購買的人力資源股票今年取得了重大成功。此外,羅伯特·哈夫(Robert Half)等擁有強大品牌聲譽和影響力的機構也在競爭中脱穎而出。不過,如果你正在尋找一個還沒有失敗的機會,你可能會考慮凱利服務公司(Kelly Services)。

On a YTD basis, KELYA hasn't printed the most enviable of performance metrics, shedding more than 11%. Part of the laggardness could likely be explained by its lack of brand power relative to the competition. Just as significantly, Kelly Services features a broad range of industries, which hasn't turned out to be quite useful during the new normal.

從年初到現在,凱利亞沒有公佈最令人羨慕的業績指標,跌幅超過11%。落後的部分原因很可能是它相對於競爭對手缺乏品牌影響力。同樣重要的是,凱利服務的行業範圍很廣,在新常態下,這些行業並沒有被證明是非常有用的。

For instance, the company offers opportunities in industrial, office and contact center departments, which no longer appeals during this Great Resignation. Indeed, the way some companies handled Covid-19 was disastrous, leading business leaders to rethink their approach.

例如,該公司在工業、辦公室和聯繫中心部門提供機會,在這次大辭職期間,這些部門不再有吸引力。事實上,一些公司處理新冠肺炎的方式是災難性的,促使商界領袖重新考慮他們的做法。

While this is a cynical concept, eventually, the money saved up will run out. When it does, the bad feelings that workers had about 2020 will evaporate as desperation starts to kick in.

雖然這是一個憤世嫉俗的概念,但積蓄的錢最終會用完。當它發生時,隨着絕望的開始,工人們對2020年的不好感覺將會煙消雲散。

Persol Holdings (TEMPF)

佩索爾控股公司(Persol Holdings)

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

For those that really want to go off the beaten path regarding staffing stocks to buy, you should consider Persol Holdings. Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Persol is a human resource management company, one of the country's largest staffing agencies. On the surface, betting on Japanese anything has been tricky due to the world's third-largest economy's longtime struggles with deflation. However, risk-tolerant contrarians might have an opportunity here.

對於那些真的想在人員配備方面走尋常路的人來説,你應該考慮佩索爾控股公司(Persol Holdings)。佩索爾總部設在日本東京,是一家人力資源管理公司,是日本最大的人力資源機構之一。從表面上看,由於世界第三大經濟體長期與通貨緊縮作鬥爭,押注於日本的任何東西都是棘手的。然而,容忍風險的反向投資者可能在這方面有機會。

First, Japan along with other East Asian countries have handled the Covid-19 crisis far better than other areas. As Time mentioned, it's an oddity because Japan in particular never went into lockdown. Instead, the country only declared state of emergencies. And while I don't have my finger on the pulse of the nation, you just didn't see the kind of aggressive disregard for protocol that happened rather frequently in other societies.

首先,日本和其他東亞國家處理新冠肺炎危機的能力遠遠好於其他地區。AS時間提到這一點,這很奇怪,因為特別是日本從未進入禁閉狀態。相反,該國只宣佈進入緊急狀態。雖然我沒有掌握國家的脈搏,但你只是沒有看到在其他社會中經常發生的那種咄咄逼人的無視禮儀的行為。

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Second, Japan ranks as a top foreign destination spot for Americans and other tourists. That opens the door for staffing needs as the pandemic especially hit hard the accommodation and food service industries in Japan. Therefore, TEMPF stock is a play on what will likely happen, not what's happening right now.

其次,日本是美國人和其他遊客的首選外國目的地。這為人員需求打開了大門,因為大流行對日本的住宿和餐飲服務行業造成了特別嚴重的打擊。因此,TEMPF股票是關於未來可能發生的事情的遊戲,而不是現在發生的事情。

Staffing Stocks to Buy: Kforce (KFRC)

要購買的員工股票:Kforce(KFRC)

Source: Halfpoint/shutterstock.com
來源:Halfpoint/Shuterstock.com

Not all staffing stocks to buy are equal. In many cases (although exceptions certainly exist), it's better for workers to go with established, well-recognized brands to get your foot into high-level opportunities. Of course, there's always a trade off with anything — bigger brands may take a bigger cut of your compensation.

並不是所有要購買的員工股票都是一樣的。在許多情況下(當然也有例外),員工最好選擇知名品牌,這樣才能獲得高水平的機會。當然,任何事情都是有取捨的--大品牌可能會從你的薪酬中分得更多的分成。

However, other staffing stocks to buy achieve success through focusing in on only relevant industries. That's the case for Kforce, which doesn't rank among the world's top 10 staffing agencies. However, it makes up for this lack of inclusion with outright performance. On a YTD basis, KFRC stock has gained almost 90%. And momentum has picked up considerably in recent times, with its trailing-month performance at more than 24%.

然而,其他人力資源股的買入只通過專注於相關行業而取得成功。Kforce的情況就是如此,它沒有躋身全球前十大人力資源機構之列。然而,它以直接的性能彌補了這種包容性的不足。在YTD的基礎上,KFRC的股票上漲了近90%。最近一段時間,勢頭大幅回升,其過去一個月的表現超過了24%。

In my opinion, much of this success is tied to Kforce sticking to what works in the modern labor market, specializing in technology, financial services, communications and healthcare. And given that there's always room for in-demand talented contributors, Kforce has done very well for itself.

在我看來,這種成功在很大程度上取決於Kforce堅持在現代勞動力市場發揮作用,專注於技術、金融服務、通信和醫療保健。考慮到總有空間容納有才華的應聘者,Kforce本身就做得很好。

In the first three quarters of this year, the company generated revenue of $1.17 billion. In turn, just one more quarter of modest means should see Kforce enjoy a banner year in 2021.

今年前三個季度,該公司創造了11.7億美元的收入。反過來,只要再用四分之一的適度收入,Kforce就會在2021年享受到豐收的一年。

Upwork (UPWK)

升級(UPWK)

Source: Funstock / Shutterstock.com
來源:Funstock/Shutterstock.com

Technically not one of the traditional staffing stocks to buy, I would be remiss not to mention Upwork. Essentially a hub for the burgeoning gig economy, Upwork is a platform that allows enterprise-level clients to interview and hire freelance workers, usually to resolve short-term needs.

從技術上講,不是購買傳統的人力資源股票,我會玩忽職守,更不用説Upwork了。Upwork本質上是新興零工經濟的中心,它是一個允許企業級客户面試和聘用自由職業者的平台,通常是為了解決短期需求。

And who knows? If an Upwork corporate client likes an independent contractor and the work that he or she brings to the table, they might get hired full time, assuming that's what the gig worker wants. Either way, it's a great opportunity for anyone at any stage of their careers, whether just starting out or a second act for mid-career folks.

誰知道呢?如果Upwork公司的客户喜歡獨立承包商和他或她帶到談判桌上的工作,他們可能會得到全職工作,假設這是零工工人想要的。無論哪種方式,這對任何處於職業生涯任何階段的人來説都是一個絕佳的機會,無論是剛剛起步還是對職業生涯中期的人來説都是第二次出演。

Furthermore, it's very possible that the Great Migration might not turn into the Great Hire but instead the Great Contract. Just prior to the Covid-19 pandemic ruining everything, the gig economy grew at 15% over the past decade. With many employees getting their first taste of the gig life, the idea of becoming an independent contractor has become that much more appealing.

此外,“大遷徙”很有可能不會變成“大僱主”,而是“大合同”。就在新冠肺炎大流行摧毀一切之前,零工經濟在過去十年中以15%的速度增長。隨着許多員工第一次嚐到零工生活的滋味,成為一名獨立承包商的想法變得更具吸引力。

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Currently, UPWK stock is stuck in a consolidation pattern but that could change soon. Definitely watch this space.

目前,UPWK股票陷入盤整模式,但這種情況可能很快就會改變。一定要注意這個空間。

Staffing Stocks to Buy: Adecco Group (AHEXY)

要購買的員工股票:Adecco Group(AHEXY)

Source: Shutterstock.com
來源:Shuterstock.com

Ranked as the second-biggest staffing agency in the world based on 2019 revenue, Adecco commands 4.6% market share. Aside from top dog Randstad at 4.9% and ManpowerGroup (NYSE:MAN) at 4.1%, none of the other staffing stocks to buy comes close. Ordinarily, that would put Adecco in an enviable position. However, I put its equity unit dead last on this list because of its underperformance.

根據2019年的收入,Adecco被評為全球第二大人力資源機構,市場佔有率為4.6%。除了領頭羊Randstad的4.9%和萬寶盛華集團(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:MAN)為4.1%,其他要買入的人力資源類股中沒有一隻接近這一水平。通常情況下,這將使Adecco處於令人羨慕的境地。然而,由於其表現不佳,我將其股權部門排在了榜單的最後一位。

On a YTD basis, AHEXY stock has dropped almost 24%, which stands in sharp contrast to its peers. As well, it's distracting when you compare the Switzerland-headquartered company against benchmark indices, whether that of the U.S. or international counterparts. The situation has been especially poor since July 26, with AHEXY down more than 26%.

在年初的基礎上,AHEXY的股價下跌了近24%,這與同行形成了鮮明的對比。此外,當你將這家總部位於瑞士的公司與基準指數(無論是美國或國際同行的基準指數)進行比較時,你會分心。自7月26日以來,情況尤其糟糕,AHEXY跌幅超過26%。

A major contributing factor to the disappointment in the charts is the financial metrics. On a trailing-12-month basis, revenue stands at just under $25 billion, which beats 2020's sales haul. However, it will still be down when compared to the sales tallied between 2017 through 2019. And the discrepancy is not insignificant.

圖表中令人失望的一個主要因素是財務指標。在往績12個月的基礎上,收入略低於250億美元,超過了2020年的銷售額。然而,與2017年至2019年的銷售額相比,這一數字仍將下降。而且這種差異並不是微不足道的。

However, if you believe that workers will be begging for their jobs — any job — when the good times come to an end, then AHEXY stock might be something to consider.

然而,如果你相信當景氣時期結束時,工人們會乞求他們的工作--任何工作--那麼AHEXY股票可能是值得考慮的。

On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,喬什·恩諾本(Josh Enomoto)沒有(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.

A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare.

曾擔任索尼電子(Sony Electronics)高級商業分析師的喬什·內本(Josh Enomoto)曾幫助撮合過財富全球500強(Fortune Global 500)公司的重大合同。在過去的幾年裏,他為投資市場以及包括法律、建築管理和醫療保健在內的各種其他行業提供了獨特的、至關重要的見解。

The post 7 Staffing Stocks to Buy as the Great Resignation Becomes the Great Hire appeared first on InvestorPlace.

當偉大的辭職成為偉大的僱員時,7號職位的股票要買入的帖子首先出現在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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