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Here’s Some Advice to Invest in America’s Great Reopening: Don’t!

Here’s Some Advice to Invest in America’s Great Reopening: Don’t!

這裏有一些建議,可以投資於美國的大開張:不要這樣做!
InvestorPlace ·  2021/11/07 22:26

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Trading on Wall Street last week was dominated by one theme: The reopening.

華爾街上週的交易被一個主題所主導:重新開放.

Source: Shutterstock
消息來源:Shutterstock

At a rate faster than I've seen all year long, investors ditched pandemic winners like at-home fitness stocks, digital advertising stocks, and e-commerce stocks this past week, and piled into airline, casino, and travel stocks amid a flurry of news that confirms that the U.S. economic reopening is in full swing right now.

過去一週,投資者拋售了家庭健身類股、數字廣告類股和電商類股等大流行病贏家,紛紛湧入航空、賭場和旅遊類股,這一速度比我一整年來看到的都要快,因為一系列消息證實,美國經濟重啟目前正如火如荼地進行。

For starters, the October jobs report came in well ahead of expectations on Friday morning, with particular labor strength in the portions of the economy hit hardest by the pandemic: Manufacturing, travel, and leisure.

對於初學者來説,10月份就業報告週五上午的數據遠遠超出預期,特別是在受疫情影響最嚴重的經濟領域:製造業、旅遊業和休閒業。

That means the companies hit hardest by the pandemic are on hiring binges right now – something they would only be doing if business was great.

這意味着受疫情影響最嚴重的公司現在正在大肆招聘-只有在生意好的情況下,他們才會這麼做。

On top of that, every "reopening" play reported super strong earnings this week:

最重要的是,每一部《重啟》劇目本週都報告了超強的收益:

Uber (NYSE:UBER) said that ridership trends are rapidly improving. While Yelp (NYSE:YELP) said folks are coming back to restaurants in droves. GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO) said everyone is buying cameras to film their vacations. Live Nation (NYSE:LYV) said concerts are making a big comeback. And Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) sounded a confident tone on travel trends over the next few months.

優步(Uber)紐約證券交易所代碼:優步)説,乘客數量趨勢正在迅速改善。而當葉洛普紐約證券交易所代碼:Yelp)説人們成羣結隊地回到餐館。GoPro(納斯達克:GPRO)説每個人都在買相機來拍攝他們的假期。活着 民族紐約證券交易所代碼:LYV)説演唱會正在大舉捲土重來。和愛彼迎(納斯達克:ABNB)聽起來對未來幾個月的旅遊趨勢充滿信心。

On the other side of the ball, pandemic favorite Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON) meaningfully slashed its full-year revenue guidance on the heels of dramatically slowing demand for its at-home fitness bikes, while fellow pandemic favorite Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) said usage of its digital learning platform is quickly falling.

在球的另一邊,大流行的寵兒佩洛頓(納斯達克:PTON)在其家用健身自行車需求大幅放緩後,大幅削減了全年收入指引,而另一位大流行寵兒雞蛋紐約證券交易所代碼:CHGG)表示,其數字學習平臺的使用率正在迅速下降。

It is becoming pretty clear on Wall Street that the U.S. economy is in full "reopening mode." With Covid-19 risks retreating, kids returning to (and staying in) school, and a hopefully "normal" holiday season on the horizon, consumers are reverting to their pre-pandemic ways.

華爾街越來越清楚地看到,美國經濟正處於完全的“重新開放模式”。隨着新冠肺炎面臨撤退的風險,孩子們重返校園(並留在學校),一個充滿希望的“正常”假期季節即將到來,消費者正在迴歸大流行前的方式。

So… what's the best way to play this great reopening of the American economy?

所以…美國經濟重啟的最好方式是什麼?

Here's a response you weren't expecting: Don't.

這是你意想不到的回答:.

Yep. You heard that right. Don't play the reopening. Fade the reopening.

是啊。你沒聽錯。不要玩重新開張的遊戲。淡化重新開放的影響。

Because, what you have to understand is that the reopening isn't a trend – it's a moment in time.

因為,你要明白的是,重新開放並不是一種趨勢-這是一個及時的時刻.

Disruptive technology platforms like Peloton, Chegg, and others didn't just change our lives during Covid-19. They were changing our lives for years before the pandemic ever struck, because at their core, these technology platforms make our lives better.

顛覆性的技術平臺,如佩洛頓、切格和其他平臺,在新冠肺炎期間並沒有僅僅改變我們的生活。在大流行來襲之前的幾年裏,它們一直在改變我們的生活,因為它們的核心是,這些技術平臺讓我們的生活變得更好。

Peloton makes working out easier, more accessible, faster, more convenient, and cheaper than ever before.

佩洛頓使鍛鍊變得比以往任何時候都更容易、更容易、更快、更方便、更便宜。

Chegg makes learning more flexible, more on-demand, more affordable, more personalized, and easier than ever before.

Chegg使學習變得比以往任何時候都更靈活、更按需、更實惠、更個性化和更容易。

Get the point? We don't use disruptive technology platforms because we have to – we use them because we choose to, because they make our lives better.

明白了嗎?我們不使用顛覆性技術平臺,因為我們必須-我們使用它們是因為我們選擇,因為他們讓我們的生活更美好。

But disruptive technologies require consumer adoption, and humans don't like change, so the adoption of disruptive technologies is a gradual progress. It's been happening at a very steady pace ever since the advent of the computer in the 1980s.

但顛覆性技術需要消費者採用,而人類不喜歡改變,所以採用顛覆性技術是一個循序漸進的過程。自從20世紀80年代計算機問世以來,它一直在以非常穩定的速度發生。

What Covid-19 did was hit the "fast-forward" button on that progress, because we had to hit the fast-forward button in order to keep the world turning.

新冠肺炎所做的就是按下了進步的“快進”鍵,因為我們必須按下快進鍵才能讓世界繼續運轉。

But it was too much, too soon. Humans can't take that much change at once. So, as the pandemic has faded, humans have hit the "rewind" button on technological progress. They're going back to a point where they're more comfortable, so to speak.

但它確實是太多, 太快了。人類不可能一下子接受那麼多變化。因此,隨着疫情的消退,人類按下了技術進步的“倒帶”按鈕。可以説,他們會回到更舒適的狀態。

This won't last. Soon enough, humans will get back to a point of being comfy – a healthy mix of real-world interactions and digital technologies, that represents a more digitally-connected society than we saw in 2019, but less so than we saw in 2020.

這不會持續很久的。很快,人類將回到舒適的地步-現實世界互動和數字技術的健康結合,代表着一個比我們在2019年看到的更數字化的社會,但比我們在2020年看到的要少。

And, once we hit that "comfy" point, society is going to hit the "play" button on technological disruption again.

而且,一旦我們達到了那個“舒適”點,社會將再次按下技術顛覆的“播放”按鈕。

So don't chase this reopening. It's not a trend. It's a moment in time. It will pass. When it does, the REAL trend will resume – the trend of technological disruption – a trend that has consistently transformed our world over the past 40 years… and which, along the way, has consistently turned steadfast and focused investors into millionaires.

所以不要追逐這次重新開張。這不是一種趨勢。這是一個及時的時刻。一切都會過去的。當它發生時,真正的趨勢將會恢復-技術顛覆的趨勢-這一趨勢在過去40年裏一直改變着我們的世界。…在此過程中,它一直將堅定而專注的投資者轉變為百萬富翁。

Sometimes, you have to see the forest for the trees.

有時候,你只見樹木不見森林。

Right now, everyone is focused on the "reopening" tree – but we're focused on the forest of technological disruption that is on the horizon.

現在,每個人都在關注“重新打開”這棵樹--但我們關注的是即將出現的技術顛覆之林。

Paying attention to that forest could be the key to you scoring millions in the stock market.

關注這片森林可能是你在股票市場賺到數百萬美元的關鍵。

Sound like something you want to do? If so, we'll show you how to plug into the future.

聽起來像是你想做的事嗎?如果是這樣的話,我們將向您展示如何接入未來。

On the date of publication, Luke Lango did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

在本文發表之日,盧克·蘭戈沒有(直接或間接)持有本文提到的證券的任何頭寸。

The post Here's Some Advice to Invest in America's Great Reopening: Don't! appeared first on InvestorPlace.

這裏的帖子給你一些投資美國大開張的建議:不要這樣做!最先出現在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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