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Don’t Count on Another Meme Wave for Camber Energy Stock

Don’t Count on Another Meme Wave for Camber Energy Stock

不要指望曲面能源股票會出現另一波Meme浪潮
InvestorPlace ·  2021/10/28 06:00

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It goes without saying that the appeal of Camber Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:CEI) stock has nothing to do with its fundamentals. As I discussed earlier this month, there's much to back up the bear case made by vocal short-seller Kerrisdale Capital. Since that article published, CEI stock has lost a further 20.3%.

不用説,弧形能源(NYSEAMERICAN:CEI)股票與其基本面無關。正如我本月早些時候所討論的那樣,有很多理由支持直言不諱的賣空者的看跌觀點Kerrisdale Capital。自那篇文章發表以來,CEI的股票進一步下跌了20.3%。

Source: FreezeFrames / Shutterstock.com

來源:FreezeFrames/Shutterstock.com

Putting it simply, this oil and gas company is your garden variety penny stock. Low quality assets, shareholder dilution and an attempt to ride the coattails of trends (in its case, clean energy) to drive up the stock? That's all here with Camber. So, if not for the strength of its underlying business, what's the appeal of it?

簡而言之,這家石油天然氣公司就是你的普通股票。低質量的資產,股東的稀釋,以及試圖利用趨勢(在它的案例中,是清潔能源)來推高股價?這些都是和坎伯在一起的。那麼,如果不是因為其基礎業務的實力,它還有什麼吸引力呢?

As a meme trade, pure and simple. Meme stock madness is what put it on the map among retail traders between late August and early October. During that time frame, shares soared nearly ten-fold, from around 50 cents a piece to a 52-week high of $4.85.

作為一種表情包交易,簡單明瞭。8月底至10月初,迷因股票的瘋狂讓它在散户交易員中聲名鵲起。在此期間,股價飆升了近十倍,從每股50美分左右飆升至4.85美元的52周高點。

But since the Oct. 5 Kerrisdale "short report," enthusiasm for it has cooled considerably, with CEI falling 42.4% to below $1 per share in the following two days.

但自10月5日Kerrisdale的“空頭報告”發佈以來,投資者對該股的熱情明顯降温,在接下來的兩天裏,中證股價指數下跌了42.4%,跌至每股1美元以下。

To be sure, it's attempted to make a rebound. So far though, it's only made it back to between $1 and $2 per share. Before, I said there was a chance the meme crowd could send it back "to the moon." Yet given the fading interest in it specifically, plus the fact we've haven't seen another widespread "meme wave" in months? Don't give up on your hopes.

可以肯定的是,它試圖反彈。然而,到目前為止,它只回到了每股1美元到2美元之間。在此之前,我曾説過,表情包羣體有可能把它送回“月球”。然而,考慮到人們對它的興趣正在消退,再加上我們已經幾個月沒有看到另一波大範圍的“表情包浪潮”了?不要放棄你的希望。

CEI Stock Had Its 'Flavor of The Month' Meme Moment

CEI股票迎來了“本月風味”Meme時刻

In the world of meme stocks, there are two categories. In column A, you have your more perennial meme stock names. Think GameStop (NYSE:GME) or AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC). Both were the initial stocks moved higher by this trend. Even as the overall "waves" have come and gone, both have managed to stay at inflated prices, levels that are not reflective of their respective underlying values.

在模因庫的世界裏,有兩種類型。在A欄中,你有更多常年的表情包庫存名稱。想遊戲停止(紐約證券交易所代碼:GME)或AMC娛樂公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AMC)。這兩隻股票都是最初因這一趨勢而走高的股票。儘管整體的“浪潮”來來去去,但這兩家公司都設法保持在高漲的價格水平,這一水平並沒有反映出它們各自的潛在價值。

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Column B has your more "flavor of the month" names. These are the ones that became meme stocks, but only briefly, sort of their "15 minutes of fame." For example, Clover Health (NASDAQ:CLOV) during its early June short-squeeze. Or, Support.com, right before it completed its reverse merger with crypto miner Greenidge Generation (NASDAQ:GREE).

B欄有你們更多的“當月風味”的名字。這些是成為表情包儲藏庫的人,但只是短暫的,有點像他們的“15分鐘成名”。例如,三葉草健康(納斯達克股票代碼:CLOV)在6月初的空頭擠壓中。或,Support.com,就在它完成與密碼礦商的反向合併之前格林尼治世代(納斯達克股票代碼:格力)。

In which column should one place CEI stock? Simple, column B. It had its brief moment as a hot meme stock. That time has now passed, and it's not coming back for an encore. Sure, this time, it could be different. After all, unlike Clover, this is a much smaller stock, and much less liquid.

CEI股票應該放在哪一欄?簡單,B欄。作為一個熱門的迷因,它有過短暫的一段時間。這段時間現在已經過去了,它不會回來再來一次了。當然,這一次可能會有所不同。畢竟,與三葉草不同的是,這隻股票的規模要小得多,流動性也要差得多。

True, as a microcap stock, it could be easier for the meme crowd to bid it back up. Yet take a look at where it ranks in terms of conversation on Reddit's r/WallStreetBets subreddit. The Reddit set has moved on, and is buzzing about new "flavor of the month" names. Admittedly, something like another overall "meme stock wave" could be the ticket to send Camber on one last spike. Unfortunately, even that shows little sign of making a return.

誠然,作為一隻微型股,表情包羣體可能更容易將其抬高。然而,看看它在對話中的排名Reddit‘sR/WallStreetBets Subreddit。Reddit的佈景已經過去了,現在正在熱議新的“月度風味”名字。誠然,類似於另一波整體“表情包熱潮”的事件可能會讓坎伯迎來最後一波高潮。不幸的是,即使是這樣,也沒有顯示出什麼回報的跡象。

Don't Count on a Rising Tide to Save The Day

不要指望漲潮來拯救世界

If the situation with CEI stock was playing out earlier this year, I would say there was a chance of it going on a second strong run. For instance, many of the column B meme plays that went up (then down) in the winter's first meme stock wave, shot up again (albeit partially) during the second wave.

如果CEI股票的情況在今年早些時候上演,我會説它有可能出現第二輪強勁上漲。例如,在冬季的第一波表情包儲備浪潮中,許多B欄表情包出現了上升(然後又下降),在第二波浪潮中又出現了飆升(儘管部分上升)。

Yet today? The odds of a third widespread wave lifting its boat seem slim. Individual stocks continue to benefit from the trend. Most recently, Digital World Acquisition Corp (NASDAQ:DWAC), up more than eight-fold on news of merging with the privately held company that owns former President Trump's planned social media platform.

但今天呢?第三次大範圍的海浪抬高船隻的可能性似乎微乎其微。個股繼續受益於這一趨勢。最近,數字世界收購公司納斯達克(Nasdaq:DWAC)股價上漲8倍以上,原因是有消息稱,該公司與擁有前總統特朗普計劃中的社交媒體平台的私人持股公司合併。

However, meme stocks as a whole aren't moving up higher at the same time anymore. Traders are honing in on specific plays (today, DWAC; tomorrow, who knows), at the expense of the ones that have become old hat.

然而,表情包庫存作為一個整體不再同時走高。交易員們正在磨練特定的遊戲(今天,DWAC;明天,誰知道呢),而不是那些已經成為老生常談的遊戲。

Yes, you may think, "what about its squeeze potential?" After all, the short side seems crowded here, with nearly a quarter of outstanding float sold short. But unless the meme crowd hops back in, a squeeze back to $4 or $5 per share isn't going to happen. Instead, as those holding it just on the squeeze appeal, grow tired of waiting, they'll cash out, sending it on its way back toward prior price levels.

是的,你可能會想,“它的擠壓潛力如何?”畢竟,這裏的空方似乎很擁擠,近四分之一的未償還浮存金被賣空。但是,除非迷因人羣重新加入,否則股價不會回落到每股4美元或5美元。取而代之的是,當那些僅僅出於擠壓呼籲而持有它的人厭倦了等待時,他們就會套現,讓它回到之前的價格水平。

What's More Likely, 50 Cents or 5 Bucks

更有可能的是,50美分還是5雄鹿

CEI stock may not head back to 50 cents a share, but $5 isn't likely, either.

CEI的股票可能不會回落到每股50美分,但5美元也不太可能。

Despite my bearishness on it, I will concede one thing. Camber Energy may at least be able to hold onto a portion of its meme-fueled gains. Many other column B penny meme stocks, like Naked Brand (NASDAQ:NAKD), have pulled this off.

儘管我對此持悲觀態度,但我會承認一件事。坎伯能源(Camber Energy)可能至少能夠保住一部分由表情包推動的收益。其他許多B專欄的迷因股票,比如裸露品牌(納斯達克股票代碼:NAKD),已經做到了這一點。

Yet while residual meme stock status could keep it between $1 and $2 per share, with little signaling one last move toward $5 per share is in the cards? There's little reason to roll the dice with CEI stock.

然而,儘管剩餘的表情包股票地位可能會使其保持在每股1美元至2美元之間,但幾乎沒有跡象表明,最後一次向每股5美元邁進的可能性是存在的?幾乎沒有理由用CEI股票來擲骰子。

On Penny Stocks and Low-Volume Stocks: With only the rarest exceptions, InvestorPlace does not publish commentary about companies that have a market cap of less than $100 million or trade less than 100,000 shares each day. That's because these "penny stocks" are frequently the playground for scam artists and market manipulators. If we ever do publish commentary on a low-volume stock that may be affected by our commentary, we demand that InvestorPlace.com's writers disclose this fact and warn readers of the risks.

關於細價股和低成交量股票:除了極少數例外,InvestorPlace不會發布關於市值低於1億美元或每天交易量低於10萬股的公司的評論。這是因為這些“廉價股”經常是詐騙藝術家和市場操縱者的遊樂場。如果我們對可能受我們的評論影響的低成交量股票發表評論,我們要求InvestorPlace.com該書的作者披露了這一事實,並警告讀者其中的風險。

Read More: Penny Stocks — How to Profit Without Gettting Scammed

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On the date of publication, Thomas Niel did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,托馬斯·尼爾沒有(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

Thomas Niel, a contributor for InvestorPlace.com, has been writing single-stock analysis for web-based publications since 2016.

托馬斯·尼爾(Thomas Niel),InvestorPlace.com,自2016年以來一直在為基於網絡的出版物撰寫單一股票分析。

The post Don't Count on Another Meme Wave for Camber Energy Stock appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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