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[Surprise Giveaway] How to pick great value stocks like Warren Buffett

[Surprise Giveaway] How to pick great value stocks like Warren Buffett

[驚喜贈品]如何挑選沃倫·巴菲特這樣的高價值股票
Zacks ·  2021/08/30 07:38  · 財學堂

Zacks Investment Research

扎克斯投資研究

16.pngWarren Buffett, one of the most successful investors of all time, turns 91 today. To reflect on what makes him famous (or rich), we invite you to comment "Happy birthday, Buffett" and your takeaway about Buffett below by August 31

沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)是有史以來最成功的投資者之一,今天是他91歲生日。為了反思是什麼讓他出名(或富有),我們邀請您發表評論“巴菲特生日快樂”和你對巴菲特的看法下面到8月31日.

  • Who will be selected: We will randomly select 30 respondents.

  • Rewards: 288 reward points per user. Winners will receive a System Notice by September 3.

  • 誰將被選中:我們將隨機抽取30名受訪者。

  • 獎勵:每個用户288個獎勵積分。獲獎者將在9月3日之前收到系統通知。

08.pngWarren Buffett is one of the legends of stock investing. We all know his story.

沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)是股票投資的傳奇人物之一。我們都知道他的故事。

He started investing in stocks when he was just 11.  By the time he was 29 years old, he was already a millionaire stock investor. In his 60s, he became a billionaire stock investor.

他從11歲開始投資股票,到29歲的時候,他已經是一名百萬富翁股票投資者了。在他60多歲的時候,他成為了一名億萬富翁股票投資者。

Often, the biggest question people ask about Buffett is: how does he do it? And: could I do it too?

通常,人們對巴菲特的最大疑問是:他是如何做到這一點的?還有:我也可以這麼做嗎?

Buffett has become rich by buying undervalued, or out-of-favor stocks, and holding them for years.

巴菲特通過買入被低估或失寵的股票,並持有這些股票多年而致富。

Sounds easy, right?

聽起來很簡單,對吧?

If it was, everyone would be able to do what Buffett has done.

如果是這樣的話,每個人都可以做巴菲特做過的事情。

However, Buffett does have some secrets that us mere mortal investors can deploy to help us pick great value stocks.

然而,巴菲特確實有一些祕密,我們這些普通的投資者可以利用這些祕密來幫助我們挑選高價值的股票。

3 Secrets to Picking Great Value Stocks Like Buffett

選擇像巴菲特這樣的高價值股票的3個祕訣

1) Buy What You Know

1)買你知道的東西

Even investing legends have favorite products. Over the years, Berkshire Hathaway has collected a big roster of well-known companies including Dairy Queen, See's Candy, and Burlington Northern railroad.

即使是投資傳奇人物也有最喜歡的產品。多年來,伯克希爾哈撒韋公司已經收集了一大批知名公司,包括乳品皇后公司、See‘s Candy公司和伯靈頓北方鐵路公司。

How many of these acquisitions were influenced by Buffett's own preferences for the products?

在這些收購中,有多少是受巴菲特自己對產品偏好的影響?

In Berkshire’s stock portfolio, one of its longest owned stock positions is in $Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc(COKE.US)$, which Buffett first began buying in 1988.

在伯克希爾的股票投資組閤中,其擁有時間最長的股票頭寸之一是$可口可樂聯合公司(COKE.US)$,巴菲特於1988年首次開始買入。

Is it a coincidence that Coke is one of Warren Buffett's favorite drinks? Over the last decade, Buffett has disclosed in interviews to both Fortune and the Financial Times that he drinks 5 cans of coke a day, usually Diet Coke or Cherry Coke.

可口可樂成為沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)最喜歡的飲料之一,這是巧合嗎?在過去的十年裏,巴菲特在接受《財富》和英國《金融時報》採訪時透露,他每天喝5罐可樂,通常是健怡可樂或櫻桃可樂。

Clearly, he's a fan.

很明顯,他是我的粉絲。

But you have to do more than just liking a product, to buy the stock.

但要購買股票,你必須做的不僅僅是喜歡一件產品。

Buffett has always been an avid researcher and used to order the Annual Reports from companies, when they would send them to you in the mail, to check the financials. He used to have stacks of the reports piled in his garage.

巴菲特一直是一位熱衷於研究的人,他習慣於從公司訂購年報,當他們通過郵件寄給你的時候,他會檢查財務狀況。他的車庫裏曾經堆放着成堆的報告。

What’s your favorite product or brand?

你最喜歡的產品或品牌是什麼?

We often have our fingers on the pulse of everyday products and activities, or even of something that is used in our jobs, that might get overlooked by others.

我們經常把手放在日常產品和活動的脈搏上,甚至是工作中使用的東西,而這些都可能被別人忽視。

It’s a great way to find value stocks.  

這是尋找價值型股票的好方法。

2) Buy Stocks on Sale

2)大減價買股票

This sounds so simple, right?

這聽起來很簡單,對吧?

But not so fast.

但別這麼快。

With the stock market continuing to hit new all-time highs and everyone worried about valuation, it’s become more difficult, but not impossible, to find good quality companies that are 「on sale.」

隨着股市繼續創下歷史新高,每個人都在擔心估值,找到質量好的“打折”公司變得更加困難,但也不是不可能。

But Buffett still believes in buying undervalued, well-known companies with stellar earnings growth.

但巴菲特仍然相信收購收益增長強勁的被低估的知名公司。

One of the most undervalued stocks he’s bought recently was AbbVie$AbbVie Inc(ABBV.US)$, the pharmaceutical giant and maker of Botox.

他最近買入的最被低估的股票之一是艾伯維(AbbVie)$艾伯維公司(ABBV.US)$製藥巨頭和肉毒桿菌的製造商。

It was one of his few new additions to the Berkshire portfolio in 2020 and he got it massively undervalued, with a forward P/E of around 8 and a dividend yielding over 4%.

這是他在2020年加入伯克希爾哈撒韋投資組合的為數不多的新成員之一,但他的估值被大幅低估,遠期市盈率約為8倍,股息收益率超過4%。

Buying stocks on sale is the easiest way to invest like Buffett. Any investor can search for value stocks by the classic fundamentals like P/E, PEG or Price-to-Sales ratios.

像巴菲特那樣買進打折股票是最簡單的投資方式。任何投資者都可以根據市盈率(P/E)、聚乙二醇(PEG)或市銷率(Price-to-Sales Ratio)等經典基本面來搜索價值股。

If you had done so in 2020, you would have seen some great value stocks, including AbbVie.

如果你在2020年這樣做,你會看到一些很有價值的股票,包括艾伯維(AbbVie)。

It doesn’t get any easier than that.

沒有比這更容易的事了。

3) Learn to Pivot and Change Course

3)學轉課程

Remember when Berkshire Hathaway owned IBM?

還記得伯克希爾哈撒韋公司什麼時候擁有IBM嗎?

Neither do I, but for 7 years, until 2018, Berkshire had a large position in the technology giant.

我也不知道,但在2018年之前的7年裏,伯克希爾一直持有這家科技巨頭的大量頭寸。

Originally bought in 2011, Berkshire spent $10.7 billion, buying at the average price of $170 per share, to take a significant stake in the company.

伯克希爾哈撒韋公司最初收購於2011年,斥資107億美元,以每股170美元的平均價格收購了該公司的大量股份。

This was going to be Buffett’s big play into technology, an area he had famously avoided for decades.

這將是巴菲特進軍科技領域的重頭戲,這是他幾十年來一直迴避的一個著名領域。

But it never really worked out. In 2016, shares fell as low as $125.

但它從未真正奏效。2016年,股價一度跌至125美元。

Buffett decided to sell, and exit the position, notwithstanding one of his most famous pieces of advice, 「our favorite holding period is forever.」

儘管巴菲特最著名的建議之一是“我們最喜歡的持有期是永遠”,但巴菲特還是決定賣出並退出這一頭寸。

Buffett shrugged off the defeat in interviews saying the company never lived up to expectations so he was changing course.

巴菲特在接受採訪時對這一失敗不屑一顧,稱公司從未達到預期,因此他正在改變路線。

What did he buy instead?

他買了什麼呢?

In 2016, Apple was undervalued with a forward P/E of around 10 and the Street was mostly ignoring it.

2016年,蘋果的預期市盈率約為10倍,被低估了,華爾街基本上對此不屑一顧。

That investment has more than made up for the mistake of buying IBM and is now one of the key pillars of Berkshire Hathaway’s business.

這筆投資彌補了收購IBM的錯誤,現在是伯克希爾哈撒韋公司業務的關鍵支柱之一。

You will make investing mistakes, but the secret is to know when to pivot.

你會犯投資錯誤,但祕訣在於知道什麼時候該轉向。

Buffett does it, and you can do it too.

巴菲特做到了,你也可以做到。

Buffett's Final Key Ingredient: Discipline 

巴菲特的最後一個關鍵因素:紀律

Buffett has one skill as an investor that’s hard to come by: discipline.

作為一名投資者,巴菲特有一項技能是難得的:紀律。

He will wait, sometimes years, in order to buy a stock, or a company, at a low price.

為了低價購買一隻股票或一家公司,他會等上幾年,有時甚至會等上幾年。

His discipline paid off in the 2008-2009 financial crisis when he was able to step in and offer financial assistance to struggling banks, offering a $5 billion bailout to Goldman Sachs, for instance, when others were on sinking ships.

他的紀律在2008-2009年金融危機中得到了回報,當時他能夠介入,為陷入困境的銀行提供財政援助,例如,在其他銀行正在下沉的時候,他向高盛(Goldman Sachs)提供了50億美元的救助。

He had what his mentor Benjamin Graham, famously called, a 「margin of safety.」

他擁有他的導師本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)所説的著名的“安全邊際”。

This can be achieved by being prepared for pullbacks, corrections, or even bear markets.

這可以通過為回調、修正甚至熊市做好準備來實現。

Last year, the stock sell-off, and the months after it, were the perfect buying opportunity for value investors to buy their favorite companies at undervalued prices.

去年,股票拋售,以及之後的幾個月,是價值投資者以被低估的價格買入自己喜歡的公司的絕佳買入機會。

But even if you missed that buying opportunity, another one is always coming.

但是,即使你錯過了這個買入機會,另一個機會也總會到來。

Buffett has billions in cash sitting in Berkshire’s coffers, just waiting for another chance to buy.

巴菲特在伯克希爾的金庫裏有數十億美元的現金,只是在等待下一次買入的機會。

What will you do when deals come around again?

當交易再次到來時,你會怎麼做?

Will you be ready?

你準備好了嗎?

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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