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With Roku Stock, It’s Time to Bet on Anthony Wood

With Roku Stock, It’s Time to Bet on Anthony Wood

有了Roku Stock,是時候把賭注押在安東尼·伍德(Anthony Wood)身上了
InvestorPlace ·  2021/08/23 06:00

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The time to buy tech stocks is when they go out of favor. So now might be a good time to look at Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) stock.

買入科技股的時機是在它們失寵的時候。所以現在可能是一個很好的時機來看看羅庫(納斯達克股票代碼:Roku)股票。

Source: jejim / Shutterstock.com
來源:jejim/Shutterstock.com

Roku has lost one-quarter of its value in less than a month. It cost $476 a share on July 19. Now it’s at $351. Even at that price, you’re paying 207x earnings, or 20x revenue, for a company that competes directly with Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL).

在不到一個月的時間裏,Roku的價值已經縮水了四分之一。7月19日,它的價格是每股476美元,現在是351美元。即使在這個價格下,你也要為一家與之直接競爭的公司支付207倍的收益,或20倍的收入字母表(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOG,納斯達克:GOOGL), 亞馬遜(納斯達克股票代碼:AMZN)和蘋果(納斯達克:AAPL).

Still, if you’ve been invested since Roku’s September 2018 IPO, you’re rich. The shares jumped 67% on the first day of trading and have kept going up. Roku is a true “10-bagger,” its value up over 1,200% since it came public.

不過,如果你自2018年9月Roku首次公開募股(IPO)以來一直在投資,那麼你就是有錢人。該公司股價在首日交易中躍升67%,並一直在上漲。Roku是一個真正的“10個袋子”,自上市以來其價值上漲了1200%以上。

The Wood Vision

“木材視覺”(The Wood Vision)

CEO and controlling shareholder Anthony Wood, who previously invented the DVR, sees Roku as the “one box to rule them all,” and a route to power across all media. Wood, a Texas A&M graduate who prefers jeans and suspenders to suits or black turtlenecks, controls Roku through its Class B shares. Roku won’t be sold unless Wood decides to sell.

首席執行官兼控股股東安東尼·伍德(Anthony Wood)之前發明瞭DVR,他認為Roku是“統治一切的一個盒子”,是一條在所有媒體上掌權的途徑。伍德畢業於德克薩斯州農工大學(Texas A&M),比起西裝或黑色高領毛衣,他更喜歡牛仔褲和吊帶褲,他通過其B類股票控制着Roku。除非伍德決定出售,否則Roku不會被出售。

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This means analysts who said you should buy Roku in hopes it would be bought out, like yours truly, were just wrong. (If you bought when I first made that mistake, you’re up “just” 200%. My apologies.)

這意味着,那些説你應該收購Roku的分析師錯了,他們希望Roku會被收購,就像你真正的想法一樣。(如果你在我第一次犯那個錯誤的時候買入,你就“僅僅”上漲了200%。我很抱歉。)

Wood’s not selling. Wood is buying. Even at its current price, Roku is worth almost twice as much as ViacomCBS (NASDAQ:VIAC), which is also family-controlled, in this case by Shari Redstone.

伍德賣不出去。伍德買下了。即使按照目前的價格,Roku的價值也幾乎是它的兩倍維亞康姆CBS(納斯達克股票代碼:VIAC),它也是家族控制的,在這種情況下是由Shari Redstone控制的。

Wood’s vision is to control what people watch through Roku TVs and streaming sticks, and to collect ad revenue for it. Based on the second quarter report, that plan is working. During the quarter, platform revenue, which is mainly advertising, was nearly 5x bigger than player revenue. A year ago, it was slightly more than twice as big. Platform revenue grew 117% year-over-year, with total revenue coming to $645 million.

伍德的願景是控制人們通過Roku電視和流媒體棒觀看的內容,併為其賺取廣告收入。根據第二季度報告,該計劃正在奏效。在本季度,平臺收入(主要是廣告)比玩家收入高出近5倍。一年前,它的規模略高於這一數字的兩倍。平臺收入同比增長117%,總收入達到6.45億美元。

The Skeptics

懷疑論者

Roku stock fell after earnings. Operating income also fell from the previous quarter, to $69 million. Those numbers beat estimates, but user growth was seen as slow.

Roku股價在財報公佈後下跌。營業收入也較上一季度下降,至6900萬美元。這些數字超出了預期,但用户增長被視為緩慢。

For many investors, it was just time to take profits. Roku has 37% of the U.S. streaming market, but its global share is dropping. Europe, Asia and South America are the new growth markets and Roku isn’t a player there.

對於許多投資者來説,現在正是獲利了結的時候。Roku擁有美國流媒體市場37%的份額,但其全球份額正在下降。歐洲、亞洲和南美是新的增長型市場,而Roku並不是這些市場的參與者。

Then there’s a running battle with Google. Roku took Google’s YouTube app off its platform in May, and it’s still not back. Google has responded by selling YouTube TV directly, bypassing Roku. Roku says the issue is monopoly. Google says it’s technology, specifically a new video codec it’s pushing called AV1, which it says takes less bandwidth.

然後是一場與谷歌的持續爭奪戰。Roku在5月份將谷歌的YouTube應用程序從其平臺上撤下,至今仍未迴歸。谷歌的迴應是繞過Roku直接銷售YouTube電視。Roku説,問題是壟斷。谷歌表示,這是一項技術,特別是它正在推動的一種名為AV1的新視頻編解碼器,該公司表示,這種編解碼器佔用的帶寬更少。

As with cloud, Google is buying market share in streaming, signing deals with TV brands like TCL (OTCMKTS:TCLHF), which had previously only supported Roku. When streaming is in the TV, you don’t need the stick. Market share gains for GoogleTV become automatic.

與雲一樣,谷歌正在購買流媒體的市場份額,與如下電視品牌簽署協議TCL(OTCMKTS:TCLHF),之前只支持Roku。如果電視裏有流媒體,你就不需要操縱桿了。谷歌電視(GoogleTV)的市場份額增長是自然而然的。

Roku’s response, so far, has been to buy content. It grabbed content from Quibi, a failed start-up. It is now signing up second-tier cable networks like El Rey, backed by director Robert Rodriguez.

到目前為止,Roku的反應一直是購買內容。它從基比,一家失敗的初創企業。它現在正在與二線有線電視網絡簽約,比如埃爾雷伊由導演羅伯特·羅德里格斯(Robert Rodriguez)支持。

The Bottom Line on ROKU Stock

Roku股票的底線

Roku faces big challenges but, as our Louis Navellier writes, don’t count Wood out.

Roku面臨着巨大的挑戰,但正如我們的Louis Navellier所寫的那樣,不要把伍德排除在外。

The TCL-Google deal isn’t exclusive. The current chip shortage may be a blessing in disguise. It gives Wood time to make new global deals with other TV makers and to line up more international content.

TCL與谷歌的交易並不是排他性的。目前的芯片短缺可能是變相的福氣。這讓伍德有時間與其他電視製造商達成新的全球交易,並安排更多國際內容。

Wood may also decide that now is the time to sell out. A $47 billion market cap looks huge. But it’s seat-cushion money for Apple or Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). They could use Roku to integrate TV and gaming.

伍德也可能決定,現在是賣出的時候了。470億美元的市值看起來很巨大。但這是蘋果或蘋果的坐墊錢微軟(納斯達克市場代碼:MSFT)他們可以利用Roku將電視和遊戲結合起來。

Wood may not look like a TV or tech mogul, but don’t let that fool you.

伍德可能看起來不像電視或科技大亨,但不要讓這一點愚弄了你。

On the date of publication, Dana Blankenhorn held long positions in AMZN, MSFT and AAPL. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在發表之日,Dana Blankenhorn在AMZN、MSFT和AAPL持有多頭頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.

<em>Dana Blankenhorn</em> has been a financial and technology journalist since 1978. He is the author of <em>Living With Moore’s Law: Past, Present and Future</em> available at the Amazon Kindle store. Write him at <em>danablankenhorn@gmail.com</em> or tweet him at <em>@danablankenhorn</em>. He writes a Substack newsletter, <em>Facing the Future</em>, which covers technology, markets, and politics.

達娜·布蘭肯霍恩(Dana Blankenhorn)自1978年以來一直是一名金融和科技記者。他是《摩爾定律:過去、現在和未來可在亞馬遜Kindle商店購買。寫信給他,地址是郵箱:danablankenhorn@gmail.com或者在推特上告訴他@danablankenhorn。他寫了一份子棧時事通訊,面向未來,它涵蓋了技術、市場和政治。

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