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7 vice stocks to buy to be cynically defensive

7 vice stocks to buy to be cynically defensive

7只色情股值得買入,以保持憤世嫉俗的防禦性
InvestorPlace ·  2021/07/21 21:32

As all eyeballs focus on the remarkable record-breaking ascent of the major indices, less attention is paid on defensive names. That’s only natural because of immediacy bias or the tendency to perceive current emotions as more intense than previous emotions. Nevertheless, it might be time to think about hedging against this soaring valuation and what better way to do so than with vice stocks?

由於所有的眼球都聚焦在主要指數創紀錄的顯著攀升上,對防禦性名稱的關注較少。這是很自然的,因為有即時性的偏見,或者傾向於認為當前的情緒比以前的情緒更強烈。然而,現在可能是時候考慮對衝這種飆升的估值了,還有什麼比副股更好的方法呢?

Primarily, vice stocks feed into the cynical nature of the investing world. For instance, every year, Americans — and really many cultures across the globe — tend to make goals for themselves as the Earth sets out to make its 365-day orbit around the sun. But let’s be real: most of us break our resolutions. According to studies, around 80% of such goals get abandoned, which actually bodes well for vice stocks.

首先,副股助長了投資界的憤世嫉俗。例如,每年,當地球開始圍繞太陽運行365天的軌道時,美國人-以及全球真正的許多文化-往往會為自己制定目標。但讓我們實事求是地説:我們中的大多數人都違背了我們的決心。根據研究,大約80%的此類目標被放棄,這實際上對色情股來説是個好兆頭。

Typically, most folks want to lose weight. Given a several curtailing of non-essential activities which the novel pandemic imposed, losing weight surely ranked highly earlier this year. However, even with this context in mind, I’m almost certain that people have also largely given up. Basically, the underlying businesses associated with vice stocks are too tempting.

通常情況下,大多數人都想減肥。考慮到這種新的流行病迫使人們減少了幾項不必要的活動,減肥肯定在今年早些時候排在了很高的位置。然而,即使考慮到這種情況,我幾乎可以肯定,人們在很大程度上也已經放棄了。基本上,與色情股相關的基礎業務太誘人了。

Also, such businesses tend to be on the fun side of the scale. It’s not surprising that when it comes to addictions, they’re tied to activities that if money and social mores were no objects, we’d find ourselves doing them all the time. No one puts school textbook publishers on a list of vice stocks because honestly, what kind of vice would that be?

此外,這類企業往往在規模上表現出有趣的一面。當談到上癮時,這一點並不令人驚訝,因為如果沒有金錢和社會習俗,我們會發現自己一直在做這些事情,這一點也就不足為奇了。沒有人把學校教科書出版商列入色情股名單,因為老實説,那會是哪種罪惡呢?

Further, this sector may also be ideal for uncertain economic times, such as the present moment. While consumers will give up discretionary purchases to make ends meet, when there a strong emotional connection exists to the product or service, it’s difficult to say no. Yes, it’s a terribly cynical thesis but here are some vice stocks to consider.

此外,這一領域也可能是不確定經濟時期(如目前)的理想選擇。雖然消費者會放棄可自由支配的購買以維持收支平衡,但當消費者對產品或服務存在強烈的情感聯繫時,很難説不。是的,這是一個非常憤世嫉俗的命題,但這裏有一些可以考慮的副股。

For perspective, please don’t interpret this list as a knock on these companies’ ethical principles. In reality, there are very few universally disliked vice stocks (only private prisons come to mind). Instead, consider this a lighthearted take on how you can expand your options during these uncertain times.

從角度來看,請不要將這份名單解讀為對這些公司道德原則的抨擊。在現實中,幾乎沒有普遍不受歡迎的色情股(只有私人監獄出現在腦海中)。取而代之的是,把這看作是對如何在這些不確定的時期擴大你的選擇的一種輕鬆的看法。

Vice Stocks To Buy: RCI Hospitality (RICK)

副股票買入:RCI Hotitality(RCI Hotitality)

RCI Hospitality starts off this list of vice stocks because of its unique profile. For one thing, it’s an obvious sin play — look up what it does (just not at work). However, many people don’t realize that RICK stock can also be considered an environmental, social and governance (ESG) investment.

RCI Hotitality之所以被列入這份副股票名單,是因為它的獨特形象。首先,這是一個明顯的罪惡遊戲--看看它做了什麼(只是不在工作中)。然而,很多人沒有意識到,裏克股票也可以被視為環境、社會和治理(ESG)投資。

First, RCI Hospitality specializes in fabric-free establishments. In an era where government bodies are worried about waste, there is little waste (or little left to the imagination) with RCI. Second, the company offers a social outlet for those who are marginalized in the dating arena. Finally, RCI completes the ESG trifecta with governance regarding the gender pay gap. In this case, the gap favors women by a wide margin.

首先,RCI Hotitality專門經營無織物場所。在一個政府機構擔心浪費的時代,RCI幾乎沒有浪費(或者説幾乎沒有留下什麼想象力)。其次,該公司為那些在約會領域被邊緣化的人提供了一個社交渠道。最後,RCI完成了ESG三部曲,並對性別薪酬差距進行了治理。在這種情況下,差距大大有利於女性。

Of course, I’m being facetious but at the same time, if it helps you justify your acquisition of RICK stock, by all means use it. But on a more serious note, these entertainment establishments have proven to be resilient in the last recession, implying that RICK can do well in a deflationary cycle.

當然,我是在開玩笑,但同時,如果這能幫助你證明你收購裏克股票的合理性,請務必使用它。但更嚴重的是,事實證明,這些娛樂機構在上一次經濟衰退中表現得很有彈性,這意味着裏克在通縮週期中可以做得很好。

To be fair, the lingering impact of the pandemic is a risk. However, pent-up demand for in-person hospitality could swing the needle favorably in the long run.

公平地説,大流行的揮之不去的影響是一種風險。然而,從長遠來看,被壓抑的面對面接待需求可能會帶來有利的結果。

Church & Dwight (CHD)

丘奇與德懷特(CHD)

Ordinarily, Church & Dwight would rarely show up on a list of vice stocks. But in the context of this article, CHD stock might be something to consider because some of its underlying products do tend to ride the indulgent side of the consumer products spectrum.

通常情況下,Church&Dwight很少出現在色情股名單上。但在本文的背景下,CHD股票可能是一個值得考慮的問題,因為它的一些基礎產品確實傾向於乘坐消費產品光譜中放縱的一面。

I don’t know how much I can reveal without making the algorithms angry. So for now, I’ll just say that one of Church & Dwight’s products centers on personal protection — and I’m not talking about the Second Amendment (which of course we’re going to get into later).

我不知道在不激怒算法的情況下我能透露多少信息。所以現在,我只想説丘奇和德懷特的一款產品是以個人保護為中心的--我不是在説第二修正案(當然,我們稍後會討論這一修正案)。

But how much exposure does CHD really have toward the business of vice stocks? Obviously, not nearly as much as something like RCI Hospitality. That said, you have two components going on here. First, with Covid-19 cases generally declining — though there is a spike in new cases we should monitor to be fair — singles will again be looking to mingle.

但CHD到底對色情股業務有多大的敞口?顯然,遠不如RCI Hotitality那樣。也就是説,這裏有兩個組件。首先,隨着新冠肺炎案件普遍下降-儘管我們應該公平監測新案件的數量有所增加-單身人士將再次尋求交往。

Thus, you have the pent-up demand argument which I don’t need to explain any further. But in addition, should the circumstances of the pandemic worsen yet again, you can rely on the company’s core consumer staples brands.

因此,你有被壓抑的需求論點,我不需要進一步解釋。但除此之外,如果疫情再次惡化,你可以依靠該公司的核心消費必需品品牌。

Vice Stocks To Buy: Ferrari (RACE)

副股票買入:法拉利(Ferrari)

Another company that typically doesn’t make it on a list of vice stocks to buy, I’m including world-famous Ferrari because it covers three of the seven deadly sins: pride, greed and lust (for superfluous material goods). While it’s not really a sin play — people can buy whatever they want with their money within obvious boundaries — it’s difficult not to view Ferrari with some magnitude of social criticism.

另一家通常不會被列入不良股票購買名單的公司是世界著名的法拉利(Ferrari),因為它涵蓋了七宗罪中的三宗:傲慢、貪婪和慾望(對多餘的物質物品)。雖然這不是真正的罪惡遊戲-人們可以在明顯的界限內用自己的錢買任何他們想要的東西-但很難不用一些社會批評來看待法拉利。

For instance, the cheapest new Ferrari you can buy is the Portofino, which comes in at a really-not-that-cheap $215,000. In contrast, the average home price in the U.S. as of May 2021 is $287,148. So you can be a three-fourths of a cash buyer for a home or you can buy an “economy” model Ferrari.

例如,你能買到的最便宜的新法拉利是Portofino,它的價格真的不是那麼便宜,只需21.5萬美元。相比之下,截至2021年5月,美國的平均房價為287,148美元。因此,你可以用四分之三的現金購買一套房子,也可以買一輛“經濟型”法拉利(Ferrari)。

Plus, there’s always that criticism that people with that kind of cash burning a hole in their wallet can do better for society. After all, you can’t take this crap with you when it’s time to meet your maker.

此外,總是有人批評説,擁有這麼多錢的人錢包裏燒了一個洞,就能為社會做得更好。畢竟,當你要去見你的創造者的時候,你不能帶着這些廢話一起走。

Nevertheless, if you can overlook the “sinful” element of Ferrari, RACE stock makes sense in that you’re dealing with a very affluent clientele. Put another way, this is the one consumer demographic that will not be worried about a possible upcoming recession.

然而,如果你可以忽略法拉利的“罪惡”元素,那麼比賽股票是有意義的,因為你正在與非常富有的客户打交道。換句話説,這是一個不會擔心可能即將到來的經濟衰退的消費羣體。

Coca-Cola (KO)

可口可樂(Coca-Cola)

Recently, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) device manufacturer Senseonics (NYSEAMERICAN:SENS) has been generating headlines thanks to its strong following on social media. But the underlying CGM device is also worthy of its own praise, which allows diabetes patients greater freedom. Not wanting to be left behind, other companies, including Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) also have their own CGM equipment.

最近,連續血糖監測(CGM)設備製造商感應學(NYSEAMERICAN:SENS)已經成為頭條新聞,這要歸功於它在社交媒體上的強大追隨者。但潛在的CGM設備也值得稱讚,它給了糖尿病患者更大的自由。其他公司不想落在後面,包括雅培實驗室紐約證券交易所代碼:ABT)也有自己的CGM設備。

Eventually, the biotechnology industry may even get rid of monitoring and management solutions and finally cure the condition. Of course, there’s not much of a profitability incentive in cures as opposed to management. Moreover, you have companies like Coca-Cola, which is not exactly helping the situation when it comes to facilitating societal health.

最終,生物技術行業甚至可能擺脱監控和管理解決方案,最終治癒這種疾病。當然,與管理層相比,治療並不會帶來太大的盈利激勵。此外,還有像可口可樂這樣的公司,在促進社會健康方面,這並不能完全幫助解決問題。

I’m not suggesting that Coca-Cola is in the business of giving people diabetes. But take this warning from Healthline.com: “Drinking high amounts of sugar-sweetened beverages — such as soda — can have various adverse impacts on your health. These range from increased chances of tooth decay to a higher risk of heart disease and metabolic disorders like type 2 diabetes.”

我並不是説可口可樂的業務就是讓人們患糖尿病。但請看Healthline.com的警告:“大量飲用含糖飲料--比如汽水--會對你的健康產生各種不利影響。從蛀牙的機率增加到患心臟病和2型糖尿病等代謝紊亂的風險增加,不一而足。“

Certainly, there’s personal choice involved. However, because sugary sodas are addictive, Coca-Cola is not going to get a pass regarding this list of vice stocks. It’s a sin play, no doubt about it but it could be a long-term profitable one.

當然,這牽涉到個人選擇。然而,由於含糖汽水會讓人上癮,可口可樂不會通過這份色情庫存清單。這是一部罪惡劇,這一點毋庸置疑,但它可能是一部長期有利可圖的劇。

Vice Stocks To Buy: FAT Brands (FAT)

要買的副股:胖子品牌(FAT)

With society recognizing the slights and grievances that people impose on others based on a range of factors — weight-related issues being one of them — Fat Brands may very well be the last of its kind. Don’t be surprised if eventually, the awakening movement asks the company to rebrand itself to align with a more body-positive image.

隨着社會認識到人們基於一系列因素對他人施加的輕蔑和不滿-與體重相關的問題就是其中之一-胖子品牌很可能是這類品牌中的最後一個。如果覺醒運動最終要求該公司重新塑造自己的品牌,使其與更有利於身體的形象保持一致,也不要感到驚訝。

For now, what we have is a company that basically laughs in the face of moderation. Of course, this is not going to sit well with public health advocates, who have long warned about America’s growing waistline. But it’s probably too late. As an example, studies show that one-third of youth are too obese for military service. And with a name like Fat Brands, the company isn’t helping the matter.

就目前而言,我們擁有的是一家基本上在温和麪前大笑的公司。當然,這不會受到公共健康倡導者的歡迎,他們長期以來一直對美國日益增長的腰圍發出警告。但現在可能已經太晚了。例如,研究表明,三分之一的年輕人過於肥胖,不適合服兵役。而像Fat Brands這樣的名字,該公司對這件事也無濟於事。

Nevertheless, this is one vice that is delectable and tempting. I’ve had Fat Brands’ iconic Fatburger and it’s truly decadent. Naturally, I wouldn’t recommend a daily dose of the stuff as it can’t be good for your health. Given its popularity, though, inclusion of FAT stock in your portfolio might expand your profitability over the long haul due to pent-up demand.

然而,這是一個令人愉快和誘人的缺點。我吃過Fat Brands標誌性的Fatburger,它真的很頹廢。當然,我不建議每天服用這種東西,因為它不會對你的健康有好處。不過,考慮到它的受歡迎程度,由於被壓抑的需求,在你的投資組合中納入豐厚的股票可能會在長期內擴大你的盈利能力。

Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI)

Smith&Wesson Brands(SWBI)

As I promised earlier, I’m including one of the “vice-st” of vice stocks with Smith & Wesson Brands. Due to the partisan nature of firearms, many folks do not appreciate a negative label being attached to the underlying industry. Honestly, though, when it comes to something like SWBI stock, you can’t avoid its longstanding bad boy image.

正如我早先承諾的那樣,我將把史密斯和韋森品牌的一名“副”股票包括在內。由於槍支的黨派性質,許多人不喜歡給基礎行業貼上負面標籤。不過,老實説,當談到SWBI股票這樣的東西時,你無法避免它長期以來的壞男孩形象。

As one firearms enthusiast told me, you can never take the gun out of the equation when it comes to responsible ownership laws. For instance, police arrested three men, who were found with a cache of weapons at a Denver hotel near the site of Major League Baseball’s All-Star Game. However, the FBI quickly downplayed any potential threat to the game as the defendants claimed they were conducting guns and drugs transactions.

正如一位槍支愛好者告訴我的那樣,當涉及到負責任的所有權法律時,你永遠不能把槍從方程式中拿出來。例如,警方逮捕了三名男子,他們在美國職業棒球大聯盟全明星賽現場附近的丹佛一家酒店被發現藏有武器。然而,聯邦調查局很快淡化了對這項運動的任何潛在威脅,因為被告聲稱他們正在進行槍支和毒品交易。

It’s strange that of all the places these dudes could have chosen for their illegal trade, they chose the All-Star Game. Personally, I think we got away with one.

奇怪的是,在所有這些傢伙可以為他們的非法交易選擇的地方中,他們選擇了全明星賽。就我個人而言,我認為我們有一個逃脱了懲罰。

But the bottom line is that no, you really can’t take guns out of the equation. At the same time, regular folks are worried about the escalation of extreme violence. Since criminals are already outgunning law-abiding citizens in terms of aggression and weaponry, we have no choice but to allow legal gun ownership.

但底線是,不,你真的不能把槍排除在方程式之外。與此同時,普通民眾擔心極端暴力升級。由於罪犯在攻擊性和武器方面已經超過了守法公民,我們別無選擇,只能允許合法擁有槍支。

Admittedly, SWBI is one of the trickiest vice stocks but I think it’s a long-term buy based on the fracturing of society.

誠然,SWBI是最棘手的色情股之一,但我認為這是一種基於社會分裂的長期買入。

Vice Stocks To Buy: Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF.A, LGF.B)

副股買入:獅門娛樂(Lions Gate Entertainment,LGF.A,LGF.B)

In most contexts, content production companies don’t fall under vice stocks, that is unless you’re talking about Lions Gate Entertainment. Now, before I tick off any fans of LGF.A stock and its underlying business, please hear me out: I love many of the films which the company produces. But the problem is that much if not most of the content is very gritty or downright violent.

在大多數情況下,內容製作公司不會被歸入副股,除非你在談論獅門娛樂(Lions Gate Entertainment)。現在,在我列舉任何LGF.A股票及其基礎業務的粉絲之前,請聽我説完:我喜歡該公司製作的許多電影。但問題是,即使不是大多數內容,也有很多是非常粗暴或徹頭徹尾的暴力內容。

Perhaps the most notable film under the Lions Gate brand is the Saw franchise. If you look beyond the graphic displays of torture and sadism, you can extract several cultural and societal critiques. More than likely, though, the audience is there to watch torture — which is frightening if you think about it.

也許獅門影業品牌下最著名的電影是特許經營權。如果你把目光放在酷刑和虐待狂的圖形展示之外,你可以提取幾個文化和社會批評。然而,更有可能的是,觀眾在那裏觀看酷刑-如果你仔細想想,這是可怕的。

Debate rages on the topic but at least some evidence suggests that watching horror films is not good for your health. According to Healthline.com, binge-watching horror movies “increases the regularity of adrenaline in the body, worsening issues with sleep.”

關於這個話題的爭論很激烈,但至少有一些證據表明,看恐怖電影對你的健康沒有好處。根據Healthline.com的説法,瘋狂觀看恐怖電影“增加了體內腎上腺素的規律性,加劇了睡眠問題。”

Still, the issue is that horror fans love this adrenaline rush. So while LGF.B stock technically falls under the vice stocks category, I’d be a buyer and a consumer.

儘管如此,問題是恐怖迷喜歡這種令人興奮的刺激。因此,雖然LGF.B的股票從技術上講屬於副股類別,但我既是買家,也是消費者。

On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,喬什·恩諾本(Josh Enomoto)沒有(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.

A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare.

曾擔任索尼電子(Sony Electronics)高級商業分析師的喬什·內本(Josh Enomoto)曾幫助撮合過財富全球500強(Fortune Global 500)公司的重大合同。在過去的幾年裏,他為投資市場以及包括法律、建築管理和醫療保健在內的各種其他行業提供了獨特的、至關重要的見解。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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