Ethereum ETF Approval Unlikely This Week, Says Top Crypto Analyst: 72-Hour Window 'Weird And Almost Impossible To Establish'
Ethereum ETF Approval Unlikely This Week, Says Top Crypto Analyst: 72-Hour Window 'Weird And Almost Impossible To Establish'
Popular cryptocurrency analyst and trader Michaël van de Poppe went against the broader market sentiment by suggesting that spot Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) ETFs won't be greenlighted by the SEC this week.
受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師兼交易員邁克爾·範德波普暗示美國證券交易委員會本週不會批准現貨以太坊（加密貨幣：ETH）ETF，這與更廣泛的市場情緒背道而馳。
What Happened: Van de Poppe, known for sharing crypto investment strategies on social media, said, "Honestly, I think it's going to be a delay and approval in July/August," amid the ongoing frenzy. The analyst's views drew market interest as the final deadline for the first wave of applications falls on May 23, with VanEck's proposal being the first in line.
發生了什麼：在持續的狂潮中，以在社交媒體上分享加密投資策略而聞名的範德波普說：“老實說，我認爲這將是7月/8月的延遲和批准”。分析師的觀點引起了市場的興趣，因爲第一波申請的最後期限是5月23日，而VanEck的提案是第一批提案。
The #Ethereum ETF has a deadline in two days.
A week ago, the chances of a denial were close to 99%.
Now, apparently, the chances of an approval are 75%.
Honestly, I think it's going to be a delay and approval in July/August.
It's looking good, that's for sure.— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) May 21, 2024
#Ethereum ETF的最後期限爲兩天。
一週前，拒絕的幾率接近99％。
現在，顯然，獲得批准的可能性爲75％。
老實說，我認爲這將是7月/8月的延遲和批准。
當然，它看起來不錯。— 邁克爾·範德波普 (@CryptoMichNL) 2024 年 5 月 21 日
Van de Poppe told Benzinga that the likelihood of approval within a window of 72 hours is "weird and almost impossible to establish." He cited the continued presence of ETH staking in many applications as a factor that could delay approvals. He added that the market would likely respond negatively to the SEC's refusal, but the grounds for denial would determine the next reaction.
範德波普告訴本辛加，在72小時內獲得批准的可能性 “很奇怪，幾乎無法確定”。他指出，許多申請中持續存在ETH質押是可能延遲批准的一個因素。他補充說，市場可能會對美國證券交易委員會的拒絕做出負面回應，但拒絕的理由將決定下一步的反應。
"If it's solely the staking part, then it might suggest that we're going to have an approval, but just later on, and that would automatically lead to a positive build-up at a later point in time," Van de Poppe emphasized.
範德波普強調說：“如果這僅僅是賭注部分，那麼可能表明我們將獲得批准，但等到稍後，這將自動導致以後的積極積累。”
Why It Matters: After a few hours of receiving the aforementioned responses, nearly five applicants amended their filings to remove the staking part — a blockade that Van de Poppe was referring to.
爲何重要：在收到上述回覆幾個小時後，將近五名申請人修改了申報表，刪除了質押部分——範德波普指的是封鎖。
UPDATE: It's happening. We have at least 5 of the potential #Ethereum ETF issuers that have submitted their Amended 19b-4's in the last ~25 min.
Fidelity, VanEck, Invesco/Galaxy, Ark/21Shares, & Franklin all submitted via CBOE. pic.twitter.com/pHGt8iRWi8— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) May 21, 2024
更新：它正在發生。在過去的大約25分鐘內，我們至少有5家潛在的 #Ethereum ETF發行人提交了經修訂的19b-4。
富達、VanEck、Invesco/Galaxy、Ark/21Shares和富蘭克林均通過芝加哥期權交易所提交。pic.twitter.com/phgt8IRWI8— 詹姆斯·塞法特 (@JSeyff) 2024 年 5 月 21 日
Bloomberg Analyst James Seyffart maintained a 75% approval chance as of this publication.
截至本出版物，彭博社分析師詹姆斯·塞法特保持了75％的批准機會。
Meanwhile, VanEck's spot Ether ETF fund was listed on the website of the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation, according to The Block. While not a confirmation of approval, this step was important in the process of listing the investment vehicles.
同時，據The Block報道，VanEck的現貨以太幣ETF基金已在存託信託和清算公司的網站上市。雖然不是確認批准，但這一步驟在投資工具上市過程中非常重要。
Price Action: At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading up 3.26% at $3,759.04, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
價格走勢：根據Benzinga Pro的數據，在撰寫本文時，以太坊的交易價格上漲3.26％，至3,759.04美元。
Image via Shutterstock
圖片來自 Shutterstock