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Investors Three-year Losses Continue as China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Dips a Further 6.2% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Investors Three-year Losses Continue as China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Dips a Further 6.2% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

由於中國旭陽集團(HKG: 1907)本週再下跌6.2%,收益繼續下降,投資者連續三年虧損持續
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:17

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term China Risun Group Limited (HKG:1907) shareholders, since the share price is down 45% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 13%. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 6.2%.

作爲投資者,值得努力確保您的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平。但是在任何投資組合中,都可能有一些股票未達到該基準。不幸的是,中國旭陽集團有限公司(HKG: 1907)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了45%,遠低於13%左右的市場跌幅。上週股價繼續下跌,下跌了約6.2%。

Since China Risun Group has shed HK$881m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於中國旭陽集團在過去7天內已從其價值下跌8.81億港元,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該業務的經濟推動的。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

During the three years that the share price fell, China Risun Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 22% each year. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 18% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time, despite the disappointment. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在股價下跌的三年中,中國旭陽集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降22%。每股收益的下降與股價每年18%的下降率相差不遠。這表明,儘管令人失望,但在這段時間內,公司周圍的市場情緒並沒有太大變化。相反,股價大致追蹤了每股收益的增長。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1907 Earnings Per Share Growth May 21st 2024
SEHK: 1907 每股收益增長 2024 年 5 月 21 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Risun Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。查看這張中國旭陽集團收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Risun Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -37%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,中國旭陽集團過去3年的股東總回報率爲-37%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

China Risun Group shareholders are down 11% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 7.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Risun Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

中國旭陽集團的股東今年下跌了11%(甚至包括股息),但市場本身上漲了7.1%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺7%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——中國旭陽集團有3個警告信號(其中一個很重要),我們認爲你應該知道。

China Risun Group is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

中國旭陽集團並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。因此,看看這份內部人士一直在購買的估值誘人的小盤股公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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