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We Think Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲恒生科技(SHSE: 600570)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 21:47

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hundsun Technologies Inc. (SHSE:600570) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,恒生科技股份有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600570)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Hundsun Technologies's Debt?

恒生科技的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hundsun Technologies had CN¥328.2m of debt, up from CN¥192.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.68b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.35b.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,恒生科技的債務爲3.282億元人民幣,高於去年同期的1.928億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它確實有26.8億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲23.5億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600570 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SHSE: 600570 2024 年 5 月 21 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Hundsun Technologies' Liabilities

看看恒生科技的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hundsun Technologies had liabilities of CN¥4.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥313.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.68b in cash and CN¥1.37b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥349.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,恒生科技的負債爲40.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲3.134億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有26.8億加元的現金和13.7億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出3.495億元人民幣。

Having regard to Hundsun Technologies' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥41.1b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hundsun Technologies also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

考慮到恒生科技的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎保持了良好的平衡。因此,這家411億元人民幣的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。儘管恒生科技確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

Another good sign is that Hundsun Technologies has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hundsun Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一個好兆頭是,恒生科技已經能夠在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤提高25%,從而更容易償還債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定恒生科技能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Hundsun Technologies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Hundsun Technologies recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。恒生科技的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。縱觀最近三年,恒生科技錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的35%,低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Hundsun Technologies has CN¥2.35b in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 25% over the last year. So is Hundsun Technologies's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hundsun Technologies that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,恒生科技擁有23.5億元人民幣的淨現金。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了25%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。那麼,恒生科技的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了恒生科技的1個警告信號,在投資恒生科技之前,你應該注意這個信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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