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AI-Driven Rally Set To Expand To Power, Commodities, Utilities: 'It's Not Just About Nvidia Anymore'

AI-Driven Rally Set To Expand To Power, Commodities, Utilities: 'It's Not Just About Nvidia Anymore'

人工智能驅動的反彈將擴展到電力、大宗商品、公用事業:“這不再只是英偉達的問題”
Benzinga ·  05/20 20:22

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ is in the spotlight this week as it prepares to report its first-quarter 2024 earnings on Wednesday. This announcement marks the first anniversary of its remarkable first-quarter 2023 earnings, which ignited an AI-driven rally in the chipmaker industry.

$英偉達 (NVDA.US)$ 本週備受關注,該公司準備在週三公佈其2024年第一季度業績。該公告標誌着其2023年第一季度豐厚收益一週年,這引發了芯片製造商行業人工智能驅動的反彈。

The consensus among Wall Street analysts predicts Nvidia to report an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.60, more than five times the EPS from the same quarter last year. Revenue projections are similarly optimistic, with expectations set at $24.59 billion, over three times the revenue in Q1 2023.

華爾街分析師的共識預測,英偉達公佈的每股收益(EPS)爲5.60美元,是去年同期每股收益的五倍多。收入預測同樣樂觀,預期爲245.9億美元,是2023年第一季度收入的三倍多。

As Bank of America noted in a recent note, since the 'blowout' Q1 2023, Nvidia's market capitalization has surged by $1.5 trillion. The company's last twelve months (LTM) EPS has skyrocketed by 617% year-over-year, and mentions of AI during corporate earnings calls have increased by 186%.

正如美國銀行在最近的一份報告中指出的那樣,自2023年第一季度 “井噴式” 以來,英偉達的市值激增了1.5萬億美元。該公司過去十二個月(LTM)的每股收益同比增長了617%,在公司業績電話會議上提及人工智能的次數增加了186%。

Yet, the AI-driven gains initiated by Nvidia are now expected to extend beyond the chipmaking sector to encompass power, commodities, and utilities, according to Bank of America's analysts.

然而,根據美國銀行的分析師的說法,英偉達發起的人工智能驅動的收益現在預計將不僅限於芯片製造領域,還將涵蓋電力、大宗商品和公用事業。

'It's not just about Nvidia anymore,' Ohsung Kwon, CFA, equity and quant strategist at Bank of America, stated.

美國銀行股票和量化策略師Ohsung Kwon表示:“這不僅僅是英偉達的事,” 首席財務官、股票和量化策略師Ohsung Kwon表示。

Nvidia has driven 37% of S&P earnings growth over the LTM and 11% of returns. However, it is projected to contribute only 9% to earnings growth over the next 12 months.

英偉達在LTM上推動了標準普爾收益的37%和11%的回報。但是,預計在未來12個月中,它對收益增長的貢獻僅爲9%。

Nvidia's 1-Year Share Price Performance vs. Semiconductor Industry – iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX)

英偉達1年股價表現與半導體行業對比——iShares半導體ETF(納斯達克股票代碼:SOXX)

Demand From AI Data Centers To Fuel Gains In Power Players

來自人工智能數據中心的需求推動了實力企業的增長

McKinsey projects a 10-12% annual increase in global data center power demand between 2020 and 2030.

麥肯錫預計,在2020年至2030年之間,全球數據中心的電力需求每年增長10-12%。

Bank of America analyst Andrew Obin believes that "AI adoption adds potential upside to these forecasts."

美國銀行分析師安德魯·奧賓認爲,“人工智能的採用爲這些預測增加了潛在的上行空間。”

The investment bank foresees that various sectors will benefit from AI-centric demand growth, including power producers with merchant capacity, grid equipment providers, pipeline companies, and grid technology providers. Commodities such as copper and uranium are also expected to benefit.

該投資銀行預計,各行各業將受益於以人工智能爲中心的需求增長,包括擁有商業容量的電力生產商、電網設備提供商、管道公司和電網技術提供商。銅和鈾等大宗商品預計也將受益。

Amid this backdrop, Vertiv Holdings LLC (NYSE:VRT), a manufacturer of power and cooling equipment for data centers, has significantly outperformed Nvidia by 300% since Nvidia's spectacular AI quarter last year.

在這種背景下,自去年英偉達引人注目的人工智能季度以來,數據中心電力和冷卻設備製造商維帝夫控股有限責任公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:VRT)的表現已大大超過英偉達300%。

Vertiv's portfolio, which includes electrical and thermal equipment for data centers, accounts for approximately 75% of its revenue. Projections suggest that global data center demand could reach 126-152 GW by 2030, driving around 250 TWh of new electricity demand, equating to 8% of total US power demand by 2030. Data centers operate a highly power-intensive model, necessitating constant power access and reliable connectivity.

Vertiv的產品組合包括用於數據中心的電氣和熱設備,約佔其收入的75%。預測表明,到2030年,全球數據中心需求可能達到126-152吉瓦,推動約250太瓦時的新電力需求,相當於2030年美國總電力需求的8%。數據中心採用高度耗電的模式,需要持續的電力接入和可靠的連接。

Chart: Power Player Vertiv Holdings Sharply Outperformed Nvidia In The Last Year

圖表:去年,實力巨頭維帝控股的表現大幅超過英偉達

Utilities To Benefit From AI-Driven Power Demand

公用事業將受益於人工智能驅動的電力需求

Paul Cole, a research analyst at Bank of America, commented, "Investors in utilities are likely too cautious in estimating the incremental margin opportunities presented by data center growth."

美國銀行的研究分析師保羅·科爾評論說:“公用事業投資者在估計數據中心增長帶來的增量利潤機會時可能過於謹慎。”

He identified $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$, $Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG.US)$, $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$, $NextEra Energy (NEE.US)$, and $Dominion Resources (D.US)$ as clear beneficiaries of the data center proliferation and the associated increase in power needs.

他確定了 $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$$公務集團 (PEG.US)$$Vistra Energy (VST.US)$$新紀元能源 (NEE.US)$,以及 $道明尼資源 (D.US)$ 顯然是數據中心擴張和相關的電力需求增加的受益者。

Chart: Year-To-Date Performance Of $CEG, $VST, $NEE and $D

圖表:$CEG、$VST、$NEE 和 $D 的年初至今表現

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