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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get China Energy Engineering (HKG:3996) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

正收益增長不足以讓中國能源工程(HKG: 3996)股東在去年獲得可觀的回報
Simply Wall St ·  05/12 20:03

China Energy Engineering Corporation Limited (HKG:3996) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 24% in the last quarter. But in truth the last year hasn't been good for the share price. The cold reality is that the stock has dropped 20% in one year, under-performing the market.

中國能源工程股份有限公司(HKG: 3996)股東應該很高興看到上個季度股價上漲24%。但實際上,去年對股價不利。冷酷的現實是,該股在一年內下跌了20%,表現不及市場。

While the last year has been tough for China Energy Engineering shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管去年對中國能源工程的股東來說是艱難的一年,但上週顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Even though the China Energy Engineering share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管中國能源工程的股價在過去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益實際上有所改善。過去的增長預期很可能不合理。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, last year. But other metrics might shed some light on why the share price is down.

通過看一眼這些數字,我們假設市場預計去年會有更高的增長。但是其他指標可能會爲股價下跌的原因提供一些啓示。

China Energy Engineering's revenue is actually up 8.2% over the last year. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

中國能源工程的收入實際上比去年增長了8.2%。由於基本面指標不容易解釋股價下跌,因此如果市場反應過度,可能會有機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3996 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 13th 2024
SEHK: 3996 2024年5月13日收益和收入增長

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for China Energy Engineering the TSR over the last 1 year was -18%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,中國能源工程過去一年的股東總回報率爲-18%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in China Energy Engineering had a tough year, with a total loss of 18% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 3.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 2%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Energy Engineering (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

中國能源工程的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損了18%(包括股息),而市場漲幅約爲3.8%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺2%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們已經爲中國能源工程確定了兩個警告信號(其中一個不容忽視),你應該注意這些信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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