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QBE Anticipates Strong First Half Performance

QBE Anticipates Strong First Half Performance

昆士蘭央行預計上半場表現強勁
sharecafe ·  05/10 03:03

Major insurer QBE (ASX:QBE) is poised for a solid first half result when it reports in August, judging by its March quarter trading update on Friday.

從週五公佈的3月季度交易報告來看,主要保險公司昆士蘭銀行(澳大利亞證券交易所股票代碼:QBE)有望在8月份公佈的上半年業績表現良好。

QBE revealed higher gross premiums, a reasonable outcome on costs associated with major catastrophes (especially storms), and a higher return from its investment portfolio.

昆士蘭銀行透露了更高的總保費,與重大災難(尤其是風暴)相關的成本取得了合理的結果,其投資組合的回報也更高。

CEO Andrew Horton told the QBE AGM on Friday that the company has "had a good start to the year. Markets remain supportive, with continued momentum in gross written premium, while underwriting performance is tracking to plan."

首席執行官安德魯·霍頓週五在昆士蘭銀行股東大會上說,該公司 “今年有了一個良好的開端。市場保持支撐,總書面保費保持勢頭,而承保業績正按計劃進行。”

He and the company reaffirmed full-year guidance of constant currency gross written premium growth in the mid-single digits. "Premium rate increases are expected to remain supportive."

他和公司重申了全年預期的固定貨幣總承保保費增長幅度爲個位數的預期。“預計保費利率的上漲將保持支撐作用。”

QBE's said its combined operating ratio is forecast to be approximately 93.5%, which will be better than the 95.2% in the 2023 year (which was increased due to a reserve transaction during the year). The ratio was 94.6% excluding that change.

昆士蘭銀行表示,其合併運營比率預計約爲93.5%,將好於2023年的95.2%(該年度的儲備交易導致增加)。不包括這一變化,該比率爲94.6%。

The company said it saw a 2% year-on-year increase in gross written premium for the March quarter in both reported and constant currency terms.

該公司表示,按報告貨幣和固定貨幣計算,3月季度的總書面保費同比增長2%。

Its renewal rate increases of 7.3% were in line with the company's expectations, which "reflected reduced rate increases across certain property and reinsurance lines compared to the prior corresponding period."

其續保率上調了7.3%,符合該公司的預期,這 “反映了與前一同期相比,某些財產和再保險項目的利率上漲幅度有所降低。”

Excluding rate increases, premiums fell 2% in constant currency terms. This was due to lower Crop premiums along with property portfolio exits in its North America and Australia operations.

不包括加息,按固定貨幣計算,保費下降了2%。這是由於作物保費下降以及其北美和澳大利亞業務的房地產投資組合退出。

QBE said that it expects organic growth to partially offset the impact of lower commodity prices in its Crop segment.

昆士蘭銀行表示,預計有機增長將部分抵消其作物板塊大宗商品價格下跌的影響。

QBE forecasts Crop gross written premium will come in around $US3.9 billion in FY 2024 (December 31).

昆士蘭銀行預測,到2024財年(12月31日),農作物的總承保保費將達到約39億美元。

On the claims front, the company had a net cost of catastrophe claims of approximately $US300 million in the four months to April. QBE's catastrophe allowance for the first half (to June 30) is $US609 million.

在索賠方面,在截至4月的四個月中,該公司的災難索賠淨成本約爲3億美元。昆士蘭銀行上半年(截至6月30日)的災難補貼爲6.09億美元。

Drivers for the $300 million figure were mostly driven by storm events, mostly in Australia and North America, with a small spillover of several events from 2023 including a big hailstorm in Italy.

3億美元這一數字的驅動因素主要是由風暴事件推動的,主要發生在澳大利亞和北美,自2023年以來,包括意大利的大冰雹在內的幾起事件都有少量溢出。

QBE has a full-year provision of $US1.280 billion for catastrophe claims, so it's used up just under a quarter of that figure.

昆士蘭銀行的全年災難索賠準備金爲12.8億美元,因此已用完該數字的四分之一。

QBE said its net return from its $US30 billion portfolio (its float) was $US406 million for the quarter compared with $US384 million for the first quarter of 2023. QBE's said its first-quarter exit core fixed income running yield of 4.7% was up from the 4.6% at the end of 2023.

昆士蘭銀行表示,其300億美元投資組合(浮動資產)的淨回報率爲4.06億美元,而2023年第一季度爲3.84億美元。昆士蘭銀行表示,其第一季度退出核心固定收益收益率爲4.7%,高於2023年底的4.6%。

Total investment funds under management (FUM) of $US30.3 billion were up $US200 million from the end of 2023 and up $US900 million from the end of the March 2023 quarter.

管理的投資基金(FUM)總額爲303億美元,比2023年底增加了2億美元,比2023年3月季度末增加了9億美元。

The company also noted that higher risk-free rates resulted in a $US130 million unrealized loss on its core fixed income securities. Although this was broadly offset by the company's claims liability discount benefit. "The final result was a neutral impact from QBE's asset-liability management activities for the quarter," the company said.

該公司還指出,較高的無風險利率導致其核心固定收益證券的未實現虧損爲1.3億美元。儘管這被該公司的索賠責任折扣福利廣泛抵消。該公司表示:“最終結果是昆士蘭銀行本季度資產負債管理活動的中性影響。”

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