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Is DHT Holdings (NYSE:DHT) A Risky Investment?

Is DHT Holdings (NYSE:DHT) A Risky Investment?

DHT Holdings(紐約證券交易所代碼:DHT)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 08:54

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that DHT Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DHT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,DHT Holdings, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:DHT)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is DHT Holdings's Net Debt?

DHT Holdings的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 DHT Holdings had US$428.7m of debt, an increase on US$396.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$74.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$354.0m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年12月,DHT Holdings在一年內有4.287億美元的債務,比3.967億美元有所增加。另一方面,它擁有7,470萬美元的現金,淨負債約爲3.54億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DHT Debt to Equity History May 10th 2024
紐約證券交易所:DHT 債務與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 5 月 10 日

How Strong Is DHT Holdings' Balance Sheet?

DHT Holdings的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DHT Holdings had liabilities of US$56.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$404.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$74.7m and US$75.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$310.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,DHT Holdings在12個月內到期的負債爲5,660萬美元,之後到期的負債爲4.04億美元。另一方面,它有7,470萬美元的現金和價值7,580萬美元的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出3.1億美元。

Given DHT Holdings has a market capitalization of US$1.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

鑑於DHT Holdings的市值爲19.5億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

While DHT Holdings's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.6 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Even more impressive was the fact that DHT Holdings grew its EBIT by 160% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DHT Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管DHT Holdings的低債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤比率爲1.2,這表明債務的使用量不大,但去年息稅前利潤僅涵蓋了6.6倍的利息支出,這一事實確實讓我們停頓了一下。但是,利息支付肯定足以讓我們考慮其債務的負擔能力。更令人印象深刻的是,DHT Holdings在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了160%。如果這種增長得以維持,將使未來幾年的債務更加易於管理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定DHT Holdings能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, DHT Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 90% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的兩年中,DHT Holdings記錄的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的90%,比我們通常預期的要強。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

DHT Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think DHT Holdings's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for DHT Holdings you should be aware of.

DHT Holdings將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,這表明它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。好消息不止於此,因爲其息稅前利潤增長率也支持這種印象!從大局來看,我們認爲DHT Holdings對債務的使用似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提高股本回報率。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的DHT Holdings的1個警告信號。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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