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Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 38% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 38% If They Invested Three Years Ago

恒力石化有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600346)如果投資者在三年前進行投資,他們將蒙受38%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 21:09

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600346) share price up 28% in a single quarter. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 42% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.

儘管對於某些股東來說,這可能還不夠,但我們認爲看到恒力石化公司是件好事。, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600346)的股價單季度上漲了28%。但這並不能掩蓋過去三年來不那麼令人印象深刻的回報。說實話,股價在三年內下跌了42%,親愛的讀者,這一回報沒有達到指數基金被動投資所能獲得的回報。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估的是,該公司的經濟狀況是否與這些令人難以置信的股東回報步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。所以我們就這麼做吧。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Hengli PetrochemicalLtd became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

恒力石化有限公司在過去五年中實現了盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。因此,鑑於股價下跌,還值得檢查其他一些指標。

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 8.3% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Hengli PetrochemicalLtd further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

我們注意到,在三年內,收入實際上以8.3%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。可能值得進一步調查恒力石化有限公司;雖然我們在分析中可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能有機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600346 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 10th 2024
SHSE: 600346 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 10 日

Hengli PetrochemicalLtd is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Hengli PetrochemicalLtd will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

恒力石化爲投資者所熟知,許多聰明的分析師都試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,看看分析師認爲恒力石化有限公司未來的收入很有意義(免費的分析師共識估計)

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -38%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,恒力石化股份有限公司過去3年的股東總回報率爲-38%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Hengli PetrochemicalLtd has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 4.6% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 7% per year, is even more impressive. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Hengli PetrochemicalLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

很高興看到恒力石化在過去十二個月中向股東提供了4.6%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。但是,五年內的股東總回報率爲每年7%,更加令人印象深刻。悲觀的看法是,該股已經過了最好的時機,但另一方面,在業務本身繼續執行的同時,價格可能只是在放緩。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——恒力石化有兩個警告信號(其中一個可能很嚴重),我們認爲你應該知道。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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