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Is Brookfield Business (NYSE:BBUC) A Risky Investment?

Is Brookfield Business (NYSE:BBUC) A Risky Investment?

布魯克菲爾德商業銀行(紐約證券交易所代碼:BBUC)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 10:14

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Brookfield Business Corporation (NYSE:BBUC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,布魯克菲爾德商業公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:BBUC)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Brookfield Business Carry?

布魯克菲爾德企業揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Brookfield Business had US$8.55b of debt in March 2024, down from US$13.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$784.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$7.76b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示布魯克菲爾德商業公司在2024年3月的債務爲85.5億美元,低於一年前的134億美元。另一方面,它擁有7.84億美元的現金,淨負債約爲77.6億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BBUC Debt to Equity History May 9th 2024
紐約證券交易所:BBUC 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 9 日

How Healthy Is Brookfield Business' Balance Sheet?

布魯克菲爾德商業的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Brookfield Business had liabilities of US$4.65b due within a year, and liabilities of US$11.7b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$784.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.69b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$13.9b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,布魯克菲爾德商業的負債爲46.5億美元,此後到期的負債爲117億美元。除這些債務外,它有7.84億美元的現金以及價值16.9億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額139億美元。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$1.58b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Brookfield Business would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

這筆赤字給這家價值15.8億美元的公司蒙上了陰影,就像一個聳立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。畢竟,如果布魯克菲爾德商業今天必須向債權人付款,則可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Weak interest cover of 0.66 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.8 hit our confidence in Brookfield Business like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a lighter note, we note that Brookfield Business grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Brookfield Business will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

0.66倍的薄弱利息覆蓋率和令人不安的高淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的6.8比率打擊了我們對布魯克菲爾德商業的信心,就像是一二的衝擊。這意味着我們會認爲它有沉重的債務負擔。簡而言之,我們注意到布魯克菲爾德商業公司的息稅前利潤在去年增長了25%。如果持續下去,這種增長應該使債務在異常炎熱的夏天像稀缺的飲用水一樣蒸發。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲布魯克菲爾德商業需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Brookfield Business burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查一下息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的三年中,布魯克菲爾德商業公司消耗了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Brookfield Business's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Brookfield Business has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Brookfield Business .

坦率地說,Brookfield Business將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其保持總負債水平的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,其息稅前利潤增長率是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。考慮到上述所有因素,布魯克菲爾德商業的債務似乎太多了。這種風險對某些人來說是可以的,但它肯定無法滿足我們的需求。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在《布魯克菲爾德商業報》上發現的1個警告信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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