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Here's Why We Think Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) Is Well Worth Watching

Here's Why We Think Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) Is Well Worth Watching

以下是我們認爲 Urban Outfitters(納斯達克股票代碼:URBN)值得關注的原因
Simply Wall St ·  05/08 14:58

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

對於初學者來說,收購一家向投資者講述好故事的公司似乎是個好主意(也是一個令人興奮的前景),即使該公司目前缺乏收入和利潤記錄。但是正如彼得·林奇所說 One Up On Wall 街,“遠射幾乎永遠不會得到回報。”虧損的公司尚未用利潤證明自己,最終外部資本的流入可能會枯竭。

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Urban Outfitters with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

因此,如果這種高風險和高回報的想法不適合,那麼你可能會對盈利、成長中的公司更感興趣,例如Urban Outfitters(納斯達克股票代碼:URBN)。即使市場對這家公司進行了合理的估值,投資者也會同意,創造穩定的利潤將繼續爲Urban Outfitters提供爲股東增加長期價值的手段。

Urban Outfitters' Improving Profits

城市服裝商的利潤改善

Urban Outfitters has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. As a result, we'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. Impressively, Urban Outfitters' EPS catapulted from US$1.71 to US$3.08, over the last year. It's a rarity to see 80% year-on-year growth like that.

在過去三年中,Urban Outfitters的每股收益大幅增長。如此之多,以至於這種三年的增長率並不是對公司未來的公平評估。因此,我們將改爲放大去年的增長。令人印象深刻的是,去年,Urban Outfitters的每股收益從1.71美元躍升至3.08美元。像這樣同比增長80%的情況很少見。

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. The music to the ears of Urban Outfitters shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 4.9% to 7.5% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in our book.

仔細考慮收入增長和息稅前收益(EBIT)利潤率有助於爲近期利潤增長的可持續性提供信息。令Urban Outfitters股東聽到的消息是,在過去的12個月中,息稅前利潤率從4.9%增長到7.5%,收入也呈上升趨勢。在我們的書中,勾選這兩個方框是增長的好兆頭。

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

在下圖中,您可以看到公司如何隨着時間的推移實現收益和收入的增長。要查看實際數字,請單擊圖表。

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:URBN Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2024
NASDAQGS: URBN 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 8 日

Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Urban Outfitters.

當然,訣竅是找到未來表現最好的股票,而不是過去的股票。當然,你可以根據過去的表現來看待你的看法,但你可能還需要查看這張專業分析師對Urban Outfitters每股收益預測的互動圖表。

Are Urban Outfitters Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Urban Outfitters 內部人士是否與所有股東保持一致?

It should give investors a sense of security owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, creating a close alignment their interests. So it is good to see that Urban Outfitters insiders have a significant amount of capital invested in the stock. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$1.1b. That equates to 28% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. So there is opportunity here to invest in a company whose management have tangible incentives to deliver.

如果內部人士也擁有股份,這應該會給投資者一種擁有公司股份的安全感,從而使他們的利益緊密一致。因此,很高興看到Urban Outfitters內部人士將大量資本投資於該股。值得注意的是,他們擁有該公司令人羨慕的股份,價值11億美元。這相當於公司28%的股份,使內部人士變得強大並與其他股東保持一致。因此,這裏有機會投資一家管理層有切實激勵實現目標的公司。

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but shareholders may be wondering if remuneration policies are in their best interest. Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to Urban Outfitters, with market caps between US$2.0b and US$6.4b, is around US$6.7m.

看到內部人士投資該業務意義重大,但股東們可能想知道薪酬政策是否符合他們的最大利益。我們對首席執行官薪酬的快速分析似乎表明確實如此。規模與Urban Outfitters相似的公司的首席執行官的總薪酬中位數約爲670萬美元,市值在20億美元至64億美元之間。

The CEO of Urban Outfitters only received US$1.0m in total compensation for the year ending January 2024. That's clearly well below average, so at a glance that arrangement seems generous to shareholders and points to a modest remuneration culture. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

截至2024年1月的財年,Urban Outfitters首席執行官僅獲得了100萬美元的總薪酬。這顯然遠低於平均水平,因此乍一看,這種安排對股東來說似乎很慷慨,也表明薪酬文化適度。首席執行官薪酬水平並不是投資者最重要的指標,但是當薪酬適度時,這確實支持加強首席執行官與普通股東之間的協調。通常,可以說合理的薪酬水平證明了良好的決策。

Should You Add Urban Outfitters To Your Watchlist?

您是否應該將 Urban Outfitters 添加到您的關注列表中?

Urban Outfitters' earnings per share have been soaring, with growth rates sky high. The sweetener is that insiders have a mountain of stock, and the CEO remuneration is quite reasonable. The strong EPS improvement suggests the businesses is humming along. Big growth can make big winners, so the writing on the wall tells us that Urban Outfitters is worth considering carefully. It is worth noting though that we have found 1 warning sign for Urban Outfitters that you need to take into consideration.

Urban Outfitters的每股收益一直在飆升,增長率居高不下。甜言蜜語是內部人士擁有大量股票,首席執行官的薪酬相當合理。每股收益的強勁改善表明企業正在蓬勃發展。大幅增長可以造就大贏家,因此牆上的文字告訴我們,Urban Outfitters值得仔細考慮。但值得注意的是,我們已經爲Urban Outfitters找到了一個需要考慮的警告信號。

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of companies which have demonstrated growth backed by recent insider purchases.

買入這樣的股票總是有可能表現不錯 不是 不斷增長的收入和 不要 讓內部人士購買股票。但是,對於那些考慮這些重要指標的人,我們鼓勵您查看具有這些功能的公司。您可以訪問量身定製的公司名單,這些公司在近期內幕收購的支持下實現了增長。

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

請注意,本文中討論的內幕交易是指相關司法管轄區內應報告的交易。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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