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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Huajin International Holdings' (HKG:2738) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Huajin International Holdings' (HKG:2738) Earnings

投資者不應該對華金國際控股(HKG: 2738)的收益過於滿意
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 01:53

Huajin International Holdings Limited (HKG:2738) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

華津國際控股有限公司(HKG: 2738)宣佈盈利強勁,但該股停滯不前。我們的分析表明,股東們注意到了一些令人擔憂的數字。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2738 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SEHK: 2738 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

Examining Cashflow Against Huajin International Holdings' Earnings

根據華金國際控股的收益研究現金流

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

For the year to December 2023, Huajin International Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.42. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥895m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥85.7m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥895m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2023年12月的一年中,華津國際控股的應計比率爲0.42。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲8.95億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲8,570萬元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年8.95億元的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Huajin International Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對華津國際控股的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Huajin International Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對華金國際控股盈利表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Huajin International Holdings didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Huajin International Holdings' underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Huajin International Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Huajin International Holdings (3 are a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我們已經明確指出的那樣,我們有點擔心華金國際控股沒有用自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。因此,我們認爲華金國際控股的基礎盈利能力很可能低於其法定利潤。好的一面是,該公司在去年虧損之後,表現出了足夠的改善,今年實現了盈利。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解華津國際控股,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了華津國際控股的4個警告信號(3個有點令人擔憂!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Huajin International Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本報告僅研究了揭示華金國際控股利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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