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Would Changzhou Nrb (SZSE:002708) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Would Changzhou Nrb (SZSE:002708) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

如果債務減少,常州農行(深交所股票交易所:002708)的生活會更好嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/05 21:12

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Changzhou Nrb Corporation (SZSE:002708) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,常州光洋股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002708)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Changzhou Nrb's Debt?

什麼是常州國民銀行的債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Changzhou Nrb had CN¥660.1m of debt, up from CN¥549.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥569.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥90.4m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,常州國民銀行的債務爲6.601億元人民幣,高於去年同期的5.494億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它確實有5.698億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲9,040萬元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002708 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2024
SZSE: 002708 債券與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Look At Changzhou Nrb's Liabilities

看看常州國民銀行的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Changzhou Nrb had liabilities of CN¥1.43b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥131.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥569.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥848.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥142.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,常州國家儲備銀行在12個月內到期的負債爲14.3億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲1.314億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有5.698億元的現金以及價值8.489億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出1.425億元人民幣。

Of course, Changzhou Nrb has a market capitalization of CN¥5.45b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Changzhou Nrb will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,常州光大銀行的市值爲545億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲常州國民銀行需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Changzhou Nrb wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 37%, to CN¥2.0b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,常州光洋銀行在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但其收入增長了37%,達到20億元人民幣。運氣好的話,該公司將能夠實現盈利。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Changzhou Nrb's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥35m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥108m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Changzhou Nrb (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管我們當然可以理解常州光洋銀行的收入增長,但其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損並不理想。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了3500萬元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。但是,去年它消耗了1.08億加元的現金,這無濟於事。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了常州Nrb的 3 個警告標誌(1 個很重要!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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