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1st Source (NASDAQ:SRCE) Shareholders Notch a 24% Return Over 1 Year, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

1st Source (NASDAQ:SRCE) Shareholders Notch a 24% Return Over 1 Year, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

第一來源(納斯達克股票代碼:SRCE)股東在1年內實現了24%的回報,但收益一直在萎縮
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 08:30

We believe investing is smart because history shows that stock markets go higher in the long term. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. Over the last year the 1st Source Corporation (NASDAQ:SRCE) share price is up 21%, but that's less than the broader market return. Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 5.0% in three years.

我們認爲投資是明智之舉,因爲歷史表明,從長遠來看,股市會走高。但是,如果你選擇買入股票,其中一些股票的表現將低於平均水平。去年,第一資源公司(納斯達克股票代碼:SRCE)的股價上漲了21%,但低於整個市場的回報率。話雖如此,長期回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,股票在三年內僅上漲了5.0%。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在過去一週強勁上漲之後,值得一看的是長期回報是否是由基本面改善推動的。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Over the last twelve months, 1st Source actually shrank its EPS by 0.5%.

在過去的十二個月中,1st Source實際上將其每股收益縮減了0.5%。

Sometimes companies will sacrifice EPS in the short term for longer term gains; and in that case we may be able to find other positives. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

有時,公司會在短期內犧牲每股收益以獲得長期收益;在這種情況下,我們也許能夠找到其他積極的方面。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得研究其他指標。

Revenue was pretty stable on last year, so deeper research might be needed to explain the share price rise.

收入與去年相比相當穩定,因此可能需要進行更深入的研究來解釋股價上漲。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:SRCE Earnings and Revenue Growth May 4th 2024
納斯達克GS:SRCE 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 4 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, 1st Source's TSR for the last 1 year was 24%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,1st Source在過去1年的股東總回報率爲24%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

1st Source's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 24%. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 4% per year. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with 1st Source .

1st Source今年的股東總回報率與市場平均水平基本持平,爲24%。這種增長看起來相當令人滿意,甚至比每年4%的五年期股東總回報率還要好。即使股價放緩,管理層的遠見也有可能爲未來帶來增長。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該注意我們在第一來源中發現的 1 個警告標誌。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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