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Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's (SHSE:688210) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's (SHSE:688210) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

深圳太平洋聯合精密製造(SHSE: 688210)的股東需要擔心的不僅僅是軟收益
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 19:16

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688210) the stock price made a strong positive move. Our analysis suggests that there are some positive factors lying below the troubling profit numbers which investors are finding comfort in.

在深圳太平洋聯合精密製造有限公司(SHSE: 688210)發佈乏善可陳的業績後,股價出現了強勁的積極走勢。我們的分析表明,在令人不安的利潤數字之下還有一些積極因素,投資者對此感到安慰。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688210 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 688210 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Zooming In On Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's Earnings

放大深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。儘管應計比率爲正並不成問題,表示非現金利潤達到一定水平,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明票面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計收入較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing recorded an accrual ratio of 0.25. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥76.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥134m in the last year. We also note that Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥134m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的應計比率爲0.25。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。儘管該公司公佈了7,640萬加元的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了1.34億元人民幣。我們還注意到,去年深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的自由現金流實際上也爲負數,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其1.34億元的流出所困擾。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥21m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的利潤因不尋常的項目而受到影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了2100萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計深圳太平洋聯合精密製造明年將實現更高的利潤。

Our Take On Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's Profit Performance

我們對深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing.

總之,深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的應計比率表明,儘管不尋常的項目打壓了利潤,但其法定收益沒有現金流支持。基於這些因素,很難判斷深圳太平洋聯合精密製造的利潤是否合理地反映了其潛在的盈利能力。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。例如,我們發現了兩個警告信號,爲了更好地了解深圳太平洋聯合精密製造,你應該仔細檢查一下。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲企業的指南。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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