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Why Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's (SHSE:600864) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Why Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's (SHSE:600864) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

爲什麼哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600864)的收益比看起來要好
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 18:30

Investors signalled that they were pleased with Harbin Hatou Investment Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600864) most recent earnings report. Looking deeper at the numbers, we found several encouraging factors beyond the headline profit numbers.

投資者表示,他們對哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司感到滿意。,Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600864)的最新收益報告。深入研究這些數字,除了總體利潤數字外,我們還發現了幾個令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600864 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 600864 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Zooming In On Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's Earnings

放大哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在該時期內的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.42 for the year to March 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥3.2b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥156.1m. Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2024年3月的一年中,哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的應計比率爲-0.42。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲32億元人民幣,遠遠超過其1.561億元人民幣的法定利潤。毫無疑問,哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的股東對自由現金流在過去十二個月中有所改善感到高興。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的資產負債表分析

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥176m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to March 2024, Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

在過去的十二個月中,哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的利潤因價值1.76億元人民幣的不尋常項目而減少,這幫助其產生了較高的現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。在這些不尋常的項目包括非現金費用的情況下,我們預計會看到強勁的應計比率,而這正是本案中發生的情況。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司出現了巨額不尋常的項目支出。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤看起來比其基本盈利能力差。

Our Take On Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's Profit Performance

我們對哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, both Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! If you'd like to know more about Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

總之,哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的應計比率及其不尋常的項目都表明其法定收益可能相當保守。基於這些因素,我們認爲哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的潛在盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!如果您想進一步了解哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。例如,哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司有兩個警告標誌(還有一個讓我們有點不舒服),我們認爲你應該知道。

After our examination into the nature of Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在我們研究了哈爾濱哈投投資有限公司的利潤性質之後,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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