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We Think CDW (NASDAQ:CDW) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think CDW (NASDAQ:CDW) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲CDW(納斯達克股票代碼:CDW)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 08:59

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, CDW Corporation (NASDAQ:CDW) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,CDW公司(納斯達克股票代碼:CDW)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,這也是爲了自己的利益。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起看。

What Is CDW's Debt?

什麼是CDW的債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CDW had US$6.02b of debt in March 2024, down from US$6.33b, one year before. However, it also had US$803.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$5.21b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示CDW在2024年3月有60.2億美元的債務,低於一年前的63.3億美元。但是,它也有8.038億美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲52.1億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CDW Debt to Equity History May 3rd 2024
NASDAQGS: CDW 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 3 日

A Look At CDW's Liabilities

看看 CDW 的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CDW had liabilities of US$5.26b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.79b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$803.8m in cash and US$4.89b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.36b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看出,CDW在12個月內到期的負債爲52.6億美元,之後到期的負債爲57.9億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有8.038億美元的現金和48.9億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出53.6億美元。

Since publicly traded CDW shares are worth a very impressive total of US$28.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於公開交易的CDW股票總價值驚人,達到288億美元,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

CDW has net debt to EBITDA of 2.6 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.9 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.6. Importantly CDW's EBIT was essentially flat over the last twelve months. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CDW's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

CDW的淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例爲2.6,這表明它使用了相當多的槓桿率來提高回報。從好的方面來看,其息稅前利潤是利息支出的7.9倍,其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例相當高,爲2.6倍。重要的是,在過去的十二個月中,CDW的息稅前利潤基本持平。理想情況下,它可以通過啓動收益增長來減少債務負擔。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定CDW未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CDW recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,CDW記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的68%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

CDW's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that CDW can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for CDW you should be aware of.

CDW將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,這表明它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。但說實話,我們認爲其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例確實稍微削弱了這種印象。考慮到所有這些因素,CDW似乎可以輕鬆應對其當前的債務水平。從好的方面來看,這種槓桿作用可以提高股東的回報,但潛在的缺點是損失風險更大,因此值得關注資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了一個你應該注意的CDW警告信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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