share_log

LH Group's (HKG:1978) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye

LH Group's (HKG:1978) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye

LH 集團(HKG: 1978)的收益報價遠不止眼前所見
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 21:00

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from LH Group Limited (HKG:1978) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

儘管數據良好,但LH集團有限公司(HKG: 1978)上週公佈的業績似乎令市場不知所措。我們進行了一些挖掘,我們認爲投資者在基礎數據中遺漏了一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1978 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SEHK: 1978 年收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 3 日

A Closer Look At LH Group's Earnings

仔細看看 LH 集團的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司有多少利潤沒有自由現金流支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, LH Group recorded an accrual ratio of -2.56. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$232m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$88.1m. LH Group shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,LH集團的應計比率爲-2.56。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲2.32億港元,遠遠超過其8,810萬港元的法定利潤。毫無疑問,LH集團股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of LH Group.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對LH集團的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

LH Group's profit was reduced by unusual items worth HK$12m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect LH Group to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

在過去的十二個月中,價值1200萬港元的不尋常項目減少了LH集團的利潤,這有助於其實現高現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。這就是你所期望看到的公司的非現金費用會減少紙面利潤的情況。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,我們預計LH集團在其他條件相同的情況下,明年將實現更高的利潤。

Our Take On LH Group's Profit Performance

我們對LH集團利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, both LH Group's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think LH Group's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example - LH Group has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

總之,LH集團的應計比率及其不尋常的項目都表明其法定收益可能相當保守。基於這些因素,我們認爲LH Group的潛在盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。例如-LH 集團有 2 個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

Our examination of LH Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對LH集團的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且它已經以優異的成績過去了。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論