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Why Zhongwang FabricLtd's (SHSE:605003) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Why Zhongwang FabricLtd's (SHSE:605003) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

爲什麼忠旺面料有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:605003)的收益比看起來要弱
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:53

Despite posting strong earnings, Zhongwang Fabric Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:605003) stock didn't move much over the last week. We think that investors might be worried about the foundations the earnings are built on.

儘管公佈了強勁的收益,但忠旺面料有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海證券交易所代碼:605003)的股票在上週沒有太大波動。我們認爲,投資者可能會擔心收益的基礎。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:605003 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 605003 2024 年 5 月 2 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Zooming In On Zhongwang FabricLtd's Earnings

放大忠旺面料有限公司的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Zhongwang FabricLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.50 for the year to March 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥31m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥320.0m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥31m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

忠旺面料有限公司截至2024年3月的一年度的應計比率爲0.50。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲3100萬元人民幣,而上述利潤爲3.2億元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年3100萬元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Zhongwang FabricLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥292m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Zhongwang FabricLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考慮到應計比率,在過去十二個月中,價值2.92億元人民幣的不尋常物品提振了忠旺面料有限公司的利潤也就不足爲奇了。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。截至2024年3月,忠旺面料有限公司從不尋常的項目中獲得了相當大的利潤。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯高於原來的水平。

Our Take On Zhongwang FabricLtd's Profit Performance

我們對忠旺面料有限公司盈利表現的看法

Zhongwang FabricLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Zhongwang FabricLtd's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you'd like to know more about Zhongwang FabricLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Zhongwang FabricLtd has 3 warning signs (2 are potentially serious!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

忠旺面料有限公司的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實得到了不尋常項目的提振。出於上述所有原因,我們認爲,乍一看,忠旺面料有限公司的法定利潤可以被認爲是低質量的,因爲它們可能會給投資者帶來過於積極的公司印象。如果您想進一步了解忠旺面料有限公司作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。例如,我們發現忠旺面料有限公司有 3 個警告信號(2 個可能很嚴重!)在進行進一步分析之前,這值得你注意。

Our examination of Zhongwang FabricLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對忠旺面料有限公司的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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