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Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (SHSE:601799) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (SHSE:601799) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司(SHSE: 601799)的強勁利潤可能掩蓋了一些潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:11

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting Systems Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601799) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海證券交易所代碼:601799)健康的利潤數字並沒有讓投資者感到意外。我們認爲這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外並關注他們所看到的情況。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601799 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 601799 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 2 日

Examining Cashflow Against Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's Earnings

根據常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司的收益檢查現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

For the year to March 2024, Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥209m despite its profit of CN¥1.14b, mentioned above. We also note that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥209m.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司的應計比率爲0.24。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲11.4億元人民幣,但流出量仍爲2.09億元人民幣,如上所述。我們還注意到,常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其2.09億元人民幣的流出所困擾。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's Profit Performance

我們對常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司盈利表現的看法

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 31% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,從我們對其收益的看法來看,這是負數。正因爲如此,我們認爲可能是常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司的法定利潤要好於其基礎盈利能力。好消息是,其每股收益在去年增長了31%。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。例如,我們已經確定了你應該熟悉的常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司的兩個警告標誌(其中一個有點令人擔憂)。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本報告僅研究了揭示常州星宇汽車照明系統有限公司利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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