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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With China Transinfo Technology's (SZSE:002373) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With China Transinfo Technology's (SZSE:002373) Earnings

投資者不應該對中國千方科技(深圳證券交易所:002373)的收益過於滿意
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 18:44

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002373) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

儘管公佈了一些強勁的收益,但中國千方科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002373)的股票市場並沒有太大變化。我們進行了一些挖掘,在細節中發現了一些相關的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002373 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SZSE: 002373 2024 年 5 月 1 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Importantly, our data indicates that China Transinfo Technology's profit was reduced by CN¥15m, due to unusual items, over the last year. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If China Transinfo Technology doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

重要的是,我們的數據表明,由於不尋常的項目,中國千方科技的利潤比去年減少了1500萬元人民幣。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。如果中國千方科技不看到這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在來年增加。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

Just as we noted the unusual items, we must inform you that China Transinfo Technology received a tax benefit which contributed CN¥94m to the bottom line. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

正如我們注意到這些不尋常的項目一樣,我們必須通知您,中國千方科技獲得了稅收優惠,爲利潤貢獻了9400萬元人民幣。這當然有點不尋常,因爲公司納稅比獲得稅收優惠更爲普遍!獲得稅收優惠本身顯然是一件好事。而且,鑑於它去年虧損,這種好處似乎有可能證明它現在有望從過去的稅收損失中找到價值。但是,細節上的問題在於,此類福利僅在預訂當年有影響,而且本質上通常是一次性的。如果稅收優惠可能不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。因此,儘管我們認爲獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤誇大了企業可持續盈利能力的風險增加。

Our Take On China Transinfo Technology's Profit Performance

我們對中國千方科技盈利表現的看法

In the last year China Transinfo Technology received a tax benefit, which boosted its profit in a way that might not be much more sustainable than turning prime farmland into gas fields. But on the other hand, it also saw an unusual item depress its profit. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that China Transinfo Technology's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. Ultimately, this article has formed an opinion based on historical data. However, it can also be great to think about what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

去年,中國千方科技獲得了一項稅收優惠,這增加了其利潤,其可持續性可能不會比將優質農田變成氣田更具可持續性。但另一方面,它也看到一件不尋常的物品抑制了其利潤。基於這些因素,我們認爲中國千方科技的法定利潤使其看起來比現在疲軟得多的可能性很小。最終,本文根據歷史數據形成了觀點。但是,考慮分析師對未來的預測也可能很好。幸運的是,您可以點擊此處查看分析師的預測。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以告知你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這批擁有高股本回報率的免費公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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