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Jiangsu Huachen Transformer (SHSE:603097) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Jiangsu Huachen Transformer (SHSE:603097) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

江蘇華晨變壓器(SHSE: 603097)公佈了可觀的收益,但還有其他一些因素需要注意
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 18:28

Unsurprisingly, Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603097) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,江蘇華晨變壓器有限公司's(上海證券交易所代碼:603097)的股價因其健康的收益報告而表現強勁。但是,我們認爲股東們可能遺漏了一些與數字相關的細節。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603097 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SHSE: 603097 2024 年 5 月 1 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's Earnings

仔細看看江蘇華晨變壓器的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has an accrual ratio of 0.35 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥202m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥132.0m. We also note that Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥202m.

截至2024年3月的一年中,江蘇華晨變壓器的應計比率爲0.35。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對該利潤數字到底有多有用的質疑。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲2.02億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲1.320億元人民幣。我們還注意到,去年,江蘇華晨變壓器的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其2.02億元人民幣的流出所困擾。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇華晨變壓器盈利表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Jiangsu Huachen Transformer didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 21% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jiangsu Huachen Transformer (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

正如我們已經明確指出的那樣,我們有點擔心江蘇華晨變壓器沒有用自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。出於這個原因,我們認爲江蘇華晨變壓器的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,可能會給投資者留下過於積極的印象。但是,至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長21%中得到一些安慰。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。爲此,你應該了解我們在江蘇華晨變壓器身上發現的兩個警告標誌(包括一個讓我們有點不舒服的警示標誌)。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只研究了揭示江蘇華晨變壓器利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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