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Sichuan Furong Technology's (SHSE:603327) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

Sichuan Furong Technology's (SHSE:603327) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

四川芙蓉科技(上海證券交易所代碼:603327)的疲軟收益可能只能揭示整體情況的一部分
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 18:30

Sichuan Furong Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603327) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.

四川芙蓉科技有限公司's(上海證券交易所代碼:603327)的股票表現強勁,投資者並未被其疲軟的收益報告所嚇倒。儘管股東可能願意忽視疲軟的利潤數字,但我們認爲他們還應考慮其他一些可能令人擔憂的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603327 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SHSE: 603327 2024 年 5 月 1 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Sichuan Furong Technology's Earnings

仔細看看四川芙蓉科技的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在該時期內的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往會降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Sichuan Furong Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥278.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥236m in the last year. It's worth noting that Sichuan Furong Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥188m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,四川芙蓉科技的應計比率爲0.27。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。儘管該公司公佈了2.784億加元的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了2.36億元人民幣。值得注意的是,四川芙蓉科技一年前創造了1.88億元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Sichuan Furong Technology's Profit Performance

我們對四川芙蓉科技盈利表現的看法

Sichuan Furong Technology's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Sichuan Furong Technology's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Sichuan Furong Technology has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

四川芙蓉科技過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,從我們對收益的看法來看,這是負數。因此,在我們看來,四川芙蓉科技的真正潛在盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。不幸的是,在過去的十二個月中,其每股收益有所下降。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。例如,四川芙蓉科技有3個警告標誌(其中2個不容忽視),我們認爲你應該知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sichuan Furong Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這份報告只研究了揭示四川芙蓉科技利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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