To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600647) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may still consider Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
SHSE:600647 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024
How Has Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital Performed Recently?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has also set the world alight, thanks to the last 12 months of incredible growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.0% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital's P/S
Even after such a strong price drop, Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Tongda Venture Capital you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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