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Iridium Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:IRDM) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 30 07:23

When close to half the companies in the Telecom industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Iridium Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:IRDM) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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NasdaqGS:IRDM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024

What Does Iridium Communications' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Iridium Communications has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Iridium Communications will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Iridium Communications' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Iridium Communications' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.1% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 35% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.9% per year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 1.4% per year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it interesting that Iridium Communications is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Analysts are forecasting Iridium Communications' revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

Having said that, be aware Iridium Communications is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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