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Is Pure Storage (NYSE:PSTG) A Risky Investment?

Is Pure Storage (NYSE:PSTG) A Risky Investment?

純存儲(紐約證券交易所代碼:PSTG)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 06:45

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Pure Storage, Inc. (NYSE:PSTG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,Pure Storage, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:PSTG)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Pure Storage's Debt?

什麼是 Pure Storage 的債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pure Storage had debt of US$100.0m at the end of February 2024, a reduction from US$574.5m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.53b in cash, so it actually has US$1.43b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖片顯示,截至2024年2月底,Pure Storage的債務爲1.00億美元,較上一年的5.745億美元有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有15.3億美元的現金,因此實際上擁有14.3億美元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:PSTG Debt to Equity History April 30th 2024
紐約證券交易所:PSTG 債務與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 30 日

How Strong Is Pure Storage's Balance Sheet?

Pure Storage 的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pure Storage had liabilities of US$1.37b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.02b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.53b and US$662.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$192.4m.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Pure Storage的負債爲13.7億美元,一年後到期的負債爲10.2億美元。另一方面,它有15.3億美元的現金和價值6.622億美元的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額1.924億美元。

This state of affairs indicates that Pure Storage's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the US$17.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Pure Storage also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

這種狀況表明,Pure Storage的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這家價值172億美元的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但Pure Storage的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

The good news is that Pure Storage has increased its EBIT by 4.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pure Storage can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

好消息是,Pure Storage在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了4.9%,這應該可以緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Pure Storage能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Pure Storage may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, Pure Storage actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。Pure Storage的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的兩年中,Pure Storage產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

We could understand if investors are concerned about Pure Storage's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$1.43b. The cherry on top was that in converted 641% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$483m. So is Pure Storage's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Pure Storage has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

我們可以理解投資者是否擔心Pure Storage的負債,但我們可以放心,它的淨現金爲14.3億美元。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的641%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了4.83億美元的收入。那麼 Pure Storage 的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,Pure Storage 有 3 個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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