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Bitcoin ETFs Are 'Some Of The Best Launches In History,' Says Analyst, But Ethereum ETF Unlikely Before 2025

Bitcoin ETFs Are 'Some Of The Best Launches In History,' Says Analyst, But Ethereum ETF Unlikely Before 2025

分析師表示,比特幣ETF是 “歷史上最好的發行之一”,但以太坊ETF不太可能在2025年之前推出
Benzinga ·  04/30 06:55

James Seyffart, a prominent ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, shared his insights on the current state of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) ETFs, providing context on the recent slowdown in inflows.

彭博情報的著名ETF分析師詹姆斯·塞法特分享了他對比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)和以太坊(加密貨幣:ETH)ETF現狀的見解,提供了近期資金流入放緩的背景信息。

What Happened: In a recent podcast, Seyffart highlighted the success of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have taken in $12-13 billion since their launch on Jan. 11. "Bunch of these ETFs are some of the best launches in history," he noted, with BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT) arguably "the best launch in history."

發生了什麼:在最近的播客中,塞法特重點介紹了現貨比特幣ETF的成功,自1月11日推出以來,現貨比特幣ETF的收入已達到120億至130億美元。他指出:“這些ETF中有許多是歷史上最好的發行量之一,” 貝萊德的iShares比特幣信託基金(納斯達克股票代碼:IBIT)可以說是 “歷史上最好的發行量”。

However, Seyffart also pointed out that inflows have started to stagnate. IBIT experienced its first day without an inflow after a record-breaking 72-day streak. He emphasized that this is normal for ETFs and that "crypto Twitter is kind of in this bubble where they think it should be inflows every single day, and that is not going to be the case."

但是,塞法特還指出,資金流入已開始停滯。在創下創紀錄的72天之後,IBIT經歷了第一天沒有資金流入。他強調說,這對於ETF來說是正常的,“加密Twitter處於這種泡沫之中,他們認爲應該每天都有資金流入,但事實並非如此。”

When asked about the potential impact of retirement accounts and institutional investors on Bitcoin ETFs, Seyffart explained that while some independent advisor shops and retail investors have bought in, larger platforms and advisor networks are still going through due diligence processes.

當被問及退休賬戶和機構投資者對比特幣ETF的潛在影響時,塞法特解釋說,儘管一些獨立顧問商店和散戶投資者已經買入,但較大的平台和顧問網絡仍在進行盡職調查程序。

"Usually, you'd say at least three months, likely even six months for that to happen," he added.

他補充說:“通常,你會說至少三個月,甚至可能六個月才能做到這一點。”

Regarding the possibility of an Ethereum ETF by the end of the year, Seyffart expressed skepticism, stating that 2025 is more likely. He believes that the SEC will likely "kick the can down the road" and that decisions may be influenced by the upcoming election in November.

關於在年底之前推出以太坊ETF的可能性,塞法特表示懷疑,稱2025年更有可能。他認爲,美國證券交易委員會很可能 “大放異彩”,決定可能會受到即將於11月舉行的選舉的影響。

Seyffart also touched on the upcoming Hong Kong ETFs, which will offer both Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs with in-kind creation and redemption. While he believes this could be huge in the long term, he cautioned against overhyping their immediate impact due to the relatively small size of the Hong Kong market compared to the US.

Seyffart還談到了即將推出的香港ETF,它將爲比特幣和以太坊現貨ETF提供實物創建和兌換。儘管他認爲從長遠來看這可能是巨大的,但他提醒不要過度炒作其直接影響,因爲與美國相比,香港市場的規模相對較小。

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Read Also: 'Bitcoin Is In Correction Mode,' But That's 'Necessary For The Chart To Look Good,' Crypto Trader Reassures

另請閱讀:加密交易員保證,“比特幣處於修正模式”,但這是 “圖表看起來不錯的必要條件”

Why It Matters: Seyffart's comments come amid price consolidation for Bitcoin and growing concerns about the risks associated with spot Bitcoin ETFs.

爲何重要:塞法特的評論是在比特幣價格盤整以及對現貨比特幣ETF相關風險的擔憂日益增加之際發表的。

Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, pointed out that ETFs are primarily held by "paper-handed small-time traders" rather than institutional investors. He warned that if the price of Bitcoin drops below the average purchase price of around $58,000, it could trigger significant selling pressure from these "paper hands" investors.

Bianco Research的創始人吉姆·比安科指出,ETF主要由 “紙面小額交易者” 持有,而不是機構投資者。他警告說,如果比特幣的價格跌破約58,000美元的平均購買價格,則可能會引發這些 “紙手” 投資者的巨大拋售壓力。

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas pushed back against Bianco's thesis, arguing that it's too early to draw definitive conclusions about the long-term prospects of these ETFs.

彭博ETF分析師埃裏克·巴爾丘納斯反對比安科的論點,認爲現在就這些ETF的長期前景得出明確的結論還爲時過早。

What's Next: These topics are expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.

下一步是什麼:Benzinga即將於11月19日舉行的數字資產未來活動預計將對這些話題進行深入探討。

This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

該內容部分是在人工智能工具的幫助下製作的,並由Benzinga編輯審查和發佈。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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