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Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases (SZSE:002549) A Risky Investment?

Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases (SZSE:002549) A Risky Investment?

湖南凱美特氣體(深圳證券交易所:002549)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 22:28

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hunan Kaimeite Gases Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002549) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,湖南凱美特氣體有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002549)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Hunan Kaimeite Gases Carry?

湖南凱美特氣體揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hunan Kaimeite Gases had CN¥867.2m of debt, up from CN¥811.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.70b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥830.2m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,湖南凱美特氣體的債務爲8.672億元人民幣,高於去年同期的8.117億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,它確實有17.0億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲8.302億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002549 Debt to Equity History April 30th 2024
SZSE: 002549 2024 年 4 月 30 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases' Balance Sheet?

湖南凱美特燃氣的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hunan Kaimeite Gases had liabilities of CN¥991.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥166.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.70b in cash and CN¥81.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥620.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,湖南凱美特氣體的負債爲9.916億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲1.668億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有17.0億元的現金和8,120萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出6.202億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Hunan Kaimeite Gases has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Hunan Kaimeite Gases boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hunan Kaimeite Gases can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種盈餘表明湖南凱美特氣體的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,湖南凱美特氣體擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定湖南凱美特氣體能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Hunan Kaimeite Gases made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥575m, which is a fall of 27%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在過去的12個月中,湖南凱美特氣體的息稅前利潤水平出現虧損,收入降至5.75億元人民幣,下降27%。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

So How Risky Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases?

那麼湖南凱美特氣體的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Hunan Kaimeite Gases lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥110m of cash and made a loss of CN¥92m. Given it only has net cash of CN¥830.2m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hunan Kaimeite Gases that you should be aware of.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,湖南凱美特氣體的息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒燬了1.1億加元的現金,損失了9.2億元人民幣。鑑於其淨現金僅爲8.302億元人民幣,如果不能很快達到收支平衡,該公司可能需要籌集更多資金。儘管其資產負債表看起來足夠流動,但如果一家公司不定期產生自由現金流,債務總是會讓我們有點緊張。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了湖南凱美特氣體的1個警告信號,你應該注意這一點。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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