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BMO Survey: 72% of Aspiring Homeowners Are Waiting for Rate Cuts Before Buying

BMO Survey: 72% of Aspiring Homeowners Are Waiting for Rate Cuts Before Buying

BMO調查:72%的有抱負的房主在購買前等待降息
蒙特利爾銀行 ·  04/29 00:00
  • 13% of aspiring homeowners plan on purchasing a home in 2024. 26% plan on doing so in 2025 or later.
  • 62% believe owning a home is still one of life's biggest aspirations, but 56% of aspiring homeowners feel owning a home is unattainable.
  • 13%的有抱負的房主計劃在2024年購買房屋。26%的有抱負的房主計劃在2025年或之後購買房屋。
  • 62%的人認爲擁有房屋仍然是人生最大的願望之一,但有56%的有抱負的房主認爲擁有房屋是無法實現的。

TORONTO, April 29, 2024 The BMO Real Financial Progress Index reveals the majority (72%) of aspiring homeowners are waiting until interest rates drop before purchasing a home – a 4% increase from 2023 – amid rising concerns about the cost of living (58%), inflation (56%) and their overall financial situation (38%), over the past three months.

多倫多,2024 年 4 月 29 日 BMO 實際財務進步指數 透露,在過去三個月中,由於人們對生活成本(58%)、通貨膨脹(56%)及其整體財務狀況(38%)的擔憂日益增加,大多數(72%)有抱負的房主正等到利率下降後再購買房屋——比2023年增長4%。

According to BMO Economics, homebuyers may need to wait longer for affordability relief. The Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged in April, but left the possibility open for a rate cut by June or July 2024.

根據 BMO 經濟學,購房者可能需要等待更長的時間才能獲得負擔能力救濟。加拿大銀行在4月份維持利率不變,但仍有可能在2024年6月或7月之前降息。

"Demographic forces have allowed some pent-up demand to build, and market psychology is such that many are expecting rate cuts in the second half of the year," said Robert Kavcic, Senior Economist, BMO Capital Markets. "This should pull some demand off the sideline and firm up housing activity, but rates have a long way to fall still before affordability is restored to recent norms."

BMO Capital Markets高級經濟學家羅伯特·卡夫奇奇表示:“人口力量使一些被壓抑的需求得以增加,而市場心理如此之大,許多人預計下半年將降息。”“這應該會使一些需求擺脫觀望,鞏固住房活動,但是在負擔能力恢復到最近的水平之前,利率還有很長的路要走。”

The BMO Real Financial Progress Index found 85% of Canadians believe they are making real financial progress and over two thirds (67%) feel confident in their financial situation, but fear of unknown expenses (84%) and concerns about their overall financial situation (81%) and housing costs (74%) are among the leading sources of financial anxiety.

這個 BMO 實際財務進步指數 發現85%的加拿大人認爲他們正在取得真正的財務進步,超過三分之二(67%)的人對自己的財務狀況充滿信心,但對未知支出的恐懼(84%)以及對整體財務狀況(81%)和住房成本(74%)的擔憂是財務焦慮的主要來源。

Top economic and environmental concerns affecting Canadians' homebuying decisions include:

影響加拿大人購房決策的主要經濟和環境問題包括:

  • Redefining the Canadian Dream: While 62% believe owning a home is one of their biggest aspirations in life, 56% of aspiring homeowners feel homeownership is unattainable.
  • Pent Up Demand: Among the 39% of aspiring homeowners planning on purchasing a home in the near future, only 13% plan to in 2024 and more than a quarter (26%) plan on doing so in 2025 or later.
  • Reexamining Refinancing: Nearly three quarters (74%) of homeowners who plan to refinance their home say they will wait until mortgage rates drop before refinancing.
  • Climbing Climate Considerations: 39% of Canadians say climate-related factors such as wildfires, floods, heatwaves, and storms will affect where they choose to live in the next five years. Gen Z (54%) and Millennials (49%) are the most likely to prioritize climate-related factors in their homebuying decisions.
  • The Cost of Homeownership: 41% say rising home insurance costs may affect their ability to maintain or buy a home.
  • 重新定義加拿大夢: 儘管62%的人認爲擁有房屋是他們人生中最大的願望之一,但有56%的有抱負的房主認爲房屋所有權無法實現。
  • 被壓抑的需求: 在計劃在不久的將來購買房屋的39%的有抱負的房主中,只有13%的人計劃在2024年購買房屋,超過四分之一(26%)的人計劃在2025年或之後購房。
  • 重新審視再融資: 在計劃爲房屋再融資的房主中,將近四分之三(74%)表示,他們將等到抵押貸款利率下降後再進行再融資。
  • 攀巖氣候注意事項: 39%的加拿大人表示,野火、洪水、熱浪和風暴等與氣候相關的因素將在未來五年內影響他們選擇的居住地。Z世代(54%)和千禧一代(49%)最有可能在購房決策中優先考慮與氣候相關的因素。
  • 房屋所有權成本: 41%的人表示,房屋保險成本的上漲可能會影響他們維護或購買房屋的能力。

"Homeownership is more than a milestone. Homeownership represents the achievement of real financial progress, security and wealth creation for many Canadians and their families," said Gayle Ramsay, Head, Everyday Banking Segment & Customer Growth, BMO. "As many first-time homebuyers wait for their chance to enter the market, we encourage Canadians to get started on their homebuying journey by meeting with a professional advisor or planner to learn more about the different paths to homeownership and build a personalized financial plan that can incorporate tools such as the First Home Savings Account or BMO Savings Goals to get them on track towards their financial milestones."

“房屋所有權不僅僅是一個里程碑。房屋所有權代表着許多加拿大人及其家庭實現真正的財務進步、安全和財富創造。” BMO日常銀行業務板塊和客戶增長主管蓋爾·拉姆齊說。“在許多首次購房者等待機會進入市場之際,我們鼓勵加拿大人通過與專業顧問或規劃師會面來開始購房之旅,以進一步了解獲得房屋所有權的不同途徑,並制定個性化的財務計劃,其中可以納入首次購房儲蓄賬戶或BMO儲蓄目標等工具,使他們步入財務里程碑的正軌。”

Paths to Homeownership for the Next Generation
下一代獲得房屋所有權的途徑

As Gen Z and Millennials1 look forward to achieving their next financial milestone, the survey found they are approaching homebuying differently than other generations:

作爲 Z 世代和千禧一代1 期待實現下一個財務里程碑,調查發現,他們對待購房的方式與其他世代不同:

  • Homeownership is Where the Heart is: Despite their concerns about the economy and cost of living, Millennials (70%) and Gen Z (68%) are the most likely to believe owning a home is a big aspiration in life.
  • Chasing the Canadian Dream: While over half of Gen Z (51%) and Millennial (56%) aspiring homeowners plan on purchasing a home in the future, 33 per cent of Gen Z and 37% of Millennials believe this goal will not be achieved until 2025 or later – more than any other generation.
  • Bank of Mom & Dad:
    • Gen Z (52%) and Millennials (31%) are the most likely to expect to receive and/or plan to ask for financial help from their parents and/or grandparents, with 16% of Gen Z and 12% of Millennials looking for support towards a downpayment for a home.
    • Millennial parents (54%) are the most likely to provide financial support to their adult children, where a third (33%) intend to help their children with their home purchase including a cash contribution towards a downpayment for a home (23%) and contributing towards their child's First Home Savings Account (FHSA) (10%).
  • 房屋所有權是心之所在: 儘管他們擔心經濟和生活成本,但千禧一代(70%)和Z世代(68%)最有可能認爲擁有房屋是生活中的遠大願望。
  • 追逐加拿大夢: 儘管超過一半的Z世代(51%)和千禧一代(56%)有抱負的房主計劃在未來購買房屋,但33%的Z世代和37%的千禧一代認爲這一目標要到2025年或更晚才能實現——比其他任何一代都要多。
  • 爸爸媽媽銀行:
    • Z世代(52%)和千禧一代(31%)最有可能期望獲得和/或計劃向其父母和/或祖父母尋求經濟援助,16%的Z世代和12%的千禧一代尋求房屋首付支持。
    • 千禧一代父母(54%)最有可能爲成年子女提供經濟支持,其中三分之一(33%)打算幫助子女購房,包括現金繳款以支付房屋的首付(23%)和爲孩子的首次住房儲蓄賬戶(FHSA)(10%)供款。

"Despite the economic and market challenges, there are still many young Canadians preparing to embark on their homebuying journey and enter the real estate market for the first time," said Hassan Pirnia, Head, Personal Lending and Home Financing, BMO. "BMO's online tools and resources can help Canadians wherever they are in their homebuying journey, from giving buyers a better understanding of their budget at the start to providing more clarity about what they can afford and the carrying costs they should be considering."

BMO個人貸款和住房融資主管哈桑·皮爾尼亞表示:“儘管面臨經濟和市場挑戰,但仍有許多加拿大年輕人準備踏上購房之旅並首次進入房地產市場。”“BMO的在線工具和資源可以爲加拿大人提供幫助,無論他們處於購房之旅的哪個階段,從一開始就讓購房者更好地了解他們的預算,到更清楚地了解他們的負擔能力和應考慮的持有成本。”

BMO Helps Homebuyers Make Real Financial Progress
BMO幫助購房者取得真正的財務進展

BMO offers tools and resources to help customers throughout their homebuying journey including:

BMO提供工具和資源來幫助客戶完成購房之旅,包括:

  • First Home Savings Account (FHSA): 58% of Canadians plan on using the FHSA for their home purchase. The tax-advantaged registered savings plan combines the benefits of a Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) and a Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA), where contributions are tax deductible, earnings are tax-sheltered, and withdrawals are tax-free when used towards qualified first-time home purchases. First-time home buyers can contribute up to $8,000 a year, with a lifetime contribution limit of $40,000.
  • BMO SmartProgress: Customers can learn more about homeownership, budgeting, and other personal finance topics from BMO SmartProgress. The online education platform organizes personal finance topics into playlists, enabling Canadians to learn more about how to manage their finances in a widely accessible and innovative platform.
  • Pre-Approval: For homebuyers, getting pre-approved provides a cushion for due diligence when purchasing a home. In addition to visiting a local branch to speak with an advisor, BMO offers the ability for homebuyers to apply for mortgage pre-approval online. BMO also offers the longest rate guarantee period of any major Canadian bank at 130 days.
  • Pre-Qualification: To get started with their homebuying journey, prospective homebuyers can get a mortgage estimate in one minute with a 130-day rate hold. Using a soft credit check that will not affect their credit scores, customers will be able to know how much they can potentially afford for a home, based on information such as income, assets, and debt.
  • 首次置業儲蓄賬戶 (FHSA): 58% 的加拿大人計劃使用聯邦住房管理局購房。稅收優惠的註冊儲蓄計劃結合了註冊退休儲蓄計劃(RRSP)和免稅儲蓄賬戶(TFSA)的好處,其供款可以免稅,收入有稅收保護,用於符合條件的首次購房時提款可以免稅。首次購房者每年最多可繳納8,000美元,終身供款限額爲40,000美元。
  • BMO 智能進步: 客戶可以從BMO SmartProgress了解有關房屋所有權、預算和其他個人理財主題的更多信息。在線教育平台將個人理財話題組織到播放列表中,使加拿大人能夠在一個可廣泛訪問的創新平台上更多地了解如何管理自己的財務。
  • 預先批准: 對於購房者來說,獲得預先批准爲購房時的盡職調查提供了緩衝。除了前往當地分行與顧問交談外,BMO還爲購房者提供了在線申請抵押貸款預先批准的功能。BMO還提供加拿大所有主要銀行中最長的利率擔保期,爲130天。
  • 資格預審: 要開始購房之旅,潛在購房者可以在一分鐘內獲得抵押貸款估算,利率保持爲130天。使用不會影響其信用評分的軟信用檢查,客戶將能夠根據收入、資產和債務等信息知道他們可能負擔得起多少房屋。

For more information about first-time home buyers programs and affordability tools, visit: www.bmo.com/main/personal/mortgages/first-time-home-buyer/.

有關首次購房者計劃和負擔能力工具的更多信息,請訪問: www.bmo.com/main/personal/mortgages/首次購房者/

To learn more about how BMO can help customers make financial progress, visit www.bmo.com/main/personal.

要了解有關BMO如何幫助客戶取得財務進展的更多信息,請訪問 www.bmo.com/main/個人

About the BMO Real Financial Progress Index
關於BMO實際財務進步指數

Launched in February 2021, the BMO Real Financial Progress Index is an indicator of how consumers feel about their personal finances and whether they are making financial progress. The index aims to spark dialogue that will help consumers reach their financial goals and to humanize a topic that causes anxiety for many – money.

BMO實際財務進步指數於2021年2月推出,旨在衡量消費者對個人財務狀況的看法以及他們是否在取得財務進展。該指數旨在激發對話,幫助消費者實現其財務目標,並使一個引起許多人焦慮的話題——金錢——人性化。

The research detailed in this document was conducted by Ipsos in Canada from February 28th to March 18th, 2024. A sample of n=2,500 adults ages 18+ in Canada were collected. Quotas and weighting were used to ensure the sample's composition reflects that of the Canadian population according to census parameters.

本文件中詳述的研究由益普索於2月28日在加拿大進行第四 到 3 月 18 日第四,2024。採集了加拿大年齡在18歲以上的n=2,500名成年人的樣本。根據人口普查參數,使用配額和加權來確保樣本的構成反映加拿大人口的構成。

About BMO Financial Group
關於 BMO 金融集團

BMO Financial Group is the eighth largest bank in North America by assets, with total assets of $1.3 trillion as of January 31, 2024. Serving customers for 200 years and counting, BMO is a diverse team of highly engaged employees providing a broad range of personal and commercial banking, wealth management, global markets and investment banking products and services to 13 million customers across Canada, the United States, and in select markets globally. Driven by a single purpose, to Boldly Grow the Good in business and life, BMO is committed to driving positive change in the world, and making progress for a thriving economy, sustainable future, and inclusive society.

按資產計算,BMO金融集團是北美第八大銀行,截至2024年1月31日,總資產爲1.3萬億美元。BMO是一支由高度敬業的員工組成的多元化團隊,爲加拿大、美國和全球特定市場的1300萬客戶提供廣泛的個人和商業銀行、财富管理、全球市場和投資銀行產品和服務,已爲客戶提供200年乃至更多的服務。以單一目標爲驅動,勇敢地成長 在商業和生活中,BMO 致力於推動世界的積極變革,爲繁榮的經濟、可持續的未來和包容性社會取得進展。

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1The BMO Real Financial Progress Index defines Millennials as Canadians born between 1981 to 1996 and Gen Z as those born between 1997 to 2012. Only Canadians over the age of 18 were eligible to participate in the survey.

1這個 BMO 實際財務進步指數 將千禧一代定義爲出生於1981年至1996年之間的加拿大人,將Z世代定義爲1997年至2012年之間出生的加拿大人。只有18歲以上的加拿大人有資格參與調查。

SOURCE BMO Financial Group

來源 BMO 金融集團

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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